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Journal : Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ)

Threat Analysis of the Rejection of the Policy on the Excise Extensification of Sugar-Sweetened Beverages in Packaging Utama, Ramadaan Galih; Subanidja, Steph
Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ) Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Pusat Studi Politik dan Kebijakan Strategis Indonesia (POLKASI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70710/sitj.v2i2.53

Abstract

The excise policy on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB), which has been regulated in Law No. 7 of 2021 concerning the Harmonization of Tax Regulations, faces significant implementation challenges, especially from the resistance of industry players. The purpose of this study is to analyze the potential threat of rejection of the excise policy on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) and formulate an intelligence strategy in dealing with these threats. The research was conducted using qualitative research methods with data collection techniques from in-depth interviews with relevant stakeholders, observations, and library research. The results of the study show that there is a serious threat of policy rejection, which is characterized by a systematic pattern of resistance from industry players through the construction of negative narratives, the utilization of financial capacity for policy interventions, and the momentum of post-pandemic economic vulnerability. Multinational companies with strong financial capabilities and extensive networks have the potential to intervene in the policy process through various strategic approaches. The research recommends the preparation of an integrated intelligence strategy through three dimensions: accelerating the issuance of Government Regulations, building an inclusive multistakeholder dialogue platform, and designing an accommodative transition mechanism. This strategy is formulated to prevent strategic surprises through scenario planning that formulates anticipatory and preventive measures for the implementation of the excise policy on sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB).
Indonesia's Diplomatic Strategy in Countering Vanuatu's Support for the Papuan Separatist Movement in the South Pacific Setiawan, Dani Eka; Subanidja, Steph
Security Intelligence Terrorism Journal (SITJ) Vol. 2 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : Pusat Studi Politik dan Kebijakan Strategis Indonesia (POLKASI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70710/sitj.v2i3.64

Abstract

This research analyzes Vanuatu's diplomatic strategy in supporting the separatist movement in Papua and Indonesia's response through intelligence and policy approaches. Using qualitative methods, data were collected through in-depth interviews with stakeholders, analysis of official documents, and participant observation. The results show that Vanuatu utilizes international forums such as the UN and the Melanesian Spearhead Group (MSG) to promote the Papuan issue, supported by a network of pro-independence activists. Indonesia responds through active diplomacy, counter-narratives, and increased economic cooperation with Pacific countries. Intelligence analysis identifies threats to national sovereignty, while policy recommendations emphasize a multilateral approach and strengthening domestic security. These findings contribute to the literature on separatist conflict management and the role of intelligence in foreign policy.