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PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA, PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN NILAI TUKAR TERHADAP EKSPOR DI INDONESIA Okta Rabiana Risma; T. Zulham; Taufiq C. Dawood
Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam (Darussalam Journal of Economic Perspec Vol 4, No 2 (2018): Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Islam, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis - Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (283.443 KB) | DOI: 10.24815/jped.v4i2.13027

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the level of exports in Indonesia by using Time Series data from the year 1990 to 2015 against a variable interest rate loands, gross domestic product, and the exchange rate. Methods of analysis used i.e, Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL). The results showed that the three variables have no Granger which is caused by the difference of the order on the test stasioner. Based on a test of wald for the short term that gained and the long-term gross domestic product, exchange rates and interest rates significantly influential credit toward export.Keywords:ARDL, export, interest rate loands, gross domestic product, exchange rates.AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis tingkat ekspor di Indonesia dengan menggunakan data Time Series dari tahun 1990 sampai 2015 terhadap variabel suku bunga kredit, produk domestik bruto, dan nilai tukar. Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu AutoRegressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL).Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa ketiga variabel tidak memiliki kointegrasi yang disebabkan oleh perbedaan ordo pada uji stasionernya. Berdasarkan uji wald didapat bahwa untuk jangka pendek dan jangka panjang produk domestik bruto, nilai tukar dan suku bunga kredit berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap ekspor.
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA TAHUN 1994-2020 Affandi, A; Okta Rabiana Risma
Jurnal Bisnis Dan Kajian Strategi Manajemen Vol 5, No 1 (2021): JURNAL BISNIS DAN KAJIAN STRATEGI MANAJEMEN
Publisher : universitas teuku umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/jbkan.v5i1.3233

Abstract

This study aims to find out the factors that affect Indonesia's economic growth. To achieve the objectives of the study, this study used independent variables in the form of foreign investment (FDI), exchange rates, and interest rates. The data used in this research is secondary data from 1994-2020 sourced from various reports and compilations, especially publications from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and Bank Indonesia. The model used in this study was multiple linear regression with the method of analysis of the smallest square approach (Ordinary Least Square). The calculation results show that foreign investment variables, and exchange rates have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while interest rates have a negative and significant effect on economic growth. The coefficient of determination (Adj.R2= 0.806) indicates that Indonesia's economic growth of 80.6 percent is influenced by foreign investment (FDI), exchange rates, and interest rates, while the remaining 19.4 percent is influenced by other factors outside this research. To increase the rate of economic growth, the government needs to increase the amount of FDI in Indonesia and maintain the stability of the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, thereinafter lowering the interest rate in order to increase domestic investment, in order to create an optimal national total production. Keywords     : Economic Growth, Foreign Investment (PMA), Exchange Rate, and Interest Rate
EFEKTIVITAS PENGELUARAN KESEHATAN DAN PENDIDIKAN PEMERINTAH UNTUK MENINGKATKAN INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA Okta Rabiana Risma; Affandi Affandi; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (242.814 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1368

Abstract

This research aims to analyse how much influence the proportion of government expenditure on health and education as a supporting improvement of human development index in Aceh Province. The model used in the study was the panel data model i.e. from 2012 to 2013. As for in this research the variables are tested i.e. Government expenditure on health (KS) and government expenditure in education (PDK) as independent variables. Meanwhile, Human Development Index (HDI) as its dependencies variable. Based on regression gained that the best approach to the outcome of this study is fixed effect model. Health variables have a negative and insignificant influence on human development indices. While the educational variables are significant and positive to the HDI  in Aceh.Keywords: Panel model, Government expenditure, human development index.
PENGARUH PAJAK DAN RETRIBUSI TERHADAP BELANJA LANGSUNG DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI ACEH Tajul Ula; Rollis Juliansyah; Okta Rabiana Risma
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 6, No 1 (2020) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v6i1.2006

Abstract

Current issues in the Aceh province are facing fiscal issues — the abundant budget but the economic situation is unstable. This research was conducted to see how the tax influence and the regional levy on direct spending are fiscal instruments, as well as see the impact on the economic growth of the district/city in Aceh Province in the period 2013-2017. The model used in this research is the data panel model with the Analysis of paths and the variables used are PDRB, direct spending, tax and regional levy. The estimated results of the panel data regression based on the best model Fixed Effect Model with the path analysis explained the influence of tax and levy on economic growth has a direct effect that is greater than the indirect effect through the direct spending intermediary variable. That is, direct spending is still supported by most by the transfer of funds or the balance Fund from the central government, in other words the Regency/City in the province of Aceh has not been independently in managing its fisscores. Therefore, the Regency/City government in Aceh province to be creative and innovative in digging the source of regional acceptance to the region. Further researchers are advised to further investigate the degree and fiscal capability as well as the addition of variables associated with other fiscal instruments.Keywords: Path Analysis, Direct Spending, Economic Growth, Tax And Regional Retribution.
ANALISIS KESEIMBANGAN EKSPOR DAN IMPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA Syahril Syahril; Affandi Affandi; Okta Rabiana Risma; Rollis Juliansyah
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (383.401 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1371

