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Journal : Global Strategis

Establishing Civilian Control over the Armed Forces Broto Wardoyo
Global Strategis Vol. 10 No. 2 (2016): Global Strategis
Publisher : Departemen Hubungan Internasional, Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik, Unair

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (442.926 KB) | DOI: 10.20473/jgs.10.2.2016.153-167

Abstract

Using simple regression, this paper examines the explanans to the degree of civilian control over the armed forces. This paper takes into consideration four of the most considered independent variables to explain the degree of civilian control over the armed forces, i.e. internal threat, economic condition, civil liberties, and military access to resources. It suggests that the degree of internal threat is negatively correlated with the degree of civilian control over the armed forces while economic condition, civil liberties, and defense spending, or access to resources, enhance the degree of civilian control over the armed forces. In addition, it also suggests that civil liberties have the highest influence to the degree of civilian control over the armed forces, controlling the other independent variables. Since civil liberties are closely related to degree of democracy, it basically confirms previous research that suggest the degree of civilian control is closely and positively correlated with the maturity of democracy.
Breaking Taboo: Explaining the United Arab Emirates’ Decision to Establish Diplomatic Relationship with Israel Broto Wardoyo; Rizal Valentino
Global Strategis Vol. 16 No. 1 (2022): Global Strategis
Publisher : Departemen Hubungan Internasional, Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik, Unair

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jgs.16.1.2022.147-174

Abstract

 Uni Emirat Arab (UEA) membuka hubungan diplomatik dengan Israel, yang bertentangan dengan Inisiatif Perdamaian Arab (IPA) yang juga ditandatangani oleh UEA, yang menyatakan agar tidak membuka hubungan diplomatik dengan Israel sebelum Palestina mendapatkan kemerdekaan. Selama ini, ancaman dari Iran ini ditangkal oleh eksistensi Amerika Serikat (AS) di kawasan Timur Tengah, namun seiring dengan berkurangnya perhatian AS pada kawasan Timur Tengah maka muncul kebutuhan untuk membangun aliansi dengan like-minded countries yang memiliki persepsi ancaman yang sama. Tulisan ini akan menjelaskan lebih dalam mengenai justifkasi UEA untuk tetap membuka hubungan diplomatik dengan Israel terlepas dari komitmen mereka terhadap IPA, melalui argumen bahwa keputusan UEA didorong oleh adanya persepsi akan ancaman dari Iran terhadap budaya stratejik mereka, dan lebih lanjut berkontribusi pada kajian mengenai faktor kultural dalam perumusan kebijakan luar negeri suatu negara. United Arab Emirate (UAE) is normalizing its diplomatic relationship with Israel, conflicting with the Arab Peace Initiative of which the UAE is one of the signatories, which stated that no Arab states should normalize diplomatic relationship with Israel before the Palestinians regain their rights to independence. Prior to UAE’s recent decision, the United States’ presence in Middle East has been the deterrence to the threat from Iran and now that US’ attention for the region has declined, the UAE needs partner from like-minded countries to secure its foothold against Iranian threat. This article will further explain the UAE’s decision to break the taboo in normalizing their diplomaticrelationship with Israel, by arguing that the UAE’s perception of threat from Iran, deeply embedded in UAE’s strategic culture, has led to the decision to normalize diplomatic relationship with Israel, and offers a cultural insight of a foreign policy decision making process in the study of foreign policy analysis.
Great Power Politics and United States' Withdrawal from Afghanistan Wardoyo, Broto
Global Strategis Vol. 18 No. 1 (2024): Global Strategis
Publisher : Department of International Relations, Faculty of Social and Political Science, Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jgs.18.1.2024.1-28

Abstract

On October 7, 2002, the United States (US) started their military operation in Afghanistan to seek Osama bin Laden, the leader of Al Qaeda (AQ) who was responsible for the September 11, 2001, terror attacks commonly referred to as the 9/11 attacks. US military operations in Afghanistan, however, remained active after Osama bin Laden was killed. In February 2020, the US signed an agreement with the Taliban, who provided sanctuary for Osama bin Laden and AQ, which practically ended their military operation in Afghanistan. This article seeks to explain why the US decided to sign an agreement with the Taliban even though both AQ and the Taliban are still in operation. This article argues that the US decision to sign the agreement and withdraw from Afghanistan is due to the need to reallocate resources as part of their retrenchment policy. Keywords: Great Power Politics, Retrenchment, Withdrawal, the United States, Afghanistan, Al Qaeda, Taliban Pada tanggal 7 Oktober 2001, Amerika Serikat (AS) memulai operasi militer di Afghanistan untuk mencari Osama bin Laden, pemimpin Al Qaeda (AQ) yang menjadi otak (mastermind) serangan teror 11 September 2001 atau dikenal sebagai serangan 9/11. Meski demikian, operasi militer AS di Afghanistan tidak berhenti setelah Osama bin Laden terbunuh. Operasi militer AS di Afghanistan terus dipertahankan hingga mereka memutuskan mundur dari negara tersebut setelah penandatanganan kesepakatan damai dengan Taliban di Doha pada bulan Februari 2020. Tulisan ini mempertanyakan mengapa AS mundur dari Afghanistan meski tujuan yang ingin mereka sasar di negara tersebut belum tercapai. AQ maupun Taliban, kelompok yang memberikan perlindungan bagi AQ, masih tetap ada dan beroperasi. Tulisan ini berargumen bahwa keputusan AS tersebut terkait dengan adanya kebutuhan untuk mengalihkan alokasi sumber daya sebagai bagian dari kebijakan retrenchment. Kata-kata Kunci: Pertarungan Negara Besar, Retrenchment, Penarikan Mundur, Amerika Serikat, Afghanistan, Al Qaeda, Taliban