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All Journal Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat International Journal of Social Science, Education, Communication and Economics International Journal of Science and Environment Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Nazliana Nasution, Lia
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ANALYSIS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN SUPPORTING INDONESIA’S ECONOMIC STABILITY Sitorus, Timoria; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Nazliana Nasution, Lia
Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Vol. 9 No. 3 (2025): SEPTEMBER
Publisher : LPPM Univ. Ibn Khaldun Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32832/abdidos.v9i3.2932

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the role of international trade in supporting Indonesia’s economic stability using the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. The variables used in the study include exports, imports, exchange rate, trade balance, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over the period 2007 to 2024. Data were obtained from the World Bank and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The stationarity test results show that all variables are stationary at different levels. The optimal lag was determined at lag 2 based on the Akaike and Schwarz criteria. The Johansen cointegration test results indicate the existence of a long-term relationship among the variables, while the stability test shows that the model meets the stability requirements. The results of the VAR analysis, Impulse Response Function (IRF), and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) reveal that exports and imports have the greatest contribution in influencing other macroeconomic variables. The response of the variables to external shocks is dynamic yet stable in the medium term. Exports have a positive impact on economic growth, while imports play a strategic role in meeting domestic needs. The trade balance is influenced by the movement of exports and imports and serves as an important indicator for measuring external stability. Thus, international trade is proven to have a significant impact on Indonesia’s economic stability, making it necessary to implement responsive policies such as market diversification, increasing the competitiveness of domestic products, and selective import management to ensure the sustainability of national economic growth.
DIGITAL ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION IN SUPPORTING AND ACCELERATING ENVIRONMENTALLY FRIENDLY ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA Annisa, Mutiara; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Efendi, Bakhtiar; Nazliana Nasution, Lia
Abdi Dosen : Jurnal Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Vol. 9 No. 3 (2025): SEPTEMBER
Publisher : LPPM Univ. Ibn Khaldun Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32832/abdidos.v9i3.2933

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between digital economy factors and environmentally sustainable economic growth in Indonesia. Variables include Internet Users (IU), Carbon Emissions (CE), Green Investment (GI), Energy Consumption (EC), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), using 2006–2024 World Bank data analyzed through the Vector Autoregression (VAR) method. Tests conducted include unit root, Johansen cointegration, impulse response (IRF), and variance decomposition (FEVD). Results show that internet usage significantly influences green investment, energy consumption, and GDP, especially in the long term. The positive impact of IU on GDP grows over time, highlighting the role of digitalization in improving efficiency and promoting green systems. While carbon emissions were initially driven by traditional activities like exports and energy use, they are increasingly shaped by digital economy growth and green investment. Energy consumption and green investment also demonstrate a two-way relationship with technology adoption and economic growth. The findings confirm that the digital economy can accelerate sustainable development. Leveraging technology, boosting green sector investment, and managing energy use effectively can help Indonesia achieve inclusive, low-carbon growth. Policy integration between digital transformation and green development is vital to expedite the country’s progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).
Testing the Philips Curve Model Based on Financial Technology and Macroprudential Policy in ASEAN Countries with the Highest Unemployment Rate Syahfia, Nurul; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Rusiadi, Rusiadi
International Journal of Social Science, Education, Communication and Economics Vol. 3 No. 3 (2024): August
Publisher : Lafadz Jaya Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54443/sj.v3i3.386

Abstract

Financial technology integration can influence unemployment rates in various ways, such as expanding access to the labor market through online platforms, creating new jobs within the financial technology sector itself, or increasing labor market efficiency through technologies such as job matching platforms. Macroprudential policy refers to the steps taken by financial authorities to manage systemic risks in the financial sector. In the context of the Phillips curve, these policies can have a direct or indirect effect on the unemployment rate through their influence on financial system stability and economic growth. In relation to ASEAN countries with the highest unemployment rates, testing this model will pay attention to structural, demographic and economic differences between these countries. These factors will influence how financial technology and macroprudential policy interact with the unemployment rate in each country. The results of this test provide valuable insights for policymakers in ASEAN countries with high unemployment rates. They can use this information to design more effective policies in promoting economic growth and reducing unemployment rates through the appropriate application of financial technology and macroprudential policies.
Monetary Policy Transmission And Exchange Rate Fluctuations In Asian Countries Adamy, Laila; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Efendi, Bhaktiar; Suhendi, Suhendi
International Journal of Science and Environment (IJSE) Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): August 2025
Publisher : CV. Inara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51601/ijse.v5i3.164

Abstract

This study investigates the effectiveness of monetary policy instruments—money supply, interest rates, and foreign exchange reserves—in managing trade balance stability across selected Asian and European countries, including Indonesia, India, the United Kingdom, and Russia. Employing a quantitative approach with a Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, the research examines both shortterm and longterm effects of macroeconomic variables on trade performance from 2019 to 2023. The findings reveal that in Indonesia and India, money supply and interest rates serve as primary indicators for maintaining external equilibrium, aligning with classical monetary theory. In contrast, foreign exchange reserves are the sole significant factor influencing trade balance stability in Russia and the UK. The panel analysis confirms that while all variables contribute, interest rate is the most consistent tool for longterm trade balance management, whereas reserves and interest rate dominate in the short term. These results underscore the need for adaptive, contextspecific policy combinations rather than reliance on a single instrument. The study offers strategic insights for policymakers in emerging markets, highlighting the critical role of coordinated monetary tools in ensuring macroeconomic and external sector resilience.
The Role Of Human Development In Economic Growth And Poverty Reduction In Bener Meriah Regency Mirantika, Mirantika; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Efendi, Bhaktiar; Suhendi, Suhendi
International Journal of Science and Environment (IJSE) Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): August 2025
Publisher : CV. Inara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51601/ijse.v5i3.167

