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All Journal Proceedings of Annual International Conference Syiah Kuala University - Social Sciences Chapter AGRIEKONOMIKA PASAI Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam Journal of Socioeconomics and Development Jurnal Pertanian Agros International Journal of Supply Chain Management Jambura Equilibrium Journal Jurnal Bisnis Dan Kajian Strategi Manajemen Ekombis: Jurnal Fakultas Ekonomi Akbis: Media Riset Akuntansi dan Bisnis Jurnal Bisnis Tani Jurnal Pembelajaran Pemberdayaan Masyarakat (JP2M) Jurnal Triton Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Nusantara Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat (ABDIRA) Jurnal Al-Kharaj: Studi Ekonomi Syariah, Muamalah, dan Hukum Ekonomi SI-MEN (AKUNTANSI & MANAJEMEN) STIES Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan JURNAL PENGABDIAN AGRO AND MARINE INDUSTRY Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research TOFEDU: The Future of Education Journal Baileo: Jurnal Sosial Humaniora Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Ekonomika : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Terpadu

Helmi Noviar

Universitas Teuku Umar

Author-ID : 2520810

Religion Aerospace Engineering Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Veterinary Other

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Analisis Kecukupan Dan Ketersediaan Beras Di Indonesia (1975-2009) Noviar, Helmi
PASAI Vol 7, No 1 (2013)
Publisher : Universitas Malikussaleh

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

This article examines rice economy in Indonesia during 1975-2009, in particular describing sufficient and stock rice stipulation in that period. As a strategic commodity, rice to be crucial element of strategic issues of food security in Indonesia, mainly post-economic crisis period (1997-2009). This paper study shows that during at that time from beginning period in 1975 which Indonesia Government focus on developing agriculture sector for self-sufficient target, in particular rice production target and attainning in 1984. Following that period, domestic rice production fluctuated, mainlyÂ tends to decreased steadily, in addition to, obtaining sufficient and stock domestic rice, Indonesia rice importation progresively increase, it become significant in post-economic crisis during 2001-2009. The critical condition in rice domestic stock thus 3,9% of rice domestic production was imported to support domestic supply. Hence, rice average production growth should be greater than average consumption growth with the assumption that the constant growth of Indonesian population. One common policy recommendation is to aim for rice production stabilization from supporting input production such as maintanance agricultural infrastructure regularly and also expand research and technology organic-input to get sustainable rice domestic production in the long-run, in addition to, strict land agricultural policy with respect to condensing land conversion as soon as possible should be accomodated as well.

EKSPEKTASI RASIONAL: PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE Helmi Noviar
Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam (Darussalam Journal of Economic Perspec Vol 2, No 1 (2016): Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Islam, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis - Universitas Syiah Kuala

This article discusses the rational expectations theory in the perspective of the appearance process and its contribution to economic thought in terms of the science and its application on the economy. The methodology in writing this paper is through literature review, generally taken from journal articles which examine from two viewpoints: from economists who initiated and supported the concept of this theory and those who opposed it. Furthermore, it also discuss about its application, particularly in terms of future economic studies. As part of the New Classical Economics, the theory pioneered by Robert E. Lucas, Jr. along with Thomas J. Sargent has provided a great contribution of empirical and multifaceted approaches, which provides a compilation of the results of the study and generalization theory by numerous macroeconomist and econometrician in Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice (1981), it quite influential on level of academic and applied economics. In other words, the rational expectation revolution is one of the important components in modern economic theory, the New Classical Economics and New Keynesian Economics.Artikel ini membahas teori ekspektasi rasional dalam perspektif proses munculnya teori ini dan kontribusinya terhadap paham pemikiran ekonomi baik dari sisi ilmu pengetahuan maupun aplikasinya dalam suatu perekonomian. Metodologi penulisan artikel ini melalui review literatur dari sumber jurnal dengan memisahkan dua sudut pandang terhadap teori rasional ekspektasi: dari sisi ekonom yang menggagas dan mendukung konsep teori ini dan yang bertentangan. Selanjutnya, dalam artikel ini juga membahas aplikasi teori ini dalam studi-studi ekonomi di masa mendatang. Sebagai bagian dari paham ekonomi klasik baru, teori yang diinisiasi oleh Robert E. Lucas, Jr. bersamaThomas J. Sargent melahirkan karya kumpulan artikel dari beberapa ahli ekonomi makro dan ekonometrika dalam Rational Expectations and Econometric Practice (1981) yang cukup berpengaruh pada tataran akademis dan aplikasi ilmu ekonomi. Dengan perkataan lain, revolusi ekspektasi rasional, merupakan salah satu komponen penting dalam teori ekonomi modern seperti halnya paham Ekonomi Keynesian baru dan Ekonomi klasik baru.

