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Determinant of Unemployment Duration with Survival Analysis Safitri, Hendri Cahyo Dwi; Afiatno, Bambang Eko
Gorontalo Development Review Volume 3 Nomor 1 April 2020
Publisher : Universitas Gorontalo

This study aims to analyze the duration of unemployment in Gorontalo Province. The data used in the form of secondary data came from the National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas) in August 2018. The data source was obtained from the Statistics Indonesia (BPS). The total observation units used in this study were 707 individuals consisting of 122 censored data and 585 uncensored data. The technical analysis used in this study is survival analysis. The results showed that on average, the duration of unemployment in Gorontalo Province was 3.8 months. From the results of testing the variables that are significant to the duration of unemployment in Gorontalo Province, namely: sex, education level, and classification of residential areas.

DETERMINANTS OF SUBJECTIVE WELL-BEING: EVIDENCE OF URBAN INDONESIA Nandini, Dewi; Afiatno, Bambang Eko
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 18, No 1 (2020): JURNAL EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Happiness studies on economics have increasingly arisen since the uprising of the Easterlin Paradox phenomenon. Besides its populous side, the urban area has more complicated problems than rural. This research aims to analyze the determinants of happiness in urban Indonesia. We use the latest data from the Happiness Measurement Survey 2017 conducted by the BPS-Statistic Agency of Indonesia. Taking 30,665 observations, we apply the Ordered Logit Estimation technique (including G2-likelihood ratio test, Wald statistical test, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test) to analyze the determinants of happiness. We found that Easterlin Paradox does not exist in urban area Income, education, health, marrying, internal-external relationship, a satisfying job, positive feeling, and a meaningful life have a positive impact on happiness. Generally, these findings support some previous studies' findings.

The Determinants Of Happiness: Empirical Evidence Of Java Island Nandini, Dewi; Afiatno, Bambang Eko
Jurnal Ekonika : Jurnal Ekonomi Universitas Kadiri Vol 5, No 2 (2020): September 2020
Publisher : Universitas Kadiri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30737/ekonika.v5i2.713

Happiness research on economics has increasingly developed since Easterlin Paradox appeared. This research tries to analyze the determinants of happiness in Java Island, Indonesia. We use data from the Happiness Measurement Survey 2017 conducted by the BPS-Statistic Agency of Indonesia. Taking 23,456 observations, we employ binary logistic regression to test the effects of 13 independent variables on happiness. The results showed that income, education, health, social relations with family and society, environmental conditions, and a meaningful life affect happiness. In general, these findings strengthen some previous studies findings.

Determinants Of Subjective Well-Being: Evidence Of Urban Indonesia Dewi Nandini; Bambang Eko Afiatno
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 18 No. 1 (2020): JURNAL EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN
Publisher : Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jep.v18i1.11687

Happiness studies on economics have increasingly arisen since the uprising of the Easterlin Paradox phenomenon. Besides its populous side, the urban area has more complicated problems than rural. This research aims to analyze the determinants of happiness in urban Indonesia. We use the latest data from the Happiness Measurement Survey 2017 conducted by the BPS-Statistic Agency of Indonesia. Taking 30,665 observations, we apply the Ordered Logit Estimation technique (including G2-likelihood ratio test, Wald statistical test, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test) to analyze the determinants of happiness. We found that Easterlin Paradox does not exist in urban area Income, education, health, marrying, internal-external relationship, a satisfying job, positive feeling, and a meaningful life have a positive impact on happiness. Generally, these findings support some previous studies' findings.

Absolute Poverty of Early Childhood Children: A Comparative Analysis of Java and Non-Java Lucie Suparintina; Bambang Eko Afiatno
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 9, No 1 (2020)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

The development of quality human resources in the future depends on the development of children today. Deprived children's basic needs, such as preschool education, protection, health, and nutrition, make it difficult for children to be free from poverty. This study aims to analyze the determinants of early childhood children aged 3-6 years old who suffer from absolute poverty in Java, Bali-Nusa Tenggara, and Maluku-Papua using logistic regression. The results showed that the majority of early childhood children in Java deprive in 1 dimension. However, in the other regions, the majority of them are deprived in 2 dimensions. The education level of both the household head and the mother and the residential area had a significant effect on the possibility of an absolute poverty early childhood children in all regions. Government programs such as 12-year required education, agricultural business capital, and infrastructure development in rural areas need to be improved further.JEL Classification: I15, I25, I32How to Cite:Suparintina, L., & Afiatno, B. E. (2020). Absolute Poverty of Early Childhood Children: a Comparative Analysis of Java and Non-Java. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, Vol. 9(1), 107-122. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v9i1.14056.

