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Stock Market Volatility in ASEAN Plus Three Countries during Geopolitical Crisis Fatikasari, Imania; Robiyanto, Robiyanto; Wijayanto, Petrus
Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Keuangan Vol 12, No 3 (2024): Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Keuangan. Desember 2024 [DOAJ dan SINTA Indexed]
Publisher : Program Studi Akuntansi FPEB UPI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17509/jrak.v12i3.74333

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The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of stock market volatility in ASEAN Plus Three Economic Relation toward gold prices and the value of the US Dollar Index during geopolitical crisis. The technique used in this study is Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) or GARCH. This study found that the volatility of PSEi, STI, and KOSPI effect the gold price positively. The same finding also applies on the US Dollar Index, where the volatility of the VN30 and KOSPI proved to have a positive effect. Therefore, that increased stock market volatility encourages investors to seek alternative investments such as Gold and the US Dollar Index.
VOLATILITY OF GOLD AND OIL PRICES ON THE INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET IN GEOPOLITICAL CRISIS Hadi, Natanael Kristolife Ardana; Robiyanto, Robiyanto
Among Makarti Vol 18, No 1 (2025): Among Makarti
Publisher : STIE AMA Salatiga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52353/ama.v18i1.815

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Abstract : This study investigates the impact of oil and gold price volatility on stock market returns in Indonesia during periods of geopolitical instability, specifically the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Israel-Hamas crisis. Utilizing secondary data, the research analyzes the daily closing prices of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, Brent Crude Oil, gold, and the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI). The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) model is employed as the primary analytical framework. The findings reveal that oil and gold price volatility exerts a positive and unidirectional influence on Indonesian stock returns during the aforementioned geopolitical crises. This suggests that investors tend to seek safe-haven assets, such as gold, in times of economic uncertainty and geopolitical turmoil. The increased volatility in gold prices is indicative of heightened market instability, particularly during financial crises and geopolitical disruptions. These results corroborate the notion of gold serving as a reliable safe-haven asset during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty.Abstrak : Penelitian ini menyelidiki dampak volatilitas harga minyak dan emas terhadap imbal hasil pasar saham di Indonesia selama periode ketidakstabilan geopolitik, khususnya konflik Rusia-Ukraina dan krisis Israel-Hamas. Dengan memanfaatkan data sekunder, penelitian ini menganalisis harga penutupan harian minyak mentah West Texas Intermediate (WTI), Brent Crude Oil, emas, dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG). Model Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) digunakan sebagai kerangka analisis utama. Temuan penelitian ini mengungkapkan bahwa volatilitas harga minyak dan emas memberikan pengaruh positif dan searah terhadap imbal hasil saham Indonesia selama krisis geopolitik tersebut. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa investor cenderung mencari aset safe haven, seperti emas, di saat ketidakpastian ekonomi dan gejolak geopolitik. Meningkatnya volatilitas harga emas merupakan indikasi meningkatnya ketidakstabilan pasar, terutama selama krisis keuangan dan gangguan geopolitik. Hasil ini menguatkan gagasan bahwa emas berfungsi sebagai aset safe haven yang andal selama periode ketidakpastian ekonomi dan geopolitik.
The Effect of Corporate Performance and Corporate Governance on Manufacturing Company Carbon Emission Disclosure Ryan Bagas Wikantyoso; Robiyanto Robiyanto; Budi Frensidy
Indonesian Journal of Sustainability Accounting and Management Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.28992/ijsam.v8i1.888

