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All Journal CEMARA Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia (Journal of Indonesian Agribusiness) Agro Ekonomi Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen (JIMMU) Agro Bali: Agricultural Journal Agriecobis : Journal of Agricultural Socioeconomics and Business Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis An-Nafah: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Keislaman
YAFI, MUHAMMAD ALI
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Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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ANALISIS EKSPOR JAHE BUBUK INDONESIA KE NEGARA TUJUAN JEPANG DAN AMERIKA SERIKAT Adetya, Aulia; Yafi, Muhammad Ali
JURNAL PERTANIAN CEMARA Vol 21 No 1 (2024): JURNAL PERTANIAN CEMARA (CENDEKIAWAN MADURA)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24929/fp.v21i1.3412

Abstract

Jahe bubuk merupakan salah satu produk olahan pada komoditas jahe. Jahe bubuk salah satu produk olahan yang diekspor ke manca negara. Jika dilihat volume ekspor jahe bubuk cukup berfluktuatif. Penelitian ini bertujuan dalam mengidentifikasi daya saing ekspor dan posisi pasar produk jahe bubuk Indonesia ke negara tujuan Jepang dan Amerika Serikat. Metode analisis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini ialah metode Revealed Comperative Adventage (RCA) dan Metode Export Product Dynamics (EPD). Hasil identifikasi dalam penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa ekspor jahe bubuk Indonesia ke Jepang tidak berdaya saing sedangkan ekspor ke Amerika Serikat menunjukkan adanya daya saing. Hasil analisis Export Product Dynamics (EPD) jahe bubuk Indonesia yaitu retreat di Negara Jepang dan lost opportunity di Negara Amerika Serikat. Melihat posisi daya saing jahe bubuk Indonesia tersebut sebaiknya dipergunakan untk memeuhi kebutuhan negeri. Alasan ini dikarenakan pangsa pasar di dunia cenderung mengalami penurunan. Perlu adanya pertumbuhan jika ingin menumbus pasar internasional untuk mendapatkan posisi yang terbaik.
Determinants of Indonesia's Plantation Commodities Trade Flows with ASEAN: Insights from a Gravity Model Approach Yafi, Muhammad Ali; Adyanti, Amanda Sekar
Agriecobis : Journal of Agricultural Socioeconomics and Business Vol. 7 No. 02 (2024): October
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/agriecobis.v7i02.34907

Abstract

The trade relationship between Indonesia and ASEAN countries in plantation products exhibits fluctuations in export and import activities. This study aims to identify the factors influencing Indonesia’s Plantation Commodities Trade Flows with ASEAN countries. The research utilizes secondary data from eight ASEAN countries-Indonesia, Cambodia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Myanmar, and the Philippines-over a 15-year period (2008–2022). A panel data regression analysis, based on the Gravity Model, was conducted to achieve the research objectives. The variables examined include Indonesia’s Plantation Commodities Trade Flows, Indonesia's GDP, partner countries' GDP, exchange rates, economic distance, population, and inflation. The analysis revealed that fluctuations in Indonesia’s Plantation Commodities Trade Flows are driven by variations in export and import values. The regression results identified Indonesia's GDP, partner countries' GDP, economic distance, and exchange rates as significant factors affecting trade flows, while population and inflation had no significant impact.
Dinamika Daya Saing Cerutu Indonesia di Pasar Internasional Yafi, Muhammad Ali; Suharno, Suharno; Erwidodo, Erwidodo
Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia (Journal of Indonesian Agribusiness) Vol. 13 No. 1 (2025): Juni 2025 (Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia)
Publisher : Departmen of Agribusiness, Economics and Management Faculty, Bogor Agricultural University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jai.2025.13.1.76-93

Abstract

Tembakau menjadi komoditas yang memiliki potensi di Indonesia. Olahan tembakau yang banyak dikonsumsi masyarakat yaitu cerutu. Nilai dan kuantitas ekspor cerutu Indonesia mengalami penurunan pada tahun 2022. Indonesia sebagai eksportir cerutu dunia masih harus bersaing dengan negara-negara eksportir lainnya. Tujuan penelitian ini untuk menganalisis daya saing cerutu Indonesia dan dinamika posisi daya saing sebagai eksportir dunia dan negara pesaing. Negara yang diamati sebagai negara pesaing yaitu Republik Dominika, Jerman, Belgia, Belanda, Spanyol, dan Hungaria. Analisis dilakukan dengan rentang waktu 12 tahun dengan kode HS yaitu 240210. Metode analisis untuk menjawab tujuan penelitian yaitu Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) dan Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA) untuk mengideentifikasi tingkat daya saing komperatif cerutu Indonesia dan Export Dynamic Product (EPD) untuk menganilisis posisi daya saing kompetitif cerutu Indonesia. Hasil penelitian diperoleh ekspor cerutu Indonesia memiliki keunggulan komperatif dengan nilai trend daya saing yang terus meningkat, tetapi mengalami penurunan pada dua tahun terakhir. Posisi daya saing cerutu Indonesia memiliki posisi retreat di periode pertama dan menjadi falling star di periode kedua. Pada periode ketiga mengalami peningkatan di posisi rising star dan kembali jatuh pada periode keempat di posisi lost opportunity.
Indonesian Curcuma Competition in the World Market: Insight from Demand System Analysis Yafi, Muhammad Ali
Jurnal AGRISEP JURNAL AGRISEP VOL 24 NO 02 2025 (SEPTEMBER)
Publisher : Badan Penerbitan Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31186/jagrisep.24.02.617-632