STUDI DAMPAK PEMBANGUNAN PLTN-DESALINASI DI MADURA TERHADAP SEKTOR EKONOMI DAERAH Bambang Eko Afiatno; Mochamad Nasrullah; Sriyana Sriyana
Jurnal Pengembangan Energi Nuklir Vol 9, No 1 (2007): Juni 2007
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Sistem Energi Nuklir, Badan Tenaga Nuklir Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17146/jpen.2007.9.1.1949

ABSTRAK STUDI DAMPAK PEMBANGUNAN PLTN-DESALINASI DI MADURA TERHADAP SEKTOR EKONOMI DAERAH. Tujuan utama studi ini yaitu memperkirakan dampak pembangunan dan pengoperasian awal pembangkit listrik tenaga nuklir (PLTN)-desalinasi di Pulau Madura terhadap ekonomi daerah tersebut hingga tahun 2018. Proyeksi jangka panjang keluaran (output, X) ekonomi Madura menggunakan alat analisis model l-O (input-output) dinamis Leontief dan untuk PDRB - permintaan akhir (Y) menggunakan model time series dengan random growth adjustment yang didasarkan pada autoregressive trend model. Karena Tabel l-O Madura belum tersedia, maka diperlukan penyusunan Tabel l-O Madura tahun 2000 dengan metode RAS dan modifikasi. Proyek PLTN ini menggunakan teknologi SMART dengan 2 unit pembangkit (kapasitas 100 MWe per unit, keluaran total 200 MWe), tetapi tidak dibangun bersamaan (selisih setahun). Sedangkan desalinasinya menggunakan MED 4 unit dengan kapasitas masing-masing 10.000 m /hari. Masa 3 pembangunan PLTN-Desalinasi (tahap pelaksanaan) terhitung sejak tahun 2014 hingga 2018 (selama 5 tahun masa pembangunan) yang didahului dengan tahap pra-proyek (tahun 2010- 2013). Total kebutuhan investasi proyek ini adalah US$ 357,87 juta (tahun 2002). Pada saat kontrak ditandatangani (turn key contract) tahun 2009, nilai tersebut disesuaikan dengan expected inflation US$ sebesar 1,5% per tahun, sehingga nilai investasinya menjadi sebesar US$ 397.18 juta dan pada tahun 2014 (awal pembangunan) menjadi sebesar US$ 427.87 juta. Pada akhir proyek pembangunan (2018), nilai total investasinya adalah sebesar US$ 440.79 juta. Apabila biaya ganti rugi tanah dan perijinan dihitung, maka nilai proyek menjadi US$ 476 juta. Pada tahap pra-proyek (2010-2013), secara kumulatif aktivitas ganti-rugi lahan dan perijinan sebesar Rp 114,11 milyar (US$ 10.69 juta) berdampak tidak langsung - transmisi melalui konsumsi rumah tangga dan pemerintah - terhadap ekonomi Madura. Hasil simulasi l-O dinamis (Tabel l-O Madura tahun 2000, 10x10) menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan konsumsi itu berakibat pada penambahan keluaran ekonomi Madura, PDRB, dan tenaga kerja yaitu masing-masing secara kumulatif sebesar Rp 146,39 milyar, Rp79,20 milyar, dan 7.428 orang. Secara keseluruhan aktivitas proyek pada tahap pelaksanaan (2014-2017) diperkirakan Rp 231,37 milyar (US$ 19.36 juta) yang berdampak langsung terhadap ekonomi Madura. Dampak itu ditransmisikan melalui investasi yang diproduksi sektor 7 (bangunan-konstruksi), di mana dari simulasi l-O dinamis untuk dampak tersebut (kumulatif) adalah peningkatan keluaran, PDRB, dan penyerapan tenaga kerja yang masing-masing sebesar Rp 335,43 milyar, Rp 159,29 milyar, dan 14.941 orang. Pada tahap operasi awal proyek tahun 2018 selama 9 bulan untuk PLTN unit pertama (100MWe), dua unit desalinasi (20.000m /hari). Berdasarkan skenario 3 pembedaan harga dan produksi neto (listrik dan air dikurangi pemakaian sendiri sebesar 6,5% dan 2%) diperoleh tambahan keluaran baru yaitu Rp 337,64 milyar (skenario pertama) dan Rp 398,08 milyar (skenario kedua). Hasil simulasi 1-0 dinamis (skenario pertama) menghasilkan tambahan keluaran, PDRB, dan