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Application of sugeno's fuzzy inference system (FIS) in determining palm oil production Maristella; Sinaga, Marlina Setia
Jurnal Absis: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Absis
Publisher : Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika Universitas Pasir Pengaraian

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30606/absis.v8i1.2788

Abstract

Palm oil is an important export commodity in Indonesia, and factors such as palm oil prices, production, and palm oil prices influence palm oil production. In this research, the fuzzy logic method is used to overcome uncertainty in predicting palm oil production. Various fuzzy methods, including Mamdani, Tsukamoto, and Sugeno, are used to model production based on certain factors. The type of research carried out in this research is a literature study and this research uses secondary data or data obtained by other parties. Secondary data taken is CPO price data, palm oil prices and palm oil production data. The prediction results for palm oil production using the Sugeno fuzzy method for several months are based on factors such as CPO prices and palm oil prices in the fuzzy system. The final results of MAPE provide information about the level of accuracy of the model in predicting palm oil production, which is 7.09%. FIS Sugeno connects input-output with fuzzy rules. The steps include variable selection, membership functions, rules, inference, defuzzification, evaluation, optimization, and implementation. The predicted MAPE is 7.09%, indicating the accuracy of the model in estimating palm oil production compared to the actual value.
GAME THEORY APPLICATION ON ONLINE TRANSPORTATION COMPANY AND DRIVER INCOME LEVELS DURING THE PANDEMIC Sinaga, Marlina Setia; Arnita, Arnita; Rangkuti, Yulita Molliq; Febrian, Didi
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 2 (2022): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (475.063 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss2pp713-720

Abstract

Online motorcycle taxi drivers are a group of people who are economically affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. This study aimed to provide a balanced choice strategy for drivers and companies. Game theory was applied to conflict of interest situations as a research method. Choices for online transportation companies and drivers are analyzed and arranged in a payoff table until they reach the saddle point. Simulation software as an illustration of a balanced model. This research resulted in driver diligence and incentive strategies as optimal strategies for drivers and companies. If drivers improve performance by choosing a driver diligence strategy, the driver's expectations of getting incentives will be more realistic. Meanwhile, for the company, when the driver's diligence increases, the choice of providing incentives will provide balanced benefits as well.
OPTIMIZATION OF MEDAN CITY WASTE TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM USING MULTIPLE-TRIP VEHICLE ROUTING PROBLEM (MTVRP) MODEL AND SIMULATED ANNEALING Marpaung, Faridawaty; Arnita, Arnita; Dewi, Sri; Sinaga, Marlina Setia; Widyastuti, Eri
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 19 No 4 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol19iss4pp3059-3072

Abstract

Medan generates approximately 2,000 tons of waste daily, yet only 800 tons are successfully transported to landfills, indicating significant inefficiencies in waste transportation. This study addresses the issue by applying the Vehicle Routing Problem with Multiple Trips (VRPMT) combined with the Simulated Annealing (SA) algorithm to optimize waste transport operations. The VRPMT model allows each vehicle to make multiple daily trips, enhancing fleet utilization while ensuring that all service points are visited, vehicle capacities are not exceeded, and vehicles return to the depot after each trip. The study focuses on Tegal Sari Mandala II (TSM II), Medan Denai, a densely populated neighborhood with narrow roads that require bestari pedicabs for flexible waste collection. Data includes waste collection points, vehicle capacities, transport frequencies, and operational costs. The SA algorithm begins with a random route solution, then iteratively evaluates and improves it by minimizing total distance and cost. It also avoids local optima through a controlled temperature reduction process. Results demonstrate significant improvements: total travel distance was reduced from 12,500 meters to 8,646 meters (a 30.8% reduction), and operational costs decreased from IDR 12,000 to IDR 8,946 (a 25.5% reduction). On average, each bestari pedicab completed two daily trips, maximizing capacity utilization and minimizing penalty costs. The system integrates a structured database and Google Maps API for route visualization, enhancing planning and monitoring. Overall, this approach contributes to more efficient, cost-effective, and environmentally friendly waste transportation. It supports climate action goals and provides a scalable, replicable model for sustainable urban waste management in other regions facing similar logistical challenges. However, this study has some limitations. The VRPMT model was applied only in a neighborhood with a limited vehicle type, which may reduce its generalizability to broader urban areas with more complex logistics. Also, the Simulated Annealing algorithm settings were manually tuned and not benchmarked against other metaheuristic methods. Future studies could improve the model by considering dynamic traffic conditions, integrating real-time data, or testing hybrid optimization approaches to enhance its effectiveness and adaptability.
Analisis Pengaruh Endorsement dan Paid Promote terhadap Penjualan Online Shop dengan Teori Permainan Restina Silalahi; Marlina Setia Sinaga
Journal of Mathematics, Computations and Statistics Vol. 6 No. 1 (2023): Volume 06 Nomor 01 (April 2023)
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika FMIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The growth of internet users gives the latest innovation in shopping, which is online shopping. Sellers can use paid promotions and endorsement strategies to represent the sales insights. This study examines the impact of paid promotions and endorsements on sales using game theory and variance analysis. Game theory is a mathematical approach to formulating conflict and competition that involves a variety of interests and has a desire to win. Then, variance analysis is used to test the significance of the influence some independent variables have on a dependent variable. The attributes used in this research are price, content quality, and influencer. The result for the best marketing strategies of paid promotion maximum profit is content quality of the paid promotions. Whereas, for the best marketing strategies for endorsement maximum profit is content quality of the endorsement. Then, the result of the varianceanalysis showed paid promotions and endorsements make a real difference to online store sales.