Abstract

Curcuma is frequently employed as an appetite enhancer and for medicinal purposes. In addition to being consumed domestically, Indonesian curcuma is also exported to the global market. This research identifies the manner in which Indonesian curcuma competes in the worldwide market, taking into account the fact that it also competes with curcuma from various other countries. The market position of Indonesian curcuma is identified using the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) method. The comparator countries selected for this study are five curcuma exporters, namely India, the Netherlands, Germany, Spain, and the USA. The analysis utilised time series data from January 2013 to December 2022, and the identification results of this study indicate that Indonesian curcuma is a normal good with elastic and responsive properties to the global demand for curcuma. Furthermore, it is observed that Indonesian curcuma substitutes or replaces Indian curcuma. Conversely, Dutch, German, Spanish, and USA curcuma exhibit a complementary relationship with Indonesian curcuma. To enhance the competitiveness of Indonesian curcuma in the global market, it is imperative to augment the volume and quality of exports, with a particular focus on standardisation and enhancing the added value through processing. This strategic approach is expected to not only ensure price competitiveness with other exporters but also to expand the share of Indonesian curcuma exports in the global market.
Relationship and Elasticity of Indonesia’s Tobacco Cigars with Major Competitors in the International Market Yafi, Muhammad Ali; Suharno, Suharno; Erwidodo, Erwidodo
Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal Vol 7, No 3 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Panji Sakti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37637/ab.v7i3.2005

Abstract

Indonesia's tobacco has good potential for exporting to the world market. Cigars are one of the derivative products that can compete with other exporting countries in the world. The trend of Indonesian cigar exports in 2022 has decreased. The study aims to identify the relationship between Indonesian cigars and competing countries in the international market. The research data to be observed uses HS code 240210 by comparing competitor countries between Indonesia, the Dominican Republic, Belgium, Netherlands, Germany, Spain, and Hungary. The analysis method used is the AIDS (Almost Ideal Demand System) model, which will describe the price elasticity of demand, cross-price, and income. The results obtained are based on the income elasticity of Indonesian cigars, including normal goods, with a value of 0.0287. The cross-price elasticity results show that Indonesian cigars tend to compete with Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, and Hungary cigars because they are positive. Meanwhile, Indonesian cigars are related to the Dominican Republic and Germany as complementary goods. Based on the results of the price elasticity of demand, a negative value is obtained, including Indonesian cigars, which means that the demand for Indonesian cigars is inelastic. 
Modelling the Relationship between Rice Price, Rice Production, Exchange Rate, and Rice Import in Indonesia Yafi, Muhammad Ali; Adyanti, Amanda Sekar; Purwanti, Amanda Anggi
Agro Ekonomi Vol 36 (2025): ARTICLE IN PRESS
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ae.100774

Abstract

Rice is a strategic food commodity for Indonesia. Most Indonesians, 95 percent consume rice as their staple food. However, Indonesia still imports rice to fulfil its domestic rice needs. Dependence on imports is neither good for the short term nor the long term. The purpose of this study is to see the relationship of rice price, rice production, exchange rate to Indonesia's rice import. The data used is time series data with monthly frequency from January 2019 to December 2023 taken from ITC Trade Map, Central Statistic Agency, and Bank Indonesia. The analysis method uses a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach that can provide short-term and long-term information through several tests. The results showed that in the long run the exchange rate and rice production have a negative influence on rice imports. While in the short term, the variables that affect rice imports are the import variable itself and the price of rice in the previous 2 periods, as well as rice production in 1 previous period. The significant influence of rice production requires the government to pay attention to the stock and the amount of imports in balance. Exchange rate, rice price, and rice production variables respond relatively quickly to rice imports. The rice import variable has a large enough proportion in influencing itself followed by the exchange rate, and rice production which has a greater influence each period. 
Predictive Trends of Major Food Prices in Indonesia: A Deep Learning Approach to Time Series Forecasting Yafi, Muhammad Ali; Maharani, Mutiara Ria Despita; Nabilla, Nur Afra; Adyanti, Amanda Sekar
Agro Ekonomi Vol 36 (2025): ARTICLE IN PRESS
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ae.104454