penyerapan tenaga kerja masing-masing Rp 441,6 milyar, Rp 52,4 milyar, dan 4.544 orang. Hasil skenario kedua yaitu meningkatkan keluaran ekonomi Madura sebesar Rp 519,7 milyar, PDRB sekitar Rp 58,7 milyar dan tenaga kerja sebanyak 5.313 orang. Kata Kunci: model l-O dinamis-statis PDRB-permintaan akhir; tenaga kerja; PLTN- desalinasi; energi listrik; air bersih. ABSTRACT A STUDY OF THE IMPACTS OF NPP-DESALINATION DEVELOPMENT IN MADURA ON SECTORAL REGIONAL ECONOMY. This study aims to assess the economic impact of construction and early operation of the nuclear power plant (NPP)- desalination project in the island of Mad Lira until the year 2018. Long-term projection on economic output (X) of Madura uses Leo ntiefdynamic 1-0 (input-output) model, and for GRDP- final demand (Y) uses time series model with random growth adjustment based on autoregressive model. Since the Madura 1-0 Table is not available, then it is necessary to construct it for 2000 using RAS method and some modifications. The NPP project will use SMART technology with 2 units of power generators (100 MWe capacity per unit, total output 200 MWe), but to be built sequentially with one year lag. As for the desalination will use 4 units MED with each unit capacity of 10.000 m'/day. The construction stage will take 5 years to be completed (2014-2018), preceded by the preproject stage along 2010-2013. Total investment requirements of the project is amounted to US$ 357,87 million (in 2002). At the time when the contract (turn key contract) is signed in 2009, the value will become US$ 397.18 million, and in 2014 (early construction) will be US$ 427.87 million. At the end of the project (2018), total investment requirements will amount to US$ 440.79 million. To include land make up payment and licenses costs the project will be worth US$ 476. In the pre-project stage (2010-2013), cumulatively, land make up payment and licenses management activities as much as Rp 114.11 billion (US$ 10.69 million) has indirect effect-transmitted through private and government consumption - onto Madura economy. Dynamic 1-0 simulation results (2000 Madura 1-0 Table, 10x10) show that the rise in consumption generate increases in output, GRDP and employment respectively in cumulative as much as Rp 146.39 billion, Rp79.20 billion, and 7,428 men. In overall, project activities in construction stage (2014-2017) estimated to Rp 231.37 billion (US$19.36 million) which has direct effect on Madura economy. The impact is transmitted through investment which is produced by sector 7 (construction), where from dynamic 1-0 simulation for this effect (cumulative) are increases in output, GRDP and employment respectively as much as Rp 335.43 billion, Rp 159.29 billion, and 14,941 men. In pre-operation stage in 2018 for 9 months for the first NPP unit (100MWe), and two units desalination (20.000m'/day). Based on price differencing scenarios and net production (electricity and water minus internal consumption amounted to 6,5% and 2%) new output is obtain as much as Rp 337.64 billion (first scenario) and Rp 398.08 billion (second scenario). Results from dynamic 1-0 simulation with first scenario show increases in output, GRDP and employment respectively up to Rp 441.6 billion, Rp 52.4 billion, and 4,544 men. As for the second scenario, the Madura economic output increases to Rp 519.7 milyar, GRDP rises to Rp 58.7 billion and employment for 5.313 men. Keywords: l-O model model dynamic-static; GRDP-final demand; labor; NPP- desalination; electricity; water.