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The aim of this study is to examine the effect of company performance and corporate governance on the disclosure of carbon emissions of manufacturing companies. This study uses secondary data in the form of financial reports and sustainability reports from manufacturing companies that have been listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the period 2015 -2022. The data collection technique used a purposive sampling method with a sample of 93 companies. Data analyzed by using panel regression method. The results of this study show that company performance variables have a significant positive effect on disclosure of carbon emissions, but corporate governance variables do not have a significant negative effect on carbon emissions. The study suggests corporate governance will reduce the company's carbon emission levels. Hence, it is very important to enhance the company’s corporate governance practices beyond the mandatory matters. This study is one among few studies which have been conducted in Indonesia to examine company performance and corporate governance regarding carbon emissions in the manufacturing industry in Indonesia. This study focuses on examining the manufacturing industry in Indonesia and this research has different results and points of view from previous researches.
Analisis Herding Behavior Sebelum Dan Sesudah Penghapusan Kode Broker Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Cahyono, Aji Wikan; Robiyanto, Robiyanto; Harijono, Harijono
Magisma: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol 12 No 1 (2024): MAGISMA:Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Magister Manajemen STIE Bank BPD Jateng

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35829/magisma.v12i1.377

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This research was conducted to see if there was any herding behavior in stock trading in Indonesia, especially the LQ45 index constituents, which were affected by the effect of the removal of the broker code by the Indonesian Stock Exchange which began on December 6, 2021. The period used in this study was the period before the removal of the broker code, namely June 15, 2020 to December 5, 2021 and the period after the removal of the broker code, namely December 6, 2021 to June 30, 2023. The method used in this study is the approach method by Chang et al. (2000) namely CSAD (Cross Sectional Absolute Standard Deviation) to detect indications of herding behavior. The results of this study indicate that there was no herding behavior on the LQ45 trading stock index either before or after the removal of the broker code. This means that investors act rationally whether the broker code exists or not
Factors Influencing Profit Distribution Management of Sharia Commercial Banks in Indonesia Rihfenti Ernayani; Robiyanto Robiyanto; Sudjinan Sudjinan
Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura Vol. 20 No. 2 (2017): August - November 2017
Publisher : Universitas Hayam Wuruk Perbanas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v20i2.1055

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This study aims to determine and obtain empirical evidences regarding the effect of deposits, product asset management, and rate of inflation on profit distribution management at Sharia Commercial Banks in Indonesia during 2012-2014 periods. By using purposive sampling, 10 samples of Sharia Commercial Banks were observed on a quarterly basis, and the 120 panel data were gained. The data were analyzed by employing multiple linear regression. The result shows that Deposits have positive significant effects on Profit Distribution Management. Productive Assets Management has negative significant effects on Profit Distribution Management. Rate of Inflation has negative significant effect on Profit Distribution Management. Deposits, Productive Assets Management, Rate of Inflation simultaneously have significant effects on Profit Distribution Management.
The Effect of Liquidity Risk, Financing Risk, and Operational Risk toward Indonesian Sharia Bank’s Financing with Bank Size as a Moderating Variable Dea Prastica Alsyahrin; Apriani Dorkas Rambu Atahau; Robiyanto Robiyanto
Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura Vol. 21 No. 2 (2018): August - November 2018
Publisher : Universitas Hayam Wuruk Perbanas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v21i2.1181

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Islamic banking is growing rapidly in Indonesia, so it needs to be done a lot of studies on sharia banking especially about the influence of risks to sharia financing. The purpose of this study is to analyze of the influence of liquidity risk, financing risk, and operational risk with bank size as moderating variable. This research uses financial statement of Sharia Commercial Bank for 2012-2016 period. By using purposive sampling method, 12 Sharia Commercial Bank were chosen as samples in this study. The data use in this study is panel data. Those data was collected from Sharia Commercial Bank’s website. Data analyzed by using moderated regression analysis. The result shows that liquidity risk, financing risk, and operational risk significantly influenced the financing of Indonesian sharia banking with bank size as it’s moderating variable.
An Empirical Study of Bonds as a Safe Haven in Indonesia During COVID-19 and Russia-Ukraine War Fahmi Ihwanul Arifin; Robiyanto Robiyanto; Yefta Andi Kus Noegroho; Harijono Harijono
Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol 41, No 1 (2026): January 2026
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis UNTAG Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56444/mem.v41i1.6311