Abstract

This study aims to examine the interrelationship between economic growth and poverty in Bener Meriah Regency by employing a simultaneous equations modeling approach. Two main structural equations were developed: the first evaluates the influence of unemployment, the Human Development Index (HDI), and poverty on economic growth; the second investigates the impact of expected years of schooling (EYS), labor force participation, and economic growth on poverty levels. The estimation results reveal that HDI and poverty significantly affect economic growth, while unemployment shows no statistically significant influence. In the second equation, educational attainment (as measured by EYS) and economic growth are found to be significant factors in reducing poverty, whereas the labor force variable does not exhibit a meaningful effect.These findings underscore the pivotal role of human development—particularly in the domains of education and decent living standards—as a fundamental driver of inclusive economic growth and sustainable poverty alleviation. The study offers valuable insights for regional development policy, emphasizing the need to invest in human capital and enhance the quality of the local workforce. By adopting a simultaneous modeling framework, this research provides a strategic reference for designing holistic and socially equitable development policies, especially in rural regions such as Bener Meriah.
Interdependence Between Green Economic Growth And Digital Transformation In Indonesia Febriani Laili, Afini; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Efendi, Bhaktiar; Suhendi, Suhendi
International Journal of Science and Environment (IJSE) Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): August 2025
Publisher : CV. Inara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51601/ijse.v5i3.168

Abstract

This study investigates the effectiveness of policy controls on digital-based green economy indicators in Indonesia using the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) approach. The analysis centers on variables such as Employed Person, Green Credit, Exports of ICT Goods, Household Debt to GDP, Green Consumption, Green Trade, and Green Sustainable Development. The findings reveal that in the short term, most variables are predominantly influenced by their own past values, especially the Employed Person indicator. However, in the medium and long term, the interaction between Household Debt to GDP and other variables emerges as a pivotal factor in reinforcing sustainable development policies. This suggests that household financial stability plays a vital role in supporting green consumption, digital exports, and sustainability financing. These results align with previous studies highlighting the interconnected roles of labor, household finance, and green trade in driving inclusive green economic growth. Accordingly, development strategies should be tailored based on temporal horizons and the structural interlinkages among key variables. This research contributes empirically to the formulation of adaptive, digital-driven green policy frameworks in the post-pandemic era.
Integrating Sustainable Development And Poverty Reduction: A Model For Central Aceh Regency Khairuddin, Khairuddin; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Rusiadi, Rusiadi; Efendi, Bhaktiar; Suhendi, Suhendi
International Journal of Science and Environment (IJSE) Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): August 2025
Publisher : CV. Inara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51601/ijse.v5i3.169

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the contribution and dynamic interrelationships among key socio-economic variables influencing poverty and human development in Indonesia, using the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) approach within a simultaneous equation framework. The variables analyzed include poverty, unemployment, labor force participation rate (LFPR), per capita income, and the Human Development Index (HDI). The results reveal that poverty is primarily influenced by lagged values of per capita income and HDI. Meanwhile, unemployment is significantly affected by poverty and LFPR. LFPR itself is influenced by poverty, while per capita income is impacted by unemployment. HDI is significantly driven by poverty and per capita income. These findings confirm that the interactions among variables are simultaneous and can mutually reinforce or weaken each other. Therefore, policies aimed at poverty alleviation and human development enhancement must be designed in an integrated and cross-sectoral manner. A multidimensional approach that considers the historical interlinkages among variables is essential for formulating inclusive, sustainable, and evidence-based development strategies. This study offers both theoretical and practical contributions to socio-economic policymaking, particularly in the context of green and digital development in Indonesia.
Implementasi Kebijakan Makroprudensial Dalam Stabilitas Sistem Keuangan Terhadap Inflasi In Six Middle Income Countries Pratiwi, Legia; Nazliana Nasution, Lia; Efendi, Bakhtiar
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 5 No. 4 (2025): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v5i4.20748

Abstract

Penelitian ini mengkaji implementasi kebijakan makroprudensial dalam menjaga stabilitas sistem keuangan terhadap inflasi di enam negara berpenghasilan menengah (Malaysia, Vietnam, Argentina, China, Thailand, dan Indonesia) dari tahun 2010 hingga 2023, menggunakan metode Panel ARDL. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa suku bunga (SB) memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi di sebagian besar negara, menegaskan perannya sebagai instrumen kebijakan utama. Selain itu, jumlah uang beredar elektronik (JUB-E) juga terbukti signifikan memengaruhi inflasi di banyak negara, menyoroti dampak digitalisasi keuangan pada dinamika harga. Sebaliknya, Non-Performing Loan (NPL) dan Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) umumnya tidak menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi, kecuali pada kasus tertentu. Vietnam dan Indonesia menjadi contoh negara yang berhasil mengimplementasikan kebijakan makroprudensial secara efektif, dengan SB dan JUB-E sebagai variabel paling relevan dalam memengaruhi inflasi, menekankan pentingnya stabilitas sistem keuangan dalam mengendalikan tekanan harga.
Co-Authors Adamy, Laila Efendi, Bakhtiar Efendi, Bhaktiar Febriani Laili, Afini Khairuddin - Mirantika, Mirantika Mutiara Annisa Pratiwi, Legia Sitorus, Timoria Suhendi Suhendi Syahfia, Nurul