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EFEKTIVITAS PENGELUARAN KESEHATAN DAN PENDIDIKAN PEMERINTAH UNTUK MENINGKATKAN INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA Okta Rabiana Risma; Affandi Affandi; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (242.814 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1368

Abstract

This research aims to analyse how much influence the proportion of government expenditure on health and education as a supporting improvement of human development index in Aceh Province. The model used in the study was the panel data model i.e. from 2012 to 2013. As for in this research the variables are tested i.e. Government expenditure on health (KS) and government expenditure in education (PDK) as independent variables. Meanwhile, Human Development Index (HDI) as its dependencies variable. Based on regression gained that the best approach to the outcome of this study is fixed effect model. Health variables have a negative and insignificant influence on human development indices. While the educational variables are significant and positive to the HDI  in Aceh.Keywords: Panel model, Government expenditure, human development index.
PENGARUH PAJAK DAN RETRIBUSI TERHADAP BELANJA LANGSUNG DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI ACEH Tajul Ula; Rollis Juliansyah; Okta Rabiana Risma
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 6, No 1 (2020) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v6i1.2006

Abstract

Current issues in the Aceh province are facing fiscal issues — the abundant budget but the economic situation is unstable. This research was conducted to see how the tax influence and the regional levy on direct spending are fiscal instruments, as well as see the impact on the economic growth of the district/city in Aceh Province in the period 2013-2017. The model used in this research is the data panel model with the Analysis of paths and the variables used are PDRB, direct spending, tax and regional levy. The estimated results of the panel data regression based on the best model Fixed Effect Model with the path analysis explained the influence of tax and levy on economic growth has a direct effect that is greater than the indirect effect through the direct spending intermediary variable. That is, direct spending is still supported by most by the transfer of funds or the balance Fund from the central government, in other words the Regency/City in the province of Aceh has not been independently in managing its fisscores. Therefore, the Regency/City government in Aceh province to be creative and innovative in digging the source of regional acceptance to the region. Further researchers are advised to further investigate the degree and fiscal capability as well as the addition of variables associated with other fiscal instruments.Keywords: Path Analysis, Direct Spending, Economic Growth, Tax And Regional Retribution.
ANALISIS KESEIMBANGAN EKSPOR DAN IMPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA Syahril Syahril; Affandi Affandi; Okta Rabiana Risma; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (383.401 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1371

Abstract

This research aims study is to explain the area of oil palm, the productivity of oil palm, CPO export offers for the year, CPO import demand and the balance of Indonesia CPO export and import. we use time series data for 1981-2014 years and econometrics models in the form of simultaneous equations with 2SLS method. The focus of the study is the balance of Indonesia's CPO export and import for the period 1981-2014 years. Statistical analysis of multiple linear regression using the Shazam 10. F Test Results show that the current domestic CPO prices, current domestic rubber prices, the area of oil palm land in the previous year had a significant effect on land area. Current CPO export prices, current domestic CPO prices, and previous year's oil palm productivity have a significant effect on CPO productivity and the current fertilizer prices have no significant effect. Current CPO export prices, current CPO production and previous year's CPO exports, the current rupiah exchange rate against the dollar today has a significant effect on CPO export offers while the current rupiah against the dollar has no significant effect on export offers. Current CPO import prices, current GDP have a significant effect on CPO import demand while the previous year's import demand had no significant effect on import demand. The CPO export offer of the previous year had a significant effect on the balance of Indonesia's CPO export prices while the rupiah exchange rate against the current dollar, current CPO production, CPO export of the previous year, current year's GDP and import of the previous year had no significant effect on Indonesia's CPO export price balance. Keywords: Land Area, Domestic CPO Production, CPO Productivity, CPO Exports, CPO Imports, Domestic CPO Prices, CPO Export Prices, CPO Import Prices, Rubber Prices, Exchange Rates, GDP and Fertilizer Prices.
Permintaan Impor (Import Demand) Beras di Indonesia: Pendekatan Analisis Times-Series – Vector Error Correction Model Helmi Noviar; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (534.818 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1366

