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All Journal ZIRAA'AH MAJALAH ILMIAH PERTANIAN
Mohammad Natsir
Master Of Agribusiness Study Program, Postgraduate Program, University Of Muhammadiyah Makassar, South Sulawesi, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

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ANALISIS KOMPARATIF RISIKO HARGA KOMODITI BAWANG MERAH DAN BAWANG PUTIH DI SULAWESI SELATAN Tanty Azisah; Mohammad Natsir; Nurdin Mappa; Ratnawati Tahir; Sri Mardiyati
ZIRAA'AH MAJALAH ILMIAH PERTANIAN Vol 51, No 2 (2026)
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Jurnal Universitas Islam Kalimantan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31602/zmip.v51i2.23119

Abstract

Risk is defined as the probability of an expected event occurring. An increase in the probability of a small profit will increase the risk of a business. Price fluctuations are a common occurrence in the marketing of shallots and garlic commodities. This study aims to analyze the price risks of shallots and garlic and compare them in South Sulawesi Province. This research is quantitative, with time series data on shallot and garlic prices in South Sulawesi Province from 2021 to 2025 sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Makassar City, South Sulawesi, the South Sulawesi Provincial Food Security Office, the Strategic Food Price Information Center, and other sources. The research data was collected using literature study techniques. Data analysis techniques include Variance Calculation, Standard Deviation, and Coefficient of Variation to analyze price risk, and a t-test to compare the risk levels of shallot and garlic prices. The results showed that the average price of garlic in South Sulawesi (Rp 29,345.69/kg) was higher than that of shallots (Rp 27,933.33/kg) during the 2021-2025 period. Although both commodities have high price volatility and fluctuations (standard deviation of 7.675), shallots pose a higher risk due to their higher coefficient of variation (75.85%) compared to garlic (63.92%). The t-test results revealed a significant difference between the average prices of shallots and garlic in South Sulawesi Province for the period 2021 to 2025. This was concluded because the significance value of 0.025 < 0.05 and the calculated t-value (2.2427) > t-table (1.9646).
RISIKO HARGA DAN RISIKO PRODUKSI USAHATANI RUMPUT LAUT DI KECAMATAN POLEWALI KABUPATEN POLEWALI MANDAR Muhammad Nur Alamsyah Ali; Syafiuddin Syafiuddin; Sri Mardiyati; Mohammad Natsir; Nurdin Nurdin
ZIRAA'AH MAJALAH ILMIAH PERTANIAN Vol 51, No 2 (2026)
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Jurnal Universitas Islam Kalimantan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31602/zmip.v51i2.23228

Abstract

This study examines production and price risks in seaweed farming in Polewali District, Polewali Mandar Regency, which influence farmers' income uncertainty. The study aimed to identify and quantify the level of production and price risks. The method used was a quantitative approach with primary and secondary data, as well as descriptive statistical analysis through the mean, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation (CV). The sample was determined by simple random sampling of 32 farmers. The results showed that production risk was high (CV = 0.80) due to environmental factors and disease attacks, while price risk was low (CV = 0.09) due to relatively stable prices. These findings contribute to the development of basic education, particularly in contextual learning based on real-world problems in the agribusiness sector.
ANALISIS RISIKO HARGA KOMODITAS CABAI PADA PASAR TRADISIONAL DAN MODERN DI SULAWESI SELATAN Fatmawati Akib; Sri Mardiyati; Nurdin Mappa; Mohammad Natsir; Muh. Arifin Fattah
ZIRAA'AH MAJALAH ILMIAH PERTANIAN Vol 51, No 2 (2026)
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Jurnal Universitas Islam Kalimantan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31602/zmip.v51i2.23123

Abstract

Chili is a commodity or horticultural crop with significant economic value in Indonesia. Price issues for chili commodities continue to occur. There are indications that chili prices fluctuate in Indonesia over a certain period. This study aims to determine chili price fluctuations and trends, chili price risks, and compare the level of chili price risk in traditional and modern markets in South Sulawesi Province. This type of research is quantitative. The type of data in this study is secondary data (time series). The data sources are the Strategic Food Price Information Center (PIHPS) and the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Makassar City, South Sulawesi. The data collected are chili commodity prices in modern and traditional markets from January to December 2024. Data analysis techniques include multiple linear regression analysis (trend analysis) to determine chili price trends, calculation of the coefficient of variation to analyze price risk, and partial testing using the t-test to compare price risk levels. The results show that the price trend of large red chilies, curly red chilies, and red cayenne peppers in traditional and modern markets has experienced a downward trend with a relatively low level of price fluctuation. The price risk of large red chilies, curly red chilies, and red cayenne peppers, based on the coefficient of variation analysis, shows a coefficient of variation (CV) value > 0.5, indicating that these three chili commodities do not have a high price risk. A comparison of the price risk level of large red chilies in modern markets shows a calculated t value of -6.418 > t table 1.984, curly red chilies have a calculated t value of -9.008 > t table 1.984, and red cayenne peppers show a calculated t value of -6.249 > t table 1.984. This means that there is a significant difference in the price risk of red cayenne peppers between traditional and modern markets. 
Co-Authors Fatmawati Akib Fatmawaty Fatmawaty Mardiyati, Sri Muh. Arifin Fattah Muhammad Nur Alamsyah Ali Nurdin Mappa Nurdin Nurdin Ratnawati Tahir Sri Mardiyati Syafiuddin Syafiuddin Syafiuddin Syafiuddin Tanty Azisah