Abstract

This research aims study is to explain the area of oil palm, the productivity of oil palm, CPO export offers for the year, CPO import demand and the balance of Indonesia CPO export and import. we use time series data for 1981-2014 years and econometrics models in the form of simultaneous equations with 2SLS method. The focus of the study is the balance of Indonesia's CPO export and import for the period 1981-2014 years. Statistical analysis of multiple linear regression using the Shazam 10. F Test Results show that the current domestic CPO prices, current domestic rubber prices, the area of oil palm land in the previous year had a significant effect on land area. Current CPO export prices, current domestic CPO prices, and previous year's oil palm productivity have a significant effect on CPO productivity and the current fertilizer prices have no significant effect. Current CPO export prices, current CPO production and previous year's CPO exports, the current rupiah exchange rate against the dollar today has a significant effect on CPO export offers while the current rupiah against the dollar has no significant effect on export offers. Current CPO import prices, current GDP have a significant effect on CPO import demand while the previous year's import demand had no significant effect on import demand. The CPO export offer of the previous year had a significant effect on the balance of Indonesia's CPO export prices while the rupiah exchange rate against the current dollar, current CPO production, CPO export of the previous year, current year's GDP and import of the previous year had no significant effect on Indonesia's CPO export price balance. Keywords: Land Area, Domestic CPO Production, CPO Productivity, CPO Exports, CPO Imports, Domestic CPO Prices, CPO Export Prices, CPO Import Prices, Rubber Prices, Exchange Rates, GDP and Fertilizer Prices.
ANALISIS TINGKAT PENDIDIKAN DAN TPAK TERHADAP PDRB PERKAPITA DI INDONESIA Affandi Affandi; Mirdha Fahlevi SI; Okta Rabiana Risma
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 5, No 2 (2019) November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (288.562 KB) | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v5i2.1363

Abstract

This research would be to see the extent of the influence of education level and the participation rate of labour force on the PDRB per capita of Indonesian society. An education level indicator is a school participation number that consists of 19-24 years, 16-18 years, 13-15 years and 7-12 years and the workforce is measured through the labour force participation rate, while the production factor used by PDRB from 33 provinces in Indonesian. The method used is quantitative with time series 2010-2014 data and cross section 33 Province in Indonesia. Secondary Data is sourced from BPS. The analysis technique uses the data panel with the method Random effect model (REM). Research conclusion: (1) The PDRB per capita of 76.53 is influenced by the level of education and participation rate of labour force while the remaining 23.47 percent is influenced by other factors beyond this study. (2) APS ages 19-24, age 16-18 years and APS age 13-25 years positively and significantly impact the PDRB per capita in Indonesia. (3) APS ages 7-12 years and TPAK has a significant and negative impact on the PDRB per capita in Indonesia. Keywords: education level, workforce level, PDRB Percapita, Data Panel
ANALISIS HUBUNGAN KEMISKINAN, PDRB, TRANSFER PEMERINTAH, PAD DAN BELANJA MODAL DI ACEH ERA OTONOMI KHUSUS Tajul Ula; Rollis Juliansyah; Okta Rabiana Risma; Nanda Herijal Putera
EKOMBIS: JURNAL FAKULTAS EKONOMI Vol 7, No 2 (2021): November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v7i2.4414

Abstract

Isu Provinsi Aceh sebagai daerah termiskin di Sumatera dengan anggaran daerah yang didukung transfer dana otonomi khusus dari DAU-N sejak tahun 2008 merupakan isu dalam penelitian ini. Model Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) digunakan sebagai model analisis untuk melihat interakasi antar variabel dalam penelitian ini. Variabel yang digunakan dalam model VECM ini adalah Kemiskinan, PDRB,Transfer Pemerintah, PAD, dan Belanja Modal. Hasil estimasi VECM menunjukkan dalam jangka pendek hanya satu variabel signifikan pada taraf nyata lima persen ditambah satu variabel error correction. Adanya dugaan parameter error correction yang signifikan membuktikan adanya mekanisme penyesuaian dari jangka pendek ke jangka panjang.
PENDIDIKAN KECAKAPAN WIRAUSAHA TATARIAS UNTUK SISWI DISABILITAS DAN GURU SMPLB NEGERI MEULABOH Yenny Ertika; Okta Rabiana Risma; Nabila Hilmy Zhafira
Community Development Journal : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 1 No. 2 (2020): Volume 1 Nomor 2 Tahun 2020
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/cdj.v1i2.913

