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All Journal Jurnal Nasional Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Riset Informatika JSAI (Journal Scientific and Applied Informatics) Jurnal AbdiMas Nusa Mandiri Jumat Informatika: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Informatika Software dan Network (JISN)
Hani Harafani
Universitas Nusa Mandiri
Aerospace Engineering Automotive Engineering Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Mathematics Neuroscience Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Jurnal Riset Informatika

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PREDICTING THE BITCOIN PRICE USING LINEAR REGRESSION OPTIMIZED WITH EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING Indah Suryani; Hani Harafani
Jurnal Riset Informatika Vol. 3 No. 3 (2021): June 2021 Edition
Publisher : Kresnamedia Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34288/jri.v3i3.88

Abstract

Bitcoin is one of the most popular cryptocurrencies today. In the current pandemic conditions that hit the world due to Covid-19, bitcoin is expected to be used as an investment when the level of economic uncertainty is high. In this study, the data used is bitcoin price data which is included in time series data. One of the commonly used methods for prediction in time series is the linear regression method. To be able to develop the prediction results, a data transformation technique is used using the popular method, namely exponential smoothing. In the exponential smoothing method, optimization of the alpha parameter is carried out to be able to boost the prediction results from linear regression. And from the experimental results, it is evident that the optimization of the alpha parameter in exponential smoothing can improve the prediction performance of linear regression with the results of the comparison of RMSE with the t-test which has resulted in significant differences.
Co-Authors Agung Sedayu Andi Sanjaya Brian Surya Jaya Esron Rikardo Nainggolan Eva Rahmawati Fernando B Siahaan Indah Suryani Jordy Lasmana Putra Mahmud Safudin Mugi Raharjo Muhamad Hasan Riswandi Ishak Taufik Asra