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ANALYSIS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN SUPPORTING INDONESIA’S ECONOMIC STABILITY Sitorus, Timoria; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Nazliana Nasution, Lia
Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Vol. 9 No. 3 (2025): SEPTEMBER
Publisher : LPPM Univ. Ibn Khaldun Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32832/abdidos.v9i3.2932

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the role of international trade in supporting Indonesia’s economic stability using the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. The variables used in the study include exports, imports, exchange rate, trade balance, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over the period 2007 to 2024. Data were obtained from the World Bank and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The stationarity test results show that all variables are stationary at different levels. The optimal lag was determined at lag 2 based on the Akaike and Schwarz criteria. The Johansen cointegration test results indicate the existence of a long-term relationship among the variables, while the stability test shows that the model meets the stability requirements. The results of the VAR analysis, Impulse Response Function (IRF), and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) reveal that exports and imports have the greatest contribution in influencing other macroeconomic variables. The response of the variables to external shocks is dynamic yet stable in the medium term. Exports have a positive impact on economic growth, while imports play a strategic role in meeting domestic needs. The trade balance is influenced by the movement of exports and imports and serves as an important indicator for measuring external stability. Thus, international trade is proven to have a significant impact on Indonesia’s economic stability, making it necessary to implement responsive policies such as market diversification, increasing the competitiveness of domestic products, and selective import management to ensure the sustainability of national economic growth.
DIGITAL ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION IN SUPPORTING AND ACCELERATING ENVIRONMENTALLY FRIENDLY ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA Annisa, Mutiara; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Efendi, Bakhtiar; Nazliana Nasution, Lia
Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Vol. 9 No. 3 (2025): SEPTEMBER
Publisher : LPPM Univ. Ibn Khaldun Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32832/abdidos.v9i3.2933

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between digital economy factors and environmentally sustainable economic growth in Indonesia. Variables include Internet Users (IU), Carbon Emissions (CE), Green Investment (GI), Energy Consumption (EC), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), using 2006–2024 World Bank data analyzed through the Vector Autoregression (VAR) method. Tests conducted include unit root, Johansen cointegration, impulse response (IRF), and variance decomposition (FEVD). Results show that internet usage significantly influences green investment, energy consumption, and GDP, especially in the long term. The positive impact of IU on GDP grows over time, highlighting the role of digitalization in improving efficiency and promoting green systems. While carbon emissions were initially driven by traditional activities like exports and energy use, they are increasingly shaped by digital economy growth and green investment. Energy consumption and green investment also demonstrate a two-way relationship with technology adoption and economic growth. The findings confirm that the digital economy can accelerate sustainable development. Leveraging technology, boosting green sector investment, and managing energy use effectively can help Indonesia achieve inclusive, low-carbon growth. Policy integration between digital transformation and green development is vital to expedite the country’s progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Testing the Philips Curve Model Based on Financial Technology and Macroprudential Policy in ASEAN Countries with the Highest Unemployment Rate Syahfia, Nurul; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Rusiadi, Rusiadi
International Journal of Social Science, Education, Communication and Economics Vol. 3 No. 3 (2024): August
Publisher : Lafadz Jaya Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54443/sj.v3i3.386

Abstract

Financial technology integration can influence unemployment rates in various ways, such as expanding access to the labor market through online platforms, creating new jobs within the financial technology sector itself, or increasing labor market efficiency through technologies such as job matching platforms. Macroprudential policy refers to the steps taken by financial authorities to manage systemic risks in the financial sector. In the context of the Phillips curve, these policies can have a direct or indirect effect on the unemployment rate through their influence on financial system stability and economic growth. In relation to ASEAN countries with the highest unemployment rates, testing this model will pay attention to structural, demographic and economic differences between these countries. These factors will influence how financial technology and macroprudential policy interact with the unemployment rate in each country. The results of this test provide valuable insights for policymakers in ASEAN countries with high unemployment rates. They can use this information to design more effective policies in promoting economic growth and reducing unemployment rates through the appropriate application of financial technology and macroprudential policies.
Implementasi Kebijakan Makroprudensial Dalam Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan Terhadap Inflasi In Six Middle Income Countries Pratiwi, Legia; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Efendi, Bakhtiar
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 5 No. 4 (2025): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v5i4.20748

Abstract

Penelitian ini mengkaji implementasi kebijakan makroprudensial dalam menjaga stabilitas sistem keuangan terhadap inflasi di enam negara berpenghasilan menengah (Malaysia, Vietnam, Argentina, China, Thailand, dan Indonesia) dari tahun 2010 hingga 2023, menggunakan metode Panel ARDL. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa suku bunga (SB) memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi di sebagian besar negara, menegaskan perannya sebagai instrumen kebijakan utama. Selain itu, jumlah uang beredar elektronik (JUB-E) juga terbukti signifikan memengaruhi inflasi di banyak negara, menyoroti dampak digitalisasi keuangan pada dinamika harga. Sebaliknya, Non-Performing Loan (NPL) dan Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) umumnya tidak menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi, kecuali pada kasus tertentu. Vietnam dan Indonesia menjadi contoh negara yang berhasil mengimplementasikan kebijakan makroprudensial secara efektif, dengan SB dan JUB-E sebagai variabel paling relevan dalam memengaruhi inflasi, menekankan pentingnya stabilitas sistem keuangan dalam mengendalikan tekanan harga.
Public Service Digital Transformation Model In Supporting The Development Of A New Suro Village, Suro Makmur District Darliansyah, Darliansyah; Abdiyanto, Abdiyanto; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Novalina, Ade; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Suhendi, Suhendi
International Journal of Science, Technology & Management Vol. 3 No. 6 (2022): November 2022
Publisher : Publisher Cv. Inara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46729/ijstm.v3i6.667

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to predict the increase in development and public services in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District based on the SEM model. The analytical model used in Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) . Questionnaire data analysis will be processed using the SEM method with the IBM-SPSS-AMOS program. The results of the study show that 1) technology directly has a positive influence and significant to development in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 2) Directly, infrastructure facilities have a positive and positive influence significant to development in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 3) The potential has no influence on public services in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 4) Directly technology has a positive influence and significant to public services in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 5) Directly, infrastructure facilities have a positive and positive influencesignificant to public services in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 6) Directly the potential to have a positive and significant influence on public public services in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 7) Indirectly technology has a positive influence and significant to public services through development in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 8) Indirectly, infrastructure has a positive and positive influence significant to public services through development in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency. 9) Indirectly the potential to have a positive and significant influence on public public services through development in Suro Baru Village, Suro Makmur District, Aceh Singkil Regency.