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Transmisi Harga Beras di Indonesia: Pendekatan Threshold Cointegration Deby Ananda Difah; Harianto Harianto; Dedi Budiman Hakim
Journal of Food System & Agribusiness Volume 3 Nomor 2 Tahun 2019
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25181/jofsa.v3i2.1561

Abstract

Rice is a staple food that is still a top priority for most of Indonesian. The widening difference between the rice price at the farmer level and the retail price of rice indicates the presence of asymmetric vertical price transmission. A stable and affordable price is one of the important components needed to maintain food distribution. The price of food commodities that fluctuate too much can be relied upon by farmers as producers, processors, traders to consumers, and about social unrest. To maintain stability of staple food prices, the government is open to keep rice prices at a certain level that can benefit farmers and consumers alike. This research used Threshold Vector Error Correction Model (TVECM) to estimate threshold value and to analyze rice price transmission relationship at farm level and retail level. The data used monthly time series data from January 1990 to September 2016. The results show that the estimated threshold value obtained is -0.092. This suggests that when the deviation of retail price and farmers in long-term equilibrium exceeds 9.2 percentage, the price of retail rice will adjust to achieve its equilibrium so that the two rice prices have a cointegration relationship. Conversely, when the deviation of rice prices is less than 9.2 percentage, there will be no price adjustment and no market integration. The price of retail rice has increased faster than the price at the farm level. Keywords: cointegration, price transmission, rice, threshold
EFEKTIVITAS PROGRAM KREDIT TAKSI ALAT MESIN PETANIAN DI INDONESIA Fitri, Annisa; Difah, Deby Ananda; Hutagaol, Manuntun Parulian; Harianto, Harianto
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa AGROINFO GALUH Vol 12, No 2 (2025): Mei 2025
Publisher : Universitas Galuh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25157/jimag.v12i2.18820

Abstract

Program kredit taksi alsintan di Indonesia bertujuan untuk meningkatkan produktivitas pertanian dan mengurangi production loss melalui peningkatan akses petani terhadap alat dan mesin pertanian (alsintan). Penelitian ini mengevaluasi efektivitas program tersebut menggunakan metode Systematic Literature Review (SLR) dan analisis Break Even Point (BEP) luas lahan. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa program ini menghadapi beberapa tantangan utama. Pertama, ketidaksesuaian antara jenis alsintan yang dibiayai dengan skala usaha petani kecil yang mendominasi di Indonesia. Alat-alat besar seperti traktor roda 4 dan combine harvester memiliki BEP yang tinggi (9,48 Ha dan 11,28 Ha) serta Return on Investment (ROI) dan Gross Benefit-Cost Ratio (B/C) yang rendah, sehingga kurang cocok untuk petani dengan lahan sempit (<1 ha). Sebaliknya, alat-alat seperti handsprayer, pompa air, dan cultivator lebih sesuai karena memiliki BEP rendah serta ROI dan B/C yang lebih tinggi. Kedua, kurangnya pelatihan teknis menyebabkan penggunaan alsintan yang tidak optimal. Ketiga, prosedur birokrasi yang rumit membatasi akses petani kecil terhadap kredit. Akibatnya, program ini berisiko menciptakan vicious circle, di mana petani kesulitan mencapai titik impas dan membayar kredit. Untuk meningkatkan efektivitas program, diperlukan penyesuaian jenis alsintan yang dibiayai dengan luas lahan petani, peningkatan pelatihan teknis, penyederhanaan prosedur birokrasi, serta pengawasan yang lebih ketat untuk menghindari moral hazard dan penggunaan kredit yang tidak produktif. 
Kajian Integrasi Vertikal dan Dinamika Pasar Beras di Jawa Timur Difah, Deby Ananda; Nurunisa, Venty Fitriany; Fitri, Annisa
Mimbar Agribisnis : Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis Vol 11, No 2 (2025): Juli 2025
Publisher : Universitas Galuh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25157/ma.v11i2.19405

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship of vertical integration in the rice market in East Java Province, involving the producer, wholesaler, and retailer levels. The main focus of this research is to analyze price transmission between different market levels and the interconnection among market players within the rice supply chain. The method used is secondary data analysis in the form of weekly time series from January 2020 to August 2024, applying the Vector Autoregression (VAR) model and the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) stationarity test. The analysis results show that rice prices between market levels influence each other in a bidirectional manner, with a significant long-term effect from retail prices. The wholesale market also plays a crucial role in price transmission between market levels. These findings reflect the complex rice market structure in East Java, which requires further attention in formulating pricing policies to achieve sustainable stability.
Evaluation of Financial Feasibility of Egg-Laying Chicken Farming Business at CV “X”, South Lampung, Indonesia Fitri, Annisa; Difah, Deby Ananda; Ramadhani, Annisa Alifa; Pratiwi , Dita
Indonesian Journal of Sustainable Agriculture and Environmental Sciences (IJSAES) Vol. 1 No. 2 (2025): Indonesian Journal of Sustainable Agriculture and Environmental Sciences (IJSAE
Publisher : CV. Truly Science Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Background: Financial feasibility analysis enables entrepreneurs to get a clear picture of the potential profits that can be obtained, the time required for capital returns, and the strategies that must be adopted to face market challenges. Aim: The purpose of this research is to evaluate the economic feasibility of layer chicken farming at CV Rachmadi in Karang Sari Village, Jati Agung District, South Lampung. Methods: Primary and secondary data related to the farm's operations were collected in this study using qualitative and quantitative descriptive approaches. Primary data was obtained through direct observation and interviews with the owner and manager of the business. Secondary data was gathered from relevant literature and financial reports. The focus of the financial analysis is on costs, revenues, and profit projections. This analysis was conducted using methods such as net present value (NPV), Net B/C ratio, and internal rate of return (IRR). Results: The results of the study indicate a positive Net Present Value (NPV) of IDR 1,629,571,539.11, a B/C ratio (Net B/C) of 3.53, and an IRR of 47%, demonstrating that this business is financially feasible and profitable. Conclusion: These findings suggest that investing in this farm has good potential for long-term profit.