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This study examines whether government and corporate bonds in Indonesia act as hedging or safe haven assets during the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine war. This study using data started from March 3, 2020 which is the date of the first Covid-19 case emerged in Indonesia to March 29, 2024 even though the war is not over yet on the time this study being conducted. The cut-off date for the Russia-Ukraine war is February 24, 2022. Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) is used in order to test the potential of bonds as hedges, while QREG used in order to test the potential of bond as safe haven. The findings show that during the period of financial and geopolitical crisis, Indonesian government and corporate bonds cannot be an effective safe haven or hedge against the stock market. While they can serve as diversification assets due to their stable volatility, these bonds lack the consistent negative correlation with the Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) required for safe haven assets. Investors and portfolio managers should be cautious in relying on government bonds and corporate bonds as hedge against stock market declines. The results suggest that bonds may not provide the expected protection against stock market declines, so investors need to consider alternative diversification strategies or other hedging instruments when making investment decisions.
Formulating Cryptocurrencies Dynamic Portfolio with Consumption Sectors’ Stocks Naufal Dwinanda Narra Putra; Robiyanto Robiyanto; Hans Hananto Andreas
Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol 37, No 2 (2022): July 2022
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis UNTAG Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24856/mem.v37i2.2882

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This study was conducted to analyze the performance of the portfolio formed with different asset classes. The instrument used is the consumption sector index with 5 cryptocurrencies. Does the formed portfolio have a better performance than the portfolio that is only formed from the consumption sector index. The type of data in this study uses secondary data in the form of a daily frequency time series with a research period from January 2019 to January 2021. The data in this study used quantitative data. Portfolio performance measurement in this study was measured using the ratio of Sharpe, Treynor, Jensen, Sortino, and Omega. Based on the results of the study, it shows that the performance of the consumption sector index portfolio that is hedged with cryptocurrency produces a higher rate of return in the period during the pandemic than in the period before the pandemic. However, there is 1 crypto that produces negative values in each ratio and research period, namely Tether. Overall, the results of this study can be concluded that adding cryptocurrency to the formation of a portfolio will get a better portfolio performance.
Cross-Asset Portfolio Modeling: A Comparative Study of Symmetrical and Asymmetric Dynamic Methods Dismas Oktavianto; Robiyanto Robiyanto; Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol 40, No 1 (2025): January 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis UNTAG Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56444/mem.v40i1.5302

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This study aims to develop a dynamic portfolio model based on asset class, precious metals, world oil, and dollar index. This study performs a comparative test between the Dynamics Conditional Correlation (DCC) and Asymmetric Dynamics Conditional Correlation (ADCC) to determine the best method in forming a dynamic portfolio. Four big cap companies on the Indonesian stock market (BBCA, BBRI, BMRI, and ASII) are examined in this study. The data used were daily returns for the period of January 2, 1998 – December 31, 2020, analyzed using Dynamics Conditional Correlation (DCC) and Asymmetric Dynamics Conditional Correlation (ADCC). The results of empirical testing suggest that including gold, world oil, and dollar index into the dynamic portfolio might increase the portfolio performance and minimize its risks. The stock-gold portfolios formed by utilizing the DCC and ADCC-GARCH methods outperform those composed of only stock. Gold could act as a financial system stabilizer by mitigating losses in the case of extreme negative market shocks. Stock-WTI portfolios formed by utilizing the DCC and ADCC-GARCH methods also outperform those composed of only stock.
Liquidity, Volatility, and Herding Behavior: A Study of the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the Covid-19 Pandemic Zuwan Nisfu Nahar; Robiyanto Robiyanto
Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen Vol 40, No 2 (2025): July 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis UNTAG Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56444/mem.v40i2.5942

