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Analysis of Expansive Fiscal Policy and Grants on International Trade in Indonesia Fuddin Muhammad khoirul; Della Nurisa Agustin
Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura Vol. 28 No. 1 (2025): April-July 2025
Publisher : Universitas Hayam Wuruk Perbanas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v28i1.4784

Abstract

This study aims to determine the long-term and short-term effects of Government Expenditure, External Debt, and Grants variables on the Current Account Balance. This model uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) model to achieve a longterm and short-term balance. This study uses secondary data from world banks during the period 1983-2022 in Indonesia. This study proves that in the long run, Government Expenditure and Grants have a significant effect on the Current Account Balance. However, External Debt did not have a significant effect on the Current Account Balance. On the other hand, in the short term, Government Expenditure, External Debt, and Grants did not show a significant influence on the Current Account Balance. This study emphasizes the importance of the role of the Current Account Balance as the main pillar in assessing the level of economic progress in Indonesia. Expansive fiscal policy through increased government expenditure can strengthen the economy, especially when there is a surplus in the Current Account Balance. In addition, external debt can be used to cover the current account deficit, which ultimately has the potential to create a surplus. The influence of grants also has the potential to expand the reach of international trade, which has a positive impact on the Current Account Balance. 
The Influence of Industrial Value Added Level and Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emission Level on China's Economic Growth 1994 – 2023 Tomy Irawan Heri Susilo; Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi JIE Vol. 9 No. 04 (2025): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jie.v9i04.40758

Abstract

The economic conditions of a country determine the level of welfare of its people, which means that every country wants high and sustainable economic growth. This research aims to analyze how industrial value added and carbon dioxide emissions affect economic growth. The object of this research is China. This quantitative research type uses time series data. The data analysis used in this study is a multiple linear regression model. This research uses time series data of the year 1993-2023, together with the variables of industrial value added, carbon dioxide emissions and gross domestic product. The results show that industrial value added has a positive and significant effect on China's economic growth. In contrast, carbon dioxide emissions have a positive but not substantial impact on China's economic growth.
The Role of Performance Political Stability and Macroeconomic Attracting Foreign Direct Investment in ASEAN Ivada Nafiah Maulidiyah; Muhammad Khoirul Fuddin
EKUILIBRIUM : JURNAL ILMIAH BIDANG ILMU EKONOMI Vol 19 No 1 (2024): March
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Ponorogo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24269/ekuilibrium.v19i1.2024.pp107-121

Abstract

Foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a crucial role in developing nations to raise the standard of living for their citizens and strengthen their economies. This research aims to investigate the effects of macroeconomic factors like GDP, inflation, and female employment in the industry on flows of foreign direct investment as well as factor political stability with a research focus on 5 ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia) with research 20 years. The research method used panel data regression with secondary data from the World Bank. The Fixed Effect Model is found to be the best model selection. The results showed that political stability variables as well as all macroeconomic fundamental variables as measured by GDP, Inflation, and Employment Females in Industry partially had a significant and positive effect on the inflow of Foreign direct investment in 5 ASEAN countries and simultaneously had a significant positive effect.
Analysis of Expansive Fiscal Policy and Grants on International Trade in Indonesia Fuddin Muhammad khoirul; Della Nurisa Agustin
Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura Vol. 28 No. 1 (2025): April 2025
Publisher : Research Center and Community Services (PPPM)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v28i1.4784

Abstract

This study aims to determine the long-term and short-term effects of Government Expenditure, External Debt, and Grants variables on the Current Account Balance. This model uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) model to achieve a longterm and short-term balance. This study uses secondary data from world banks during the period 1983-2022 in Indonesia. This study proves that in the long run, Government Expenditure and Grants have a significant effect on the Current Account Balance. However, External Debt did not have a significant effect on the Current Account Balance. On the other hand, in the short term, Government Expenditure, External Debt, and Grants did not show a significant influence on the Current Account Balance. This study emphasizes the importance of the role of the Current Account Balance as the main pillar in assessing the level of economic progress in Indonesia. Expansive fiscal policy through increased government expenditure can strengthen the economy, especially when there is a surplus in the Current Account Balance. In addition, external debt can be used to cover the current account deficit, which ultimately has the potential to create a surplus. The influence of grants also has the potential to expand the reach of international trade, which has a positive impact on the Current Account Balance.