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Determining The Probability of Changing Grades from The Mathematical Statistics II Prerequisites Course Using The Markov Chain Process I Putu Eka Suarsa; Made Novita Dewi; Ni Kade Hindu Pertiwi; Ulfatun Farika Novitasari; Dyan Ayu Wijayanti; I Gusti Ayu Made Srinadi; Made Ayu Dwi Octavanny
International Journal of Education and Literature Vol. 3 No. 2 (2024): August : International Journal of Education and Literature
Publisher : Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/ijel.v3i2.108

Abstract

Courses are a place for study material that must be studied by students and must be delivered by a lecturer. Courses are an important element in the smallest unit of student learning transactions, which are served by educational institutions to measure their achievement index. The course achievement index is seen based on the value intervals set by the educational institution. Udayana University is one of the educational institutions in Indonesia and is famous in Bali for one of its study programs, namely the mathematics study program which is within the scope of the Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences. The Udayana University Mathematics Study Program has 8 assessment letter scales, namely A, B+, B, C+, C, D+, D, E with the provision that the achievement index for each course is above the letter scale C. One of the purposes of having an achievement index is that it can be used in determine the taking of prerequisite courses for other courses.
Wakatobi Development Priorities as A Sustainable Tourism Destination Using the Analytical Hierarchy Process Method Putu Edi Dimas Saputra; I Gusti Ayu Made Srinadi; Made Susilawati; I Putu Eka Nila Kencana; Made Ayu Dwi Octavanny; G. K. Gandhiadi
International Journal of Educational Research Vol. 1 No. 3 (2024): September : International Journal of Educational Research
Publisher : Asosiasi Riset Ilmu Pendidikan Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62951/ijer.v1i3.46

Abstract

Wakatobi is one of the tourist destinations renowned for its underwater beauty, holding great potential to be developed as a sustainable tourism destination. This research aims to determine the priorities for sustainable tourism development in Wakatobi using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. The AHP method is employed to identify and prioritize various criteria and sub-criteria contributing to sustainable tourism development. Based on the research findings, infrastructure and facilities were found to be the highest priorities, with a focus on improving transportation infrastructure and public facilities. These findings indicate that the development of transportation infrastructure and public facilities is crucial to support the sustainability of tourism in Wakatobi.
PERAMALAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR PEREKONOMIAN YANG MEMENGARUHI NILAI EKSPOR MINYAK KELAPA SAWIT INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN VECM Ni Putu Manik Maharani; I Wayan Sumarjaya; I Gusti Ayu Made Srinadi
Jurnal Cahaya Mandalika ISSN 2721-4796 (online) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Cahaya Mandalika
Publisher : Institut Penelitian Dan Pengambangan Mandalika Indonesia (IP2MI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36312/jcm.v5i1.2881

