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Analisis Wacana Kritis atas Opini Publik terhadap Kinerja Pemerintah dalam Survei Kawula17 2025 Nova Azzahra Ramadhani; Mochamad Arif Affandi; Fransiscus Xaverius Sri Sadewo
Takuana: Jurnal Pendidikan, Sains, dan Humaniora Vol. 4 No. 4 (2026): Takuana (January-March)
Publisher : MAN 4 Kota Pekanbaru

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56113/takuana.v4i4.315

Abstract

Public opinion surveys are widely used as indicators of governmental legitimacy. However, quantitative approaches often fail to capture the complex meanings embedded in public responses. This study highlights the importance of discourse analysis in interpreting survey data, particularly amid declining public trust in the Indonesian government during Q2 2025. This research applies Norman Fairclough’s Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA) to secondary data from the Kawula17 Q2 2025 Survey. The analysis follows three dimensions: textual, discursive practice, and social practice, focusing on issues of corruption, economy, and gender legislation (RUU PPRT). Public opinion emerges as a discursive construction marked by ambivalence, symbolic resistance, and critique of power relations. Expressions like “death penalty for corruptors” and “the little people are suffering” reflect tensions between state narratives and citizens’ lived realities. Public opinion is not neutral; it is shaped by social structures and dominant ideologies. CDA offers a critical lens to reinterpret political surveys as socially embedded texts.
Incumbent Performance Dissatisfaction Influences Blank-Box Voting in the 2024 Gresik Election Shine Kurdiati Miare; Fatkah Ainurrofiah; Budi Santoso; Mochamad Arif Affandi
Journal of Religion, Local Politics, and Law Vol. 2 No. 3 (2026): Institutional and Social Transformation in Contemporary Society
Publisher : PT Pro Panoramic Solution

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64595/jrlpl.v2n3.p291-310

Abstract

The high proportion of blank votes in the 2024 regional election in Gresik Regency reflects an important phenomenon in local democratic participation, particularly in uncontested elections. Despite the increasing occurrence of blank voting in Indonesia, empirical evidence explaining how public dissatisfaction with incumbent performance influences this behavior remains limited. This study aims to examine the effect of public dissatisfaction with incumbent performance on the propensity to vote for the blank box. A quantitative research design was employed using data from 150 respondents selected through quota sampling from five sub districts Sidayu, Bungah, Manyar, Ujungpangkah, and Kebomas which recorded the highest proportion of blank votes in the election. Data were collected through structured Likert-scale questionnaires and analyzed using multinomial logistic regression. The findings indicate that the model demonstrates a good fit, with a significant Omnibus Test (p < 0.001) and Pearson and Deviance statistics exceeding 0.05. Public dissatisfaction has a statistically significant effect on the likelihood of voting for the blank box (Exp(B) = 1.687, p < 0.001). These findings extend rational choice theory by demonstrating that, in uncontested local elections, blank voting represents a rational mechanism of electoral accountability rather than merely political apathy. This study provides empirical evidence that public evaluations of incumbent performance constitute a significant determinant of blank-box voting in single-candidate local elections, thereby enriching the understanding of electoral behavior in uncontested democratic contests. The study contributes to the literature on electoral behavior by highlighting public performance evaluation as an important determinant of blank voting in local elections.
Fostering Political Awareness Among Muslim Women Through Muslim Women's Community Activities in the 2024 Regional Elections Salsabila Nur Imandana; Agus Machfud Fauzi; Mochamad Arif Affandi
Jurnal Sosiologi Reflektif Vol. 21 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : Laboratorium of Sociology, Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Kalijaga Jl. Marsda Adisucipto, Indonesia, 55281

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14421/4m1c6n46

Abstract

Electoral politics at the local level does not operate solely through political parties, campaigns, and formal political education, but also through everyday interactions within religious communities. This study examines how political awareness among Muslimat NU women in Sumurjalak Village, Tuban Regency, is constructed, negotiated, and internalised through community activities during the 2024 regional elections. Employing a descriptive qualitative approach, the study draws on in-depth interviews with 3 (three) active Muslimat NU members, participant observation, and documentary analysis. The data were analyzed thematically, while Peter L. Berger and Thomas Luckmann’s social construction framework was used as the analytical perspective. The findings show that activities such as pengajian, tahlilan, arisan, and informal conversations provide social spaces in which women exchange political information, assess leadership qualities, and relate electoral choices to religious values such as honesty, justice, responsibility, and trustworthiness. Through repeated interaction, these values become collective points of reference for evaluating political leaders, strengthening independent political judgment, and rejecting transactional politics. The study demonstrates that political awareness is socially produced through the intersection of religion, gendered interaction, community organization, and local politics. The implication of this study is that Muslim women’s religious organizations should be understood as significant informal arenas of political socialization, women’s agency, and grassroots democratic participation.   Politik elektoral di tingkat lokal tidak hanya berlangsung melalui partai, kampanye, dan pendidikan politik formal, tetapi juga melalui interaksi sehari-hari dalam komunitas keagamaan. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis bagaimana kesadaran politik perempuan Muslimat NU di Desa Sumurjalak, Kabupaten Tuban dikonstruksi, dinegosiasikan, dan diinternalisasi melalui aktivitas komunitas dalam konteks Pemilihan Kepala Daerah 2024. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif deskriptif dengan wawancara mendalam terhadap 3 (tiga) anggota aktif Muslimat NU, observasi partisipatif, dan dokumentasi. Data dianalisis secara tematik dengan menggunakan kerangka konstruksi sosial Peter L. Berger dan Thomas Luckmann sebagai perspektif analitis. Temuan menunjukkan bahwa kegiatan seperti pengajian, tahlilan, arisan, dan percakapan informal menjadi ruang sosial bagi perempuan untuk bertukar informasi politik, menilai kualitas kepemimpinan, serta menghubungkan pilihan politik dengan nilai keagamaan seperti kejujuran, keadilan, tanggung jawab, dan amanah. Melalui interaksi yang berulang, nilai-nilai tersebut berkembang menjadi rujukan kolektif dalam menilai pemimpin, membangun kemandirian pilihan politik, dan menolak praktik politik transaksional. Penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa kesadaran politik merupakan proses sosial yang dibentuk melalui persinggungan antara agama, interaksi gender, organisasi komunitas, dan politik lokal. Implikasi penelitian ini adalah pentingnya organisasi keagamaan perempuan sebagai ruang informal bagi sosialisasi politik, pembentukan agensi perempuan, dan partisipasi demokratis di tingkat akar rumput.