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All Journal Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics
Fijay, Ade Habya
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Environmental Science

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Understanding Short-Term and Long-Term Price Fluctuations of Main Staple Food Commodities in Aceh Province, Indonesia: An ARDL Investigation Putra, Hadi Arisyah; Fijay, Ade Habya; Suriani, Suriani; Seftarita, Chenny; Ringga, Edi Saputra; Wintara, Heri; Fadliansah, Oka
Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics Vol. 1 No. 1 (2023): July 2023
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/eje.v1i1.50

Abstract

Aceh Province still relies on external sources from other regions for its main staple food commodities, resulting in unpredictable price fluctuations. To address this issue, it is essential to identify the key determinants responsible for these fluctuations and implement suitable preventive measures and policies. Utilizing monthly time-series data from January 2016 to December 2020 and employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, we investigate the short-term and long-term impact of variables like raw material prices, rainfall, and price index received by farmers on the price fluctuations. The results of the ARDL estimation reveal that all selected independent variables play a crucial role and significant in influencing the price fluctuations of main staple food commodities. Armed with these findings, we suggest that policymakers can provide necessary resources to farmers, strengthen weather monitoring systems, and enhance market transparency, thus better controlling future price fluctuations of regional staple food commodities.
Decomposed Impact of Democracy on Indonesia’s Economic Growth Hardi, Irsan; Ringga, Edi Saputra; Fijay, Ade Habya; Maulana, Ar Razy Ridha; Hadiyani, Rahmilia; Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig
Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): November 2023
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/eje.v1i2.80

Abstract

Indonesia's democratic performance is still classified as a 'moderate' and 'flawed democracy' according to the latest report, even though the ongoing progress of national democracy continues to advance every year. This study addresses the issue by offering a more comprehensive perspective and distinguishes itself by employing a decomposition approach that incorporates 25 indicators of the Indonesian democracy index to assess their individual effects on economic growth, which no prior Indonesian study has explored. The study classifies these indicators into six distinct categories: freedom and civil rights issues, discrimination issues, political and electoral issues, social and cultural issues, law and justice issues, and demonstration and community participation issues. The findings reveal that five out of the six categorized indicators have a crucial role and significantly impact economic growth. This evidence suggests that policymakers should prioritize a multifaceted approach, which includes bolstering the protection of civil rights and freedoms, combating discrimination, as well as reforming electoral and political processes. If implemented with transparency and inclusivity, this approach can pave the way for a more robust and prosperous democracy, leading to better and sustainable economic growth in Indonesia.
Co-Authors Chenny Seftarita Fadliansah, Oka Hadiyani, Rahmilia Hardi, Irsan Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig Maulana, Ar Razy Ridha Putra, Hadi Arisyah Ringga, Edi Saputra Suriani Suriani Wintara, Heri