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This research aims to determine liquidity and volatility conditions and differences in herding behavior during the pre-pandemic, early pandemic, and the new normal period of the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia. This research examines the microstructure and proves herding behavior on the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX). This research will also look at liquidity and volatility to see market sentiment because investor behavior can be reflected in liquidity and volatility. The population used in this research is the IDX-80 index, with 48 companies as the sample. This study uses CSAD to test herding behavior because it is not sensitive to outliers. This research found that the highest market liquidity and volatility occurred during the early pandemic, and the highest herding behavior occurred during the new normal period. The market response to each event can also determine the direction of stock movements, so investors can take advantage of this period to collect shares and sell them again when prices rise. This research offers a summary of the Indonesian capital market during significant events, which can assist investors in developing investment plans that consider the course of events. Practically, this study offers actionable insights for investors by explaining how market conditions during different phases of the pandemic influence investment strategies.
Co-Authors A. Harijono Adi Cahya Stefanus Adi Rahadi Putra Adiputri, Bio Labora Afi Virna Noviani Akhmadi Akhmadi Alfi Syahri Alfi Syahri Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta Anggraeny, Wafa Anggreini Pamilangan Anisha Cahyaningrum Apriani Dorkas Rambu Atahau Ardilla Putri Naina Sari Ashalia Fitri Yuliana Ashalia Fitri Yuliana Ashalia Fitri Yuliana Bagas Ari Nugroho Bonita Restu Dwijayati Budi Frensidy Budi Frensidy, Budi Cahyono, Aji Wikan Christina, Olivia Christopher Anthony Surya Dharma Dea Prastica Alsyahrin Dilla Andharini Dismas Oktavianto Djie Liveren Adjie Tehananda Eka Handriani Enrico Pranata Adiwidjojo Essy Indah Pangesti Etheldreda Gladys Salvatori Eva Nurlita Eva Nurlita Fahmi Ihwanul Arifin Fahmi Ihwanul Arifin Farrel Tegar Giovanni Fatikasari, Imania Gabriela Elvina Dwiastuti Siahaan Hadi, Natanael Kristolife Ardana Handayani, Heny Handriani, Eka Hans Hananto Andreas Happy Catherine Harijono Harijono Harjum Muharam Hartanto, Aldhi Fajar Heny Handayani Hizkisevia Ayu Cahyapuspita Irene Rini Demi Pangestuti Isna Anggita Jenifer Christiani Bowa Kezia Maylani Azalia Kezia Viona Sugiyanto Kristiana Oktavia Kristiana Oktavia Kumar, Joseph John Allwyn Lakaba, Angriana Maria Magdalena Marwanti Mesakh Prihanto Surya Putra Mikha Mandela Kapahang Naufal Dwinanda Narra Putra Nensya Yuhanitha Nila Listiana Nurlita, Eva Nurohman Nurohman P Purwanto Pamilangan, Anggreini Patrisinus Ceasar Gunadi Paulus Hartono Petrus Wijayanto Prayogo Prayogo Rihfenti Ernayani Ryan Bagas Wikantyoso Samuel Martono Silvia Putri Faridayanti Sintikhe Mega Treisya Siska Gita Pratiwi Siska Gita Pratiwi Siti Puryandani Stefan, Yonatan Alvin Stefanus Chandra Wibowo Stefanus, Adi Cahya Stefany Cindy Sugiyanto Sudjinan Sudjinan Sugeng Wahyudi, Sugeng Suryani, Cyndi Susanto, Auberta Danice Triyanto Triyanto Triyanto Ullanchiang Meillenia Tumbal Venina Cindy Kusumawati Vicho Dwindra Arisandhi Wafa Anggraeny Wisnu Mawardi Yahya Rechtiawan Djari Yefta Andi Kus Noegroho Yehezkiel Chris Setiawan Yonatan Alvin Stefan Yonatan Alvin Stefan Yosua Arif Susanto Yunita Yunita Yunita Yunita Yunita Yunita Yuvica Lara Rovantiane Yuvica Lara Rovantiane Adicondro Zuwan Nisfu Nahar