Job Search Duration and Business Preparation Duration: An Empirical Study of Micro Data in Indonesia with Cox Regression Hendri Cahyo Dwi Safitri; Bambang Eko Afiatno
Jurnal Economia Vol 16, No 1: April 2020
Publisher : Faculty of Economics Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta in collaboration with the Institute for

Abstract: This study aims to analyze the difference in job search duration and business preparation duration based on education level, training, job experience, marital status, age, and sex. The total unit of analysis used in this study is 51,112 individuals sourced from National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas) conducted in August 2017. This study applies the Survival Analysis with Cox Regression. The survival rate results show that unemployed people who prepare a business will get a job faster than their counterparts who are still looking for a job. Cox regression testing shows that education, training, marital status, and age have significantly affected job search duration in Indonesia. Meanwhile, education, training, and marital status have significantly influenced the period of business preparation in Indonesia. Keywords: unemployment, job search duration, business preparation duration, cox regression, survival analysis Lama Mencari Kerja dan Lama Mempersiapkan Usaha: Studi Empiris Data Mikro di Indonesia Abstrak: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis perbedaan lama mencari kerja dan lama mempersiapkan usaha dilihat dari tingkat pendidikan, pelatihan, pengalaman kerja, status perkawinan, umur, serta jenis kelamin. Total unit analisis yang digunakan sebanyak 51.112 individu yang bersumber dari data Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (Sakernas) Agustus 2017. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah Survival Analysis dengan Cox Regression. Hasil survival rate menunjukkan bahwa pengangguran yang mempersiapkan usaha akan lebih cepat memperoleh pekerjaan dibandingkan dengan pengangguran yang mencari pekerjaan. Pengujian dengan cox regression menunjukkan bahwa pendidikan, pelatihan, status perkawinan, dan umur berpengaruh signifikan terhadap lama mencari pekerjaan di Indonesia. Sedangkan pendidikan, pelatihan, dan status perkawinan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap lama mempersiapkan usaha di Indonesia. Kata kunci: pengangguran, lama mencari kerja, lama mempersiapkan usaha, regresi cox, analisis survival

Sumber-Sumber Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Jawa Timur Periode 2000-2010: Analisis Dekomposisi Struktural Ali Akbar Hakim; Bambang Eko Afiatno
MediaTrend Vol 17, No 1 (2022): MARET
Publisher : Trunojoyo University of Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/mediatrend.v17i1.10096

The purpose of this study was to determine the sources of economic growth in East Java using structural decomposition analysis. The study period is divided into two periods, namely the initial period (2000-2006) and the final period (2006-2010). The results show in the early period indicate that changes in final demand are the main determinants of economic growth in almost all sectors of the East Java economy, while changes in production structure (technology effects) tend to have negative effects on growth in almost all sectors other than services. In the final period, improvements to the production structure in almost every sector were able to make a positive contribution to output. Among the final demand categories, the largest output growth came from exports (between provinces) in the initial period, while in the final period the main source of growth shifted to household consumption. These findings indicate that East Java has the potential for large economic growth through inter-province exports with the support of improved production structures, particularly in the manufacturing sector.

Elastisitas Harga dan Elastisitas Pendapatan Permintaan Energi Listrik pada Rumah Tangga di Indonesia Neila Soraya; Bambang Eko Afiatno
Jurnal Sains Sosio Humaniora Vol. 5 No. 2 (2021): Volume 5, Nomor 2, Desember 2021
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/jssh.v5i2.16483

Sektor rumah tangga menempati posisi kedua sebagai konsumen energi terbesar di Indonesia. Listrik adalah energi dominan yang dikonsumsi oleh rumah tangga di Indonesia.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis elastisitas harga dan elastisitas pendapatan permintaan listrik pada sektor rumah tangga di Indonesia dengan menggunakan data mikro Susenas Maret 2018. Alat analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah regresi linear berganda. Hasil estimasi menunjukkan harga listrik berpengaruh negatif terhadap permintaan listrik, sedangkan variabel pendapatan per kapita, ukuran rumah tangga, umur kepala rumah tangga, pendidikan kepala rumah tangga, dan wilayah tempat tinggal berpengaruh positf terhadap permintaan listrik. Koefisien elastisitas harga dan koefisien elastisitas pendapatan menunjukkan nilai yang elastis terhadap permintaan listrik. Hal ini menunjukkan listrik tergolong “normal goods” dan merupakan kebutuhan pokok bagi rumah tangga di Indonesia.

ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE DEMAND FOR KEROSENE IN URBAN HOUSEHOLDS IN INDONESIA Neila Soraya; Bambang Eko Afiatno
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 5, No 4 (2021): IJEBAR : Vol. 05, Issue 04, December 2021
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v5i4.3631

The government has been converting kerosene to gas since 2007. However, households that use kerosene for cooking purposes are still found in urban areas in Indonesia, even though access to gas is already very easy. This study aims to investigate the factors that influence the demand for kerosene in urban households in Indonesia. Based on the March 2018 Susenas data from BPS, it was found that 15,143 urban households still use kerosene, 80.20 percent of them use kerosene as the main fuel for cooking. Using multiple linear regression, it was found that the price of kerosene and the gender of the head of the household had a negative effect on the intensity of kerosene use in urban households. Meanwhile, income per capita, age of the head of the household, number of household members, and education level of the head of household have a positive effect on the intensity of kerosene use in urban households.

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