Yuciana Wilandari
Jurusan Statistika FSM Undip

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ANALISIS PERBANDINGAN SILHOUETTE COEFFICIENT DAN METODE ELBOW PADA PENGELOMPOKKAN PROVINSI DI INDONESIA BERDASARKAN INDIKATOR IPM DENGAN K-MEDOIDS Rahmawati, Tias; Wilandari, Yuciana; Kartikasari, Puspita
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 13, No 1 (2024): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.13.1.13-24

Abstract

Development is a process of change that is carried out consistently with the aim of improvement in all aspects of life with the prevailing values in society to achieve predetermined life goals. The quality of life of the community is measured by the Human Development Index (HDI) at the provincial level through three indicators, including: economic level, health, and education. K-medoids is a method used to group objects that contain outliers. In determining the optimal number of clusters using the Silhouette Coefficient method which has the advantage of determining the best number of clusters that can measure how close the relationship between objects and measure how far a cluster is separated from other clusters. The technique called the Elbow method is employed to ascertain the optimal quantity of clusters, which is done by examining the percentage outcomes derived from comparing the quantity of clusters that form an elbow at a certain point. Then cluster evaluation is carried out using the Davies Bouldin Index (DBI) as a comparison for cluster validation. The results of this study using the Silhouette Coefficient method produced the best cluster, namely 3 clusters with a Silhoutte Coefficient value of 0,3129 and a DBI value of 1,3184. Meanwhile, using the Elbow method produced the best cluster, namely 4 clusters with an SSE value of 54,5548 with a DBI value of 1,1754. So that the best cluster is 4 clusters with the Elbow method with the smallest DBI value.
METODE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING HOLT-WINTER’S MULTIPLICATIVE DAN DEKOMPOSISI KLASIK MULTIPLIKATIF UNTUK PERAMALAN RATA-RATA KENAIKAN KONSENTRASI KARBON DIOKSIDA (CO2) GLOBAL Ersita, Vika; Wilandari, Yuciana; Sugito, Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 12, No 3 (2023): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.12.3.434-444

Abstract

Global warming occurs due the high concentration of Greenhouse Gases (GHG) in the atmosphere, which is called the greenhouse effect. The highest greenhouse gas that causes global warming that is being piled up in the atmosphere due human activity is carbon dioxide. Data on the average increase in global carbon dioxide (C02) concentrations are assumed contain elements of trend and seasonality. Holt-Winter's Multiplicative Triple Exponential Smoothing Method and Multiplicative Classical Decomposition the best choices in predicting data that contains trend and seasonality elements. Forecasting data on the global average increase CO2 has the objective of predicting data for the next 12 periods. The data used is data on the global average increase  for the period January 2013 to December 2022. The prediction error measure used is MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error). The results of the analysis on the Triple Exponential Smoothing Holt-Winter's Multiplicative method obtained a MAPE value of 0.09395%, indicating very good prediction category, while the results of the analysis of the Multiplicative Classical Decomposition method had a MAPE value of 0.07021%, which means that it has very good category in do forecasting. Based on the MAPE value obtained, the best method is the Multiplicative Classical Decomposition method.
PENGGUNAAN MIXTURE MODEL KERNEL-GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION DAN D-VINE COPULA DALAM MENGANALISIS UKURAN PELANGGARAN DATA Dzikra, Fathiyyah Yolianda; Wilandari, Yuciana; Hakim, Arief Rachman
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 12, No 3 (2023): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.12.3.392-402

Abstract

The research conducted on the 2015-2021 Data Breach Report in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services is a study related to the estimation and modeling of the breach sizes each type of entity using the Kernel-Generalized Pareto Distribution Mixture Model method, as well as the estimation of the dependence of breach sizes between years with the D-Vine Copula. The D-Vine Copula can accommodate the complex dependencies demonstrated by data breach reports across all enterprise categories. Before researching with D-Vine Copula, we will first model and estimate breach size parameters for each type of entity using the Mixture Model Kernel-Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD). The Mixture Model can accommodate large data breach sizes via GPD and also allows the use of non-parametric kernel distributions to model smaller data breach sizes. The data resulting from the logarithmic transformation of entity data in the Business Associate and Healthcare Provider types has a right short-tail with Weibull distribution, while the Health Plan category has a right heavy-tail with Frechet distribution. The three types of entity were estimated using the maximum likelihood Cross-Validation method. Dependency estimation with D-Vine Copula shows that the breach sizes between years measure has a positive dependency.
ANALISIS SENTIMEN KEBIJAKAN PENYELENGGARA SISTEM ELEKTRONIK LINGKUP PRIVAT MENGGUNAKAN PENALIZED LOGISTIC REGRESSION DAN SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE Amalia, Nur Afnita; Utami, Iut Tri; Wilandari, Yuciana
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 12, No 4 (2023): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.12.4.560-569

Abstract

The implementation of the Electronic System Operator (ESO) regulation, which imposes blocking sanctions on several ESOs that do not register, has caused a variety of opinions from the public, especially on social media Twitter to raise the hashtag #BlokirKominfo. In this research, sentiment analysis was carry outed to determine the response of Twitter users to the implementation of ESO regulations by MoCI. Sentiment analysis is a textual information extraction process that classifies sentiment into positive and negative categories. The steps that are used including crawling data, text preprocessing, labeling, feature selection, term weighting with TF-IDF and classification using the Penalized Logistic Regression (PLR) with the L1 regularization and Support Vector Machine (SVM) with the RBF kernel. Sentiment classification in PLR is basically finding the optimal weight parameter. The idea of SVM sentiment classification is to find the best hyperplane to separate the data points. Evaluation of classification performance uses the accuracy value calculated through the confusion matrix. The highest percentage of accuracy in sentiment classification results using the PLR is 84,12% and SVM is 83,53%. It means that the PLR algorithm works better than the SVM algorithm in classifying public sentiment towards the implementation of ESO regulations on Twitter.