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Fertility and Female Labor Force Participation in Asian Countries; Panel ARDL Approach Nazah, Nawalin; Duasa, Jarita; Arifin, Muhammad Irwan
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 22, No 2: October 2021
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v22i2.11142

Abstract

Fertility has a close relationship with female labor force participation and is predicted to be the prominent factor affecting female labor force participation in rich and emerging countries. The decline in fertility worldwide, accompanied by increased female education, is assumed to increase female labor force participation. The increase in the female labor force participation rate can improve economic incentives for the country. Therefore, this study estimates the effect of fertility and female education on female labor force participation in cross-country panel datasets from 39 Asian countries, using panel ARDL analysis from 1990-2018. This study also examines the panel causality between the variables employing Dumitrescu and Hurlin’s (2012) Granger non-causality test. According to the Hausman test, among the three models in panel ARDL, DFE is the preferred model compared to the PMG and MG. The results revealed that fertility was negatively significant on female labor participation in the short run but not in the long run. In contrast, female education was positively significant on female labor participation in the long run but not in the short run. Meanwhile, the panel causality showed a bidirectional relationship between female labor participation and fertility, female labor participation and education, and fertility and female education.
The impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Poverty Levels in Central Java: A Comparative Analysis Nazah, Nawalin; Winarni, Dwi; Dewandaru, Rhis Ogie
EKOMABIS: Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Bisnis Vol. 5 No. 02 (2024): Ekomabis Edisi Juli 2024
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Pelita Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37366/ekomabis.v5i02.1423

Abstract

This study investigates how poverty levels in Central Java, Indonesia, were affected before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Initially, there was a gradual decline in poverty rates due to economic growth and poverty alleviation programs. However, the pandemic brought unprecedented challenges, leading to economic disruptions, job losses, and increased vulnerability. Using data from 2017 to 2023 across 29 regencies and 6 cities in Central Java, the research assesses the pandemic's impact on poverty. Factors such as unemployment, education, and minimum wage are examined, with COVID-19 represented by dummy variables. The findings reveal a rise in poverty during and after the pandemic, despite efforts to alleviate it. Education and minimum wage play significant roles in poverty reduction, while unemployment's impact is less clear. The study utilizes statistical models to analyze the data, identifying a random effect model as the most suitable. Heteroscedasticity is addressed using FGLS models, reaffirming the significant impact of variables on poverty. Additionally, the study evaluates Central Java's post-pandemic recovery efforts, providing insights for future policymaking to build resilient and inclusive societies in the face of similar crises.