Abstract

Price uncertainty in food commodities will have an impact on people's food consumption. Prediction of future prices is necessary to serve as a policy reference in overcoming price fluctuations. The purpose of the study is to predict the price of major agricultural food in Indonesia in 2023-2029. The research uses time series data from 1990-2022 with price variables of corn, onion red chilli, beef, and chicken. The analytical tool used to answer the research objectives is the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. The results of the analysis obtained the best model for predicting price forecasts, namely ARIMA on corn commodities (1,1,0), shallots (2,1,0), red chillies (1,1,0), beef (0,1,1), and chicken meat (1,1,1). The results of the prediction of the price of Indonesia's food needs in 2023-2029 as a whole tend to increase.
PERAN MEDIASI ORIENTASI KEWIRUSAHAAN PADA ORIENTASI PASAR DAN INOVASI PRODUK TERHADAP KINERJA PEMASARAN Yafi, Muhammad Ali
Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen (JIMMU) Vol. 6 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Magister Manajemen Universitas Islam Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33474/jimmu.v6i1.11136

Abstract

             Tujuan penelitian ini adalah: untuk menguji Peran mediasi orientasi kewirausahaan pada orientasi pasar dan inovasi produk terhadap kinerja pemasaran. Populasi penelitian ini adalah 200 UMKM toko elektronik yang ada di cyber mall mall . Teknik sampling pada penelitian ini menggunakan purposive sampling, jumlah sampel yang digunakan sebanyak 67 orang. Alat analisis yang digunakan adalah Path Analysis, analisis ini menggunakan program SPSS versi 19.  Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ada pengaruh antara orientasi pasar terhadap orientasi kewirausahaan dan inovasi produk terhadap orientasi kewirausahaaan. Namun hasil penelitian juga menunjukan bahwa orientasi pasar terhadap kinerja pemasaran tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan, inovasi produk terhadap kinerja pemasaran tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan, orientasi kewirausahaan terhadap kinerja pemasaran tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan  dan orientasi kewirausahaan tidak memediasi orientasi pasar dan inovasi produk terhadap kinerja pemasaranKata Kunci:  UMKM , Kinerja pemasaran, Orientasi  kewirausahaan, Inovasi produk, Orientasi pasar .             The purpose of this study is: to test the role of mediation of entrepreneurial orientation on market orientation and product innovation on marketing performance. The population of this study was 200 UMKM of electronic stores in Cyber Mall. The sampling technique used in this study was purposive sampling. The number of samples used was 67 participant. Path Analysis was used to analyze the data using the SPSS Program version 19. The results showed that there was an influence between market orientation to entrepreneurial orientation and product innovation on entrepreneurial orientation. However, market orientation has no significant influence on marketing performance, product innovation has no signidicance influence on marketing performance, entrepreneurial orientation has no significant influence on marketing performance,  and entrepreneurial orientation does not mediate market orientation and product innovation on marketing performance.Keywords:  UMKM, marketing performance, entrepreneurial orientation, product innovation, market orientation 
Merajut Iman di Pulau Dewata: Pola Pendidikan Islam bagi Muallaf dalam Jaring Sosial-Kultural Bali Yafi, Muhammad Ali; Mahmud, Amir; AR, Zaini Tamin
An-Nafah: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Keislaman Vol. 4 No. 1 (2024): Mei 2024
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Agama Islam Taswirul Afkar Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64469/an-nafah.v4i1.51

Abstract

Perkembangan jumlah muallaf di Indonesia tidak hanya mencerminkan dinamika sosial-keagamaan, tetapi juga menuntut perhatian serius dalam aspek pembinaan dan pendidikan agama Islam. Studi ini menyoroti pola pendidikan agama Islam bagi muallaf di Yayasan Muallaf Al-Yumna, Desa Candikuning, Kecamatan Baturiti, Kabupaten Tabanan, Bali. Menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dengan metode fenomenologi, penelitian ini menggali strategi pembinaan muallaf melalui wawancara mendalam, observasi, dan analisis dokumentasi. Temuan penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pembinaan muallaf di yayasan ini mengadopsi pendekatan multidimensional, yakni pendekatan psikologis, sosial-religius, dan pemberdayaan ekonomi. Pola pembinaan dilakukan secara berkelanjutan melalui metode struktural, non-struktural, dan kultural, yang meliputi pengajian, kajian keIslaman, serta kegiatan sosial-keagamaan seperti tradisi kethok semprong dan rudat. Meskipun sebagian muallaf telah mampu menginternalisasi ajaran Islam secara utuh, masih terdapat tantangan dalam aspek praktik keagamaan sehari-hari, khususnya dalam pelaksanaan ibadah wajib. Dengan demikian, penelitian ini merekomendasikan penguatan sistem pendampingan yang lebih komprehensif serta keterlibatan komunitas Muslim yang lebih luas dalam mendukung keberlanjutan pembinaan muallaf di Indonesia.
Co-Authors Adetya, Aulia Adyanti, Amanda Sekar Amir Mahmud Erwidodo Erwidodo, Erwidodo Maharani, Mutiara Ria Despita Nabilla, Nur Afra Purwanti, Amanda Anggi Suharno Suharno Zaini Tamin AR, Zaini Tamin