Abstract

Abstract: Forecasting is predicting future events. The forecasting process involves the use of time series data. Time series models that are often used for forecasting are vector autoregressive (VAR) models and vector error correction models (VECM). The aim of this research is to determine the model and forecasting results on Indonesian palm oil production, CPO prices on the international market, inflation, money supply, USD exchange rate, and the value of Indonesian palm oil exports. The data used comes from BPS, BI, and Index Mundi, covering the period January 2017 to December 2021. Based on the optimum lag of the VECM model, the research results show that the VECM(1) ​​model is suitable for use. In parameter estimation, there is a long-term relationship between the Indonesian palm oil export value variable and the other five variables, and there is a short-term relationship between the observed variables. The average monthly forecasting results for Indonesian palm oil production is 4.211.539 tons, the price of CPO on the international market is 2.583,96 USD/metric ton, inflation is 0,1365938333 percent, the M1 money supply is 3.051.982 billion rupiah, the USD exchange rate is 14.115,48 rupiah and the export value of Indonesian palm oil is 4.641.307 thousand US dollars. Keywords: Forecasting, VECM, Economic Factors, CPO. Abstrak: Peramalan adalah memprediksi peristiwa pada masa depan. Proses peramalan melibatkan penggunaan data deret waktu (time series). Model deret waktu yang sering digunakan untuk peramalan adalah model vector autoregressive (VAR) dan vector error correction model (VECM). Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui model dan hasil peramalan pada produksi minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia, harga CPO di pasar internasional, inflasi, jumlah uang beredar M1, kurs USD, dan nilai ekspor minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia. Data yang digunakan bersumber dari BPS, BI, dan Index Mundi, mencakup periode Januari 2017 hingga Desember 2021. Berdasarkan lag optimum model VECM, hasil penelitian menunjukkan model VECM(1) cocok digunakan. Dalam estimasi parameter, terdapat hubungan jangka panjang antara variabel nilai ekspor minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia dengan kelima variabel lainnya, dan terdapat hubungan jangka pendek antar variabel yang diamati. Hasil peramalan rata-rata bulanan untuk produksi minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia adalah 4.211.539 ton, harga CPO di pasar Internasional adalah 2.583,96 USD/metrik ton, inflasi adalah 0,1365938333 persen, jumlah uang beredar M1 adalah 3.051.982 milyar rupiah, kurs USD adalah 14.115,48 rupiah dan nilai ekspor minyak kelapa sawit Indonesia adalah 4.641.307 ribuan dolar US. Kata Kunci: Peramalan, VECM, Faktor Ekonomi, CPO
Co-Authors AA Sudharmawan, AA ADE KUSUMA DEWI Agnes Juliet Boking Agnes Juliet Bokings Agung Dwi Cahya Megamahaputra AGUST WIRAS ARDI KUSUMA ANAK AGUNG ISTRI AGUNG CANDRA ISWARI ANNA FITRIANI AYU SANDRA TIARA DEWI Ayuk Dwi Cahyani Chairun Nisa Cokorda Istri Tirta Rusmala Dewi Deddi Prima Putra DERY MAULANA Desak Putu Eka Nilakusmawati DEWA AYU DWI ASTUTI Dewi, Cokorda Istri Tirta Rusmala DOMINGGAS TEO Dyan Ayu Wijayanti EKA ARISTA ANJASARI Eriska May Wulandari EVARISTUS VERIYOGI YALSCHEN LEMBUNAI G. K. GANDHIADI G. K. GANDHIADI GILANG BIMASAKTI ANDHIKA GUSTI AYU PUTU YULIANDARI GUSTI AYU RATIH ASTARI HIRZI FIRDAUSI I GEDE AGUS JIWADIANA I Gede Purna Adi Putra I GUSTI AYU MADE VALENTINA DEWI I Kadek Yudha Pramana Adi I KOMANG GDE SUKARSA I Komang Gede Sukarsa I Made Agus Gelgel Wirasuta I MADE BUDIANTARA PUTRA I MADE PRABA ESHA SUKSEMAWAN I Nyoman Widana I Putu Eka Nila Kencana I Putu Eka Suarsa I PUTU YUDANTA EKA PUTRA I Wayan Sumarjaya I.K.G. Sukarsa IDA AYU MADE SUPARTINI Isabel Divya Georgiana Walewangko K. Jayanegara KADEK NOVIA DWIJAYANTHI KASTIN DWILEN PONG SUMAE Ketut Jayanegara KHOSYI RUKITO Komang Dharmawan LUH KOMANG MARDIANI Luh Putu Ratna Sundari LUH PUTU SAFITRI PRATIWI LUIS RICARDO PANDIANGAN Luky Adrianto M ARRIE KUNILASARI ELYNA Made Asih MADE AYU DWI OCTAVANNY MADE NARYMURTI WIDYASTUTI Made Novita Dewi Made Susilawati MILATUS SHOLIKHA Mirza Rizaldi Sudrajat MULIA YASMAN NADIYA YUVITA RIZKI NATASYA WIDIA PUTRI Ni Kade Hindu Pertiwi NI KADEK ARISKA DEWI Ni Kadek Dhirayani NI KADEK DWI ARISYA AFRILIANTI NI KADEK ENDAH YANITA UTARI NI LUH GEDE SINTA ARYATI NI LUH NIKASARI Ni Luh Putu Suciptawati NI LUH WIWIN YUNIARTI Ni Made Asih Ni Made Audi Kirei Saraswati Ni Made Putri Ja Yanti NI MADE SEKARMINI NI MADE SRI KUSUMAWARDHANI NI NYOMAN UTAMI DEWI NI PUTU DIAN ASTUTIK Ni Putu Linda Laksmiani Ni Putu Manik Maharani NI PUTU MEILING UTAMI NI PUTU MIRAH SRI WAHYUNI Ni Putu Monikha Alvionitha NI PUTU NIA IRFAGUTAMI NI PUTU PREMA DEWANTI NI PUTU RINA ANGGRENI NI WAYAN ARI SUNDARI NI WAYAN ARIS APRILIA A.P NI WAYAN ASRI PRADNYANI Ni Wayan Dewi Anastasya Pratiwi Ni Wayan Merry Nirmala Yani NI WAYAN YULIANI NI WAYAN YUNI CAHYANI NOVIAN ENDI GUNAWAN NUR FAIZA NURMA ALIYUWANINGSIH NYOMAN GDE PRAJNAWIWEKA RATMASA TARAM NYOMAN KRISHNA PRATIWI DANGIN Nyoman Wendri PALUPI PURNAMA SARI PANDE PUTU BUDI KUSUMA Putu Edi Dimas Saputra PUTU SUSAN PRADAWATI Putu Wulan Cahayaningrat Ratna Sari Widiastuti SORAYA SARAH AFIFAH TJOK GDE SAHITYAHUTTI RANANGGA TRI ALIT TRESNA PUTRA Ulfatun Farika Novitasari ULYATIL AENI Wayan Evi Handayani Wijayakusuma, I Gusti Ngurah Lanang WILDAN FATTURAHMAN MUJTABA Yani Arthayanti ZANUAR SEPTYADI