Abstract

This article aims to examine some of the components that affect rice imports in Indonesia in the short and long term through a time-series analysis method approach using the Vector Error Correction model as an approach of estimating commodity specific import demand models. Data series in the period 1975-2015 of variable domestic prices, international rice prices, exchange rates and GDP. Estimation results show only a one-way causality relationship between relative prices, exchange rates and income. While the long-term relationship is not found in this import demand model. Therefore, implications in further research especially in modeling time-series are the main recommendations in this article. Keyword: vector error correction, Import Demand,
ANALISIS HUBUNGAN KEMISKINAN, PDRB, TRANSFER PEMERINTAH, PAD DAN BELANJA MODAL DI ACEH ERA OTONOMI KHUSUS Tajul Ula; Rollis Juliansyah; Okta Rabiana Risma; Nanda Herijal Putera
EKOMBIS: JURNAL FAKULTAS EKONOMI Vol 7, No 2 (2021): November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v7i2.4414

Abstract

Isu Provinsi Aceh sebagai daerah termiskin di Sumatera dengan anggaran daerah yang didukung transfer dana otonomi khusus dari DAU-N sejak tahun 2008 merupakan isu dalam penelitian ini. Model Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) digunakan sebagai model analisis untuk melihat interakasi antar variabel dalam penelitian ini. Variabel yang digunakan dalam model VECM ini adalah Kemiskinan, PDRB,Transfer Pemerintah, PAD, dan Belanja Modal. Hasil estimasi VECM menunjukkan dalam jangka pendek hanya satu variabel signifikan pada taraf nyata lima persen ditambah satu variabel error correction. Adanya dugaan parameter error correction yang signifikan membuktikan adanya mekanisme penyesuaian dari jangka pendek ke jangka panjang.
PENGARUH TINGKAT INFLASI DAN PENGANGGURANTERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI Rina Maulina; Jul Fahmi Salim; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 4 No 1 (2018) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (181.088 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v4i1.1338

Abstract

This study aims the relationship between the economic growth, Inflation and unemployment in Indonesia by using the time series data from 2007:q1-2016:q4. The study employ the recently developed using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. Eviews version 9 were used for model estimation. Model estimation showed the significant and negative effect of inflation on economic growt in long term, which indicated that inflation decreased economic growth in the long term. In the short term   GDP lag 1 has positive and significant effect on economic growt, in other word inflation lag 1 and inflation lag 2 have negative and significant effect on economic growth. This issue revealed that authorities should diligently endeavor and plan tu reduce inflation and increasing all of economic sector to increasing GDP in short term and long term. The result of this study can be used by all respect authorities in Indonesia, especially economic and social institution. Keywords: Inflation, Economic Growth, GDP, Bound Test, Unemployment, ARDL Approach
The Determinant of The Working Poor’s Income in The South-West Areas of Aceh 2010 and 2020 T Zulham; Yayuk Eko Wahyuningsih; Tasdik Ilhamudin; Rollis Juliansyah
Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences Vol 11 (2021): the 11th AIC on Social Sciences, Syiah Kuala University
Publisher : Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Poverty is a complex and multidimensional problem that is influenced by various interrelated factors, including: income level, education, access to goods and services, geographical location, gender and environmental conditions. Overall poverty rates have declined in all regions over the last 10 years. However, if we look at the poverty rate in the South-West (Barsela) region of Aceh, it is higher than the provincial and Indonesian averages. This indicates that there are many people living below the poverty line in the Barsela area. The phenomenon of working poor above certainly raises the question that there are things which are the determining factors why the welfare or income of workers is still very low. This study aims to analyze the income determinants of the working poor in the South-West Aceh region in 2010 and 2020. These determinants include socio-demographic variables, namely gender, area of residence, marital status, age, education level, business field, employment sector, and number of hours worked. The data used is secondary data and taken from Central Bureau of Statistics of Aceh. This study uses comparative descriptive qualitative analysis with sample of Susenas 2010 is 15.830 persons and the number of workers 3.589 persons. In addition, sample of Susenas 2020 is 17.197 persons with the number of workers 7.013 persons. On the other hand, women experienced a decline. Thus, this data remains unchanged in that the latest data in 2019 shows that the number of workers is also still dominated by South Aceh Regency at 98,000 people and the lowest is Subulussalam City at 29,000 people. Based on this data, it is suggested to the district/city governments in the Barsela region to improve the welfare of the working poor through the provision of allowances to the poor, so that they are able to get out of the poverty trap.Keywords: determinant, working poor and Barsela region.
MENINGKATKAN SEMANGAT BELAJAR DAN TERUS BERKARYA BAGI PEMUDA-PEMUDI INDONESIA DIMASA COVID-19 Rollis Juliansyah; Budianto Budianto
Community Development Journal : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): Volume 2 Nomor 1 Tahun 2021
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/cdj.v2i1.1480

