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All Journal Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics E-Amal: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Supriyadi Wibowo
Universitas Sebelas Maret
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Computer Science & IT Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions

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Peramalan Banyaknya Pengunjung Pantai Glagah Menggunakan Metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Exogenous (ARIMAX) dengan Efek Variasi Kalender Solikhah Novita Intan; Etik Zukhronah; Supriyadi Wibowo
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 1, No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v1i2.26298

Abstract

Glagah Beach is one of the tourist destinations in Kulon Progo Regency, Yogyakarta which is the most visited by tourists. Glagah Beach visitors data show  that in the month of Eid Al-Fitr there was a significant increase. This shows that there is an effect of the calendar variation of Eid al-Fitr. Therefore, it is needed a method that can be used to analyze time series data which contains effects of calendar variations, that is ARIMAX method. The aim of this study are to find the best ARIMAX model and to predict the number of visitors to Glagah Beach in the future. The result shows that the best ARIMAX model was ARIMAX([24],0,0). Forecasting from January to September 2016 are 37211, 21306, 26247, 24148, 28402, 29309, 81724, 26029, and 23688 visitors. Keywords: Glagah Beach; variation of calendar; Eid al-Fitr; ARIMAX.
PELATIHAN USAHA GUNA MENINGKATKAN PROFIT UMKM TANAMAN HIAS DAN OLEH-OLEH KHAS TAWANGMANGU DI DUSUN NGLURAH Vika Yugi Kurniawan; Sutrima Sutrima; Siswanto Siswanto; Supriyadi Wibowo; Santoso Budi Wiyono
E-Amal: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 4 No 3: September-Desember 2024
Publisher : LP2M STP Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47492/eamal.v4i3.3507

Abstract

This community service program was conducted by the Pure Mathematics & Application Research Group of the Mathematics Department, FMIPA UNS, with the aim of increasing the profits of ornamental plant and local specialty product SMEs in Nglurah Village, Tawangmangu District, Karanganyar Regency. The partner in this activity is the Farmers and SMEs Association located in Nglurah Village, Tawangmangu. The main issues faced by the partner are a lack of knowledge in modern business management, branding, and digital marketing, resulting in low product competitiveness in an increasingly competitive market. The solution offered includes intensive training on product processing, branding strategies, and digital marketing. The community service was implemented through a workshop attended by 30 participants, followed by a one-month mentoring period. The methodology included a participatory approach in needs assessment, theoretical and practical training, and direct mentoring in field implementation. The results showed significant improvements in participants' understanding of business management and their ability to utilize digital media for marketing. Several participants reported increased product visibility in online markets. This program is expected to have a long-term impact on the development of SMEs in Nglurah Village.
Co-Authors Santoso Budi Wiyono Siswanto Siswanto Solikhah Novita Intan Sutrima Sutrima Vika Yugi Kurniawan Zukhronah, Etik