PERANG PARADIGMA: DAPATKAH MENDAMAIKAN METODOLOGI PENDEKATANKUANTITATIF DAN KUALITATIF Helmi Noviar; Ery Jayanti; Saiful Badli
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 1 (2019) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

The aim of this article is to describe how the paradigm qualitative and quantitative occur and its evolution concisely and the distinction between these two paradigm in the early days and particularly in the mid 1950’s which cause the paradigm wars on methodology and also epistemology point of view in the social science and economics dicipline. Both qualitative and quantitative significantly contribute in the social science overall. In addition to, the Nobel Prize winner in 1974Gunnar Myrdal inAsian Drama: An Inquiry Into the Poverty of Nations (1957) by using sociological frameworkand Garry S. Becker, winner of the 1992 economic Nobel in his doctoral dissertation Discrimination in the Market Place (1955) which included elements of crime, social conflicts (racial discrimination), and institutional economics in examining economic problems. The dichotomy of the qualitative and quantitative approaches is no longer relevant, because both have their advantages and disadvantages, in the qualitative approach the process of getting realistic data is quite good and comprehensive while in the quantitative approach provides a particularpicture or pictures of reality. Therefore, mixed method that can cover each other's shortcomings. Nevertheless, the process of obtaining truth is not just a methodological paradigm, but there is something called epistemological process so that the truth that is revealed as a science is describing an objective reality.Keywords: mixed method, qualitative and quantitative, triangulation

IMPOR BERAS DAN IMPLIKASI KEBIJAKAN PRODUKSI DAN KONSUMSI BERAS DI INDONESIA Helmi Noviar
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 4 No 1 (2018) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

The purpose of this paper is to assess the implications of rice imports on the welfareof farmers and several factors that cause rice imports in Indonesia. The method usedis a collection of data generated from various publications / publishing from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics, and formerly comparing the various results that resulted in journal publications. The results of analysis in this paper, based onrecent data, find the production gap between production and consumption which driven by the rate of consumption growth is not corresponding by the rate of growthof production. Thus, to carry out this issue, the government require import rice policyin 2014.This implies a decline in the purchasing power of farmers (NTP) and farmerproduction (NTUP) which in the next year increase rice production (2015) but it cannot significantly boost both competitiveness indicators. Therefore, in the short run, the imposition of rice commodities must be carefully calculated using the right principles and in the long term the increase of national rice production must be doneby improving facilities and infrastructure in the agricultural sector, and access to capital so as to create professional cooperation as rice producer in indonesia.Keywords: rice importation, production-consumption gap, NTP/NTUP.

ANALISIS IMPOR BERAS DAN KESEIMBANGAN PASAR BERAS INDONESIA Helmi Noviar; Affandi Affandi
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

The study aims to find and test simultaneous equation models in an effort to obtain the right model to estimate fit in the analysis of the needs of a national rice reserve. By using the data of the Central Board of Statistics of various editions and data of the Food Agricultural Organization all data needs of variables can be fulfilled.The method of estimation is using Two stage Ordinary Least Square (TSLS). Taking into consideration the condition of the variables, this model is identified overidentified, using some variable lag. The estimated results show some parameters quite significant, there are still some variables that are not statistically significant. Therefore, it is necessary pedekatan more precise model specifications, and other estimation methods, such as the Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) technique. Keywords: Simultaneous Model, partial adjusment, TSLS

ANALISIS PERKEMBANGAN FARMER’S SHARE DAN MARKETING MARGIN PADI DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010 – 2020 Rily Yunita; Syahril Syahril; Helmi Noviar
EKOMBIS: JURNAL FAKULTAS EKONOMI Vol 7, No 2 (2021): November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v7i2.4080

This study aims to determine the development of farmer's share and marketing margin of rice in Indonesia for 2010 – 2020. Farmer's share is a share of the price received by farmers with the price paid by consumers. Meanwhile, marketing margin is the difference between the price received by farmers and the price paid by consumers. This study uses secondary data obtained from government statistics and literature studies in accordance with the object of study. Farmer's share data analysis is expressed in percentages, while the marketing margin analysis is expressed in rupiah. From this study, it was found that the development of farmer's share rice for all quality groups in Indonesia in 2010 – 2020 tended to vary. Meanwhile, the development of marketing margins rice for all quality groups in Indonesia in 2010 – 2020 continued to increase from year to year although in certain years it decreased.

Permintaan Impor (Import Demand) Beras di Indonesia: Pendekatan Analisis Times-Series – Vector Error Correction Model Helmi Noviar; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

This article aims to examine some of the components that affect rice imports in Indonesia in the short and long term through a time-series analysis method approach using the Vector Error Correction model as an approach of estimating commodity specific import demand models. Data series in the period 1975-2015 of variable domestic prices, international rice prices, exchange rates and GDP. Estimation results show only a one-way causality relationship between relative prices, exchange rates and income. While the long-term relationship is not found in this import demand model. Therefore, implications in further research especially in modeling time-series are the main recommendations in this article. Keyword: vector error correction, Import Demand,

Technical Efficiency of Rice Farm Production in Aceh Province, Indonesia Helmi Noviar; Raja Masbar; Aliasuddin Aliasuddin; Sofyan Syahnur
Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences Vol 8 (2018): the 8th AIC on Social Sciences, Syiah Kuala University
Publisher : Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (363.366 KB)

The purpose of the present paper is to examine the efficiency of Indonesian rice production conducted in Aceh Province, by using agricultural census data 2013 with a sample of 1,029 characteristics of farm households. The analysis model used is stochastic frontier analysis (SFA)) approach and the estimation result obtained that rice production factors such as wages of farm workers, harvested area, fertilizer, and seeds have not been technically efficient. Furthermore, the economical scale of rice production in Aceh Province is decreasing return to scale that coherent with the results of the efficiency test.Keywords: efficiency, farmer household, stochastic frontier analysis, economic scale.