Abstract

Kegiatan ini dilakukan dengan tujuan agar memberikan motivasi dan semangat dalam mengikuti pembelajaran meski dalam kondisi pandemik dengan memperhatikan aspek-aspek kesehatan. Sehingga dapat meningkatkan semangat dan termotivasi hingga mengahsilkan buah karya yang bermanfaat bagi agama, bangsa, dan Negara Indonesia. Dalam proses belajar mengajar diperlukan pemberian motivasi maupun peningkatan semangat bagi para peserta didik, agar tumbuh rasa percaya diri dan menumbuhkan ide-ide kreatif, sehingga dapat meningkatkan intelegensia peserta didik. Hal ini dapat dilakukan dengan banyak metode, baik dengan kegiatan diluar ruangan (kurikuler) maupun dengan meluangkan waktu dengan membagi cerita, pengalaman dan diskusi dengan peserta didik. Mengapa hal ini penting dilakukan? sebagaimana laju pertumbuhan penduduk yang terus meningkat dan penguatan kepemahan yang baik harus diberikan pada generasi muda, guna mendukung tercapainya pembangunan yang berkelanjutan dan pengelolaan sumberdaya manusia, hingga dapat berdampak pada pertumbuhan dan pengembangan wilayah selanjutnya melaui ide maupun aksi dari implementasi buah pikir yang kreatif dan membangun
The Influence of Economic Growth, Population, and Industrial Sectors on Environmental Degradation in Indonesia Rollis Juliansyah; T Zulham; Eddy Gunawan
SRIWIJAYA INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DYNAMIC ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS SIJDEB, Vol. 3 No. 1, March 2019
Publisher : Faculty of Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (203.405 KB) | DOI: 10.29259/sijdeb.v3i1.93-106

Abstract

Growth of the econonomic is the main problem of many developing countries (developing country) such as Indonesia itself, grasp with economic development as his instrument. It is in the form of environmental degradation that occurs as a by product that is not likely to attain many market participants even the Government though. On this simple research will be described in simple and concrete, where we restrict this research on variable environmental degradation in the form of proxy data CO2 emissions in Indonesia, economic growth, population, and industrial sectors. Whenever it is found to be the result of linear regression method with the double the result that environmental degradation occurs which by population growth and economic growth, each effect is positive and significant. However, the industrial sector showed a negative influence and significantly to degradation of the environment itself.
Supply Chain Strategy for World Price of Crude Palm Oil and Its Production on Palm Oil Marketing Margins in Indonesia: An Application of Pairwise Granger Causality Syahril Syahril; Jumadil Saputra; Alisman Alisman; Affandi Affandi; Helmi Noviar; Rollis Juliansyah; Mahrizal Mahrizal
International Journal of Supply Chain Management Vol 9, No 1 (2020): International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM)
Publisher : International Journal of Supply Chain Management

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (249.714 KB)

Abstract

Abstract- This study aims to examine the supply chain strategy in causal relationship between world CPO price causality, production and marketing margin price using the Granger causality approach in the period January 2006-December 2017. This research proves that: (i) The results of the bivariate causality test explain that Indonesian CPO production has a single causality direction with world CPO prices. (ii) The results of the impulse response function and variance decomposition explain that the shock of the marketing margin variable gives a fluctuating response to fluctuations in world CPO prices, but the response is always positively given by the shock marketing margin in response to changes experienced by the variable world CPO prices. The results of this study are efforts to increase the price of CPO in the country by encouraging the development of palm oil derivative industries in increasing derivatives of high economic value products.