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ARDL PANEL MODEL IN CONTROL OF EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEMS THROUGH POST-COVID-19 OPEN ECONOMY MODEL Abdiyanto Abdiyanto; Ronald Farel Siahaan; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Bhaktiar Efendi; Lia Nazliaan Nasution; Suhendi Suhendi; Diwayana Putri Nasution
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i1.181

Abstract

Destination from study this that is for test variable Interest Rates, Inflation , Total Money Supply and GDP how much big in take effect to EXCHANGE variable . And for knowing is panel level _ ethnic group interest , inflation , money supply , unemployment , investment , and GDP have an effect positive and significant to exchange rates in America, Australia, China, Canada , Indonesia, Japan , South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Russia and Thailand. Approach study this is study associative / quantitative with the Simultaneous model and the ARDL Panel where aim see linkages Among independent variables and dependent variables that spread panel in Top Major Exchange Rate countries in 11 APEC Countries. Study this conducted against 11 countries with exchange rate strongest in the APEC countries in the world (America, Australia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Japan , China, Indonesia, Canada , Russia , and Thailand). The ARDL Panel Analysis results show that the Leading Model Control indicators Exchange Rate System Through the Post -Covid-19 Open Economy Model, the Top Major Exchange Rates in Eleven Apec Countries (Varies) are JUB and GDP. this _ due to the results data processing , the ROE variable is variable that gives stable influence , ie _ effect on the inside period long nor period short in give influence significant to score exchange , which is assessed from level short run and long run stability in the table result .
THE ROLE OF BRAND IMAGE IN MEDIATED AMENITIES IN INCREASING TOURIST SATISFACTION Pantun Harianja; Fuji Rahmadi; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Bhaktiar Efendi; Lia Nazliaan Nasution; Suhendi Suhendi; Diwayana Putri Nasution
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i1.182

Abstract

Destination study that is for the role of brand image in mediate amenity to satisfaction tourists in Bukit Lawang . Method analysis by year first in study this use approach SEM (Structural Equation Modelling) . Research results show that 1) By straight a minute have influence positive and significant to brand image on Bukit Lawang . 2) In straight a minute have influence positive and significant to tourist satisfaction at Bukit Lawang . 3) In no direct brand image has role significant in mediate a minute to tourist satisfaction at Bukit Lawang .
QUALITY BASED PRODUCTIVITY OF FERTILIZER, TECHNOLOGY AND CAPITAL Rosliana Rosliana; Oktarini Khamilah Siregar; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Ade Novalina; Bhaktiar Efendi; Lia Nazliaan Nasution; Suhendi Suhendi; Diwayana Putri Nasution
Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022): Proceeding of The International Conference on Economics and Business
Publisher : Universitas Kristen Indonesia Toraja

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/iceb.v1i1.183

Abstract

The research objective was to determine the effect of the quality of fertilizer, technology and capital on the productivity of the people in Tunas Harapan Village, Gunung Meriah District, Aceh Singkil Regency. The population in this study was the community in Tunas Harapan Village, Gunung Meriah District, Aceh Singkil Regency, totaling 198 people, then the determination technique was purposive random sampling. The data collection technique used a questionnaire with a Likert measurement scale. The results of multiple regression analysis are Y = 7.772 + 0.257X1 + 0.1932 + 0.348X3 + e which shows the quality of fertilizer, technology and capital have a positive and significant effect on the productivity of the people. While the results of the test (t) or partial test show that the quality of fertilizer has a positive and significant effect on community productivity where it can be seen that the value of t count = 2.359 > t table 2.034, the technology variable has a positive and significant effect on community productivity where it can be seen that the value of t count = 2.137 > t table 2.034, and capital also has a positive and significant effect on the productivity of the people where it can be seen that the value of t count = 2.533 > t table 2.034. Then the coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.823 (82.3%). So that it can be said that 82.3% of the variation in the dependent variable, namely the quality of fertilizer, technology and capital in the model has contributed to the productivity of the community in Tunas Harapan Village, Gunung Meriah District, Aceh Singkil Regency, while the remaining 17.7% is influenced by other variables outside the model
PREDICTION OF EXCHANGE RATE INTEGRATION IN FOUR EMERGING MARKET COUNTRIES Ade Novalina; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Bhaktiar Efendi; Dilla Fadila Rusmawadi; Nasib Nasib
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 01 (2023): Jurnal Ekonomi, 2023 Periode Januari - Maret
Publisher : SEAN Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study analyzes monetary policy variables on exchange rate stability. Where is the purpose of this study to see the contribution of variable inflation, the amount of money in circulation, interest rates, and foreign exchange reserves in dealing with exchange rates? The problem that has existed so far is the inaccuracy of the policies used to maintain exchange rate stability. However, this study predicts being able to use monetary policy in dealing with exchange rate problems. Four countries will be studied, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines. Analysis to see leading indicators per country using the ARDL Panel method. The results of interest rates and the money supply can become the main leading indicators (Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines), but their positions are unstable in the short run and long run. The main leading indicator of the effectiveness of monetary policy which can become the leading indicator for Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines in maintaining exchange rate stability is the interest rate variable seen from a short-run and long-run stability. Where the interest rate variable in the short term and long term is significant for the stability of the exchange rate.
Kemampuan Model CFA Dalam Memprediksi Transmisi Kebijakan Moneter Dan Stabilitas Inflasi Di Indonesia Rusiadi; Bhaktiar Efendi; Anggun R Sulistia; Lia Nazliana Nasution; Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Nasib
Jurnal Minfo Polgan Vol. 12 No. 2 (2023): Artikel Penelitian 2023
Publisher : Politeknik Ganesha Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33395/jmp.v12i2.13016

Abstract

Penelitian ini memprediksi transmisi kebijakan moneter dan stabilitas inflasi di Indonesia. Mekanisme perubahan bunga sampai mempengaruhi inflasi diidentifikasikan sebagai mekanisme transmisi kebijakan moneter. Mekanisme menunjukkan adanya perubahan dan transformasi kebijakan moneter sampai ke jalur money demand, pertumbuhan ekonomi dan perubahan harga. Model CFA (Confirmatory Factor Analysis) menjabarkan model perubahan stabilitas inflasi yang terbentuk. Hasil CFA menyimpulkan integrasi perubahan stabilitas harga ditentukan oleh money demand dan GDP. Naiknya money demand mampu dengan cepat membentuk ketidakstabilan harga-harga di Indonesia, sedangkan pengangguran dan bunga serta investasi kurang mengendalikan perubahan inflasi di Indonesia.