Abstract

Sasaran dalam kegiatan pendidikan kecakapan wirausaha diutamakan adalah siswi-siswi disabilitas, dan disamping itu juga terhadap guru yang memiliki potensi untuk memulai usaha baru dan mengembangkanya di masa depan sehingga mempunyai multiplayer effect yang besar dalam penciptaan lapangan kerja baru. Melalui kegiatan ini diharapkan kepada lulusan peserta didik SMP Luar Biasa Negeri Meulaboh memiliki jiwa dan semangat wirausaha. SMPLB Negeri Meulaboh memiliki beberapa kecakapan seperti keterampilan kerajinan tangan, seni musik, keterampilan menjahit dan tatarias. Kegiatan ini diperlukan untuk mendampingi para siswi disabilitas dan guru untuk mengembangkan potensi yang dimiliki karena hal ini sangat bermanfaat disebabkan siswi-siswi disabilitas ini sering mengikuti kompetisi/perlombaan rutin setiap tahunnya antar Sekolah Luar Biasa baik di tingkat kabupaten maupun nasional. Kegiatan ini juga akan melatih potensi diri siswi-siswi yang akan mempengaruhi sikap dan kemandirian mereka yang pada akhirnya mampu berkarya dan menciptakan peluang wirausaha. Kegiatan ini menggunakan pendekatan deskriptif kualitatif, yang merupakan penelitian yang tidak menguji hipotesis melainkan untuk mendiskripsikan informasi apa adanya sesuai dengan variabel-variabel yang diteliti, metode yang digunakan yaitu tutorial dan praktek langsung. Setelah dilakukan pelatihan ini siswi-siswi disabilitas dan guru SMPLB Negeri Meulaboh memiliki semangat dan potensi yang baik untuk dapat dijadikan sebagai peluang usaha.
SOSIALISASI MITIGASI BENCANA TSUNAMI TINGKAT SEKOLAH DASAR DI SDN 06, ACEH BARAT Nabila Hilmy Zhafira; Yusnaidi Yusnaidi; Yenny Ertika; Okta Rabiana Risma; Chairiyaton Chairiyaton
Community Development Journal : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 1 No. 3 (2020): Volume 1 Nomor 3 Tahun 2020
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/cdj.v1i3.1177

Abstract

Sasaran dalam sosialisasi ini adalah siswa tingkat sekolah dasar, khususnya siswa SDN 06 Kecamatan Johan Pahlawan Kabupaten Aceh Barat, untuk meningkatkan pemahaman dan kesadaran mereka akan bencana. Melalui manajemen resiko yang komprehensif dampak bencana dapat diminimalisir dengan adanya pengetahuan dan wawasan terlebih dahulu. Materi dan video dokumenter yang disampaikan saat sosialisasi berisi informasi yang berupaya ditanamkan agar para siswa sekolah dasar memiliki persiapan diri dan mengetahui langkah awal yang harus dilakukan ketika terjadi bencana. Kuesioner pun digunakan untuk mengukur pemahaman mereka terkait pengetahuan tentang bencana, rencana kegiatan dari bencana, peringatan bencana, dan mobilisasi sumberdaya. Setelah mengikuti sosialisasi siswa dapat mengetahui mana tindakan yang boleh dan tidak boleh dilakukan di lingkungan agar tidak merugikan diri sendiri dan orang disekitar yang kemudian dapat menimbulkan bencana, secara aktif mengambil langkah tepat dan menjadi lebih siaga saat terjadi bencana, serta dapat memanfaatkan pengetahuan semaksimal mungkin sehingga dapat membantu diri sendiri dan orang sekitar saat terjadi bencana
PENERAPAN METODE HIRSCHMAN-HERFINDAHL INDEX (HHI) PADA KONSENTRASI PERDAGANGAN BESAR DAN ECERAN DI PROVINSI ACEH Yunidar Purnamasari sari; Okta Rabiana Risma; Asri Diana; Sri Rosmiati Sani
Elastisitas - Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4 No 1 (2022): Elastisitas, Maret 2022
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/e-jep.v4i1.48

Abstract

Ruang lingkup penelitian ini adalah perdagangan besar dan eceran di Provinsi Aceh. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis tingkat konsentrasi perdagangan besar dan eceran pada masing-masing wilayah di Provinsi Aceh. Model analisis yang digunakan adalah Hirschman-Herfindahl Indeks (HHI) dengan menggunakan data tenaga kerja perdagangan besar dan eceran dari tahun 2017 sampai 2019. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Kota Banda Aceh berada pada daerah dengan tingkat konsentrasi perdagangan besar dan eceran paling tinggi, sedangkan Kabupaten Aceh Jaya merupakan daerah dengan tingkat konsentrasi perdagangan besar dan eceran rendah, diharapkan kepada Pemerintah Provinsi Aceh untuk dapat mengembangkan perdagangan besar dan eceran pada Kabupaten/Kota yang berada pada tingkat konsentrasi rendah dengan memperbaiki dan meningkatkan fasilitas sarana dan prasarana, menarik investor untuk berinvestasi pada wilayah tersebut