Supply Chain Strategy for World Price of Crude Palm Oil and Its Production on Palm Oil Marketing Margins in Indonesia: An Application of Pairwise Granger Causality Syahril Syahril; Jumadil Saputra; Alisman Alisman; Affandi Affandi; Helmi Noviar; Rollis Juliansyah; Mahrizal Mahrizal
International Journal of Supply Chain Management Vol 9, No 1 (2020): International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM)
Publisher : International Journal of Supply Chain Management

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (249.714 KB)

Abstract- This study aims to examine the supply chain strategy in causal relationship between world CPO price causality, production and marketing margin price using the Granger causality approach in the period January 2006-December 2017. This research proves that: (i) The results of the bivariate causality test explain that Indonesian CPO production has a single causality direction with world CPO prices. (ii) The results of the impulse response function and variance decomposition explain that the shock of the marketing margin variable gives a fluctuating response to fluctuations in world CPO prices, but the response is always positively given by the shock marketing margin in response to changes experienced by the variable world CPO prices. The results of this study are efforts to increase the price of CPO in the country by encouraging the development of palm oil derivative industries in increasing derivatives of high economic value products.

ANALISIS PERENCANAAN PEMBANGUNAN DAERAH DAN ANGGARAN DI KABUPATEN NAGAN RAYA Ahmad Ferizal; Helmi Noviar
SI-MEN Vol 13 No 1 (2022): Jurnal SI-MEN
Publisher : Pusat Penelitian dan Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat (P3M) STIES Banda Aceh

This study intends to find out how good planning and budgeting is and aims to see the performance of the Nagan Raya Regency Legislative Council (DPRK). In the 2021 Nagan Raya Regency RPJMK Document, in the process of compiling the Nagan Raya Regency RPJMK Document, there are systemic complexities of problems. To fix this problem, a Soft System Methodology (SSM) approach is used. The calculation of activities that are not synchronized between planning and activities and budgets carried out by detailed interviews. Obtaining conformity shows the compatibility between planning and budgeting activities in the Nagan Raya Regency People's Representative Council. The best fit is in POKIR for Community welfare. Where in POKIR explains about, which village and what development is being carried out as well as how much is the budget/cost of the development. The results of the analysis of performance achievement in the Bappeda of Nagan Raya Regency. Sometimes there are obstacles that make the Program not suitable due to field events such as late Disbursement of Funds, the Programs and activities have not been according to the time set so that they are less consistent. The results of the analysis of performance achievements in the Nagan Raya Regency People's Representative Council show that both targets, programs and activities are in line with the predetermined targets.

Co-Authors Abda Abda Affandi Affandi Aglis Andhita Hatmawan, Aglis Andhita Agustyn, Adelia Dara Ahmad Ferizal Ainul Mardiyah, Ainul Alfian Anas Alfian Anas Aliasuddin Aliasuddin ALISMAN ALISMAN Alisman, Alisman Ariani, Nia Arie Saputra Arisna, Puput Asmaria, Aja Baehaqi Damrus, Damrus Dian Ariani Ertika, Yenny Ery Jayanti Fadlianur, Azzahiri Fajri Hadi Fauzan, Ad Firman Firman Fitri Handayani Fitri Handayani Fitri Handayani Fitri, Hidayatul Fitriadi Fitriadi Fitriadi Fitriadi Harmaini Harmaini Hartini Indriani, Ririn Irmalis, Amsal Jul Fahmi Salim Juliansyah, Rollis Jumadil Saputra Khairul Hadi Leli Putri Ansari M. Nasir Mahrizal Mahrizal Mahrizal Mahrizal Mardaleta, Mardaleta Muhammad Rahmat Hidayat Muzakir Nisa Suriani Noval Suhendra Noviyanti, Mariska Putri Ramadhani, Putri Raja Masbar Ridwan Ridwan Rily Yunita Rollis Juliansyah Rollis Juliansyah Rusdi Rusdi Sahendra, Yusril Said Fadhlain Saiful Badli Saiful Badli Saiful Badli, Saiful Sofyan Syahnur Sri Rosmiati Sani Suriani, Nisa Syahril Syahril Syahril Syahril Syahril Syahril Ulyati, Razi Wahyuninggsih, Yayuk Eko Wahyuningsih, Yayuk Eko Yenny Ertika Yoanna Pusvita Sari Yunidar Purnama Sari Zulbaidi Zulbaidi Zulbaidi, Zulbaidi

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