Septiavin, Qori’atul
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Economic Growth and CO2 Emission in ASEAN: Panel-ARDL Approach Feriansyah, Feriansyah; Nugroho, Hari; Larre, Aura Asyda; Septiavin, Qori’atul; Nisa, Cintya Khairun
Economics and Finance in Indonesia Vol. 68, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions from 1994 to 2018 using a panel approach from eight ASEAN countries. We found an established result using the Panel ARDL Pooled Mean Group method. First, the panel Cointegration analysis shows a significant long-term relationship between GDP and CO2 emissions. Second, the error correction mechanism shows a stable and consistent value. Third, we found that GDP has a significant long-term effect on CO2 emissions in ASEAN countries. Fourth, our results also show that GDP significantly impacts CO2 emissions in the short term for four countries: Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Cambodia. Based on these empirical results, implications and policy recommendations are presented. ASEAN countries should implement green growth policies by encouraging economic development which does not suppress the environment.
Implementation of Population Policy Towards Indonesia’s Golden Vision 2045: Strengths and Future Challenges Cholifihani, Muhammad; Septiavin, Qori’atul
Neo Journal of economy and social humanities Vol 4 No 4 (2025): Neo Journal of Economy and Social Humanities
Publisher : International Publisher (YAPENBI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56403/nejesh.v4i4.352

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the advantages and drawbacks of Indonesia’s population policy within the framework of the National Long-Term Development Plan (RPJPN) 2025–2045. The objective was to examine how demographic management can contribute to realization of the Indonesia’s Golden Vision 2045. A qualitative research method was applied through a literature review, focusing on strategic themes such as optimizing the demographic bonus, controlling population growth, developing intermediate cities, and promoting social inclusion for vulnerable groups. The study drew on academic articles, policy documents, and official government reports, purposively selected to represent the most relevant and updated sources. The instrument used in this study was a document analysis matrix to categorize findings according to opportunities and challenges. The results indicated that the RPJPN 2025–2045 provided a strong strategic direction to harness demographic momentum by enhancing human capital and economic productivity. However, challenges were identified in the form of regional development disparities, unequal access to basic services, risks of uncontrolled urbanization, and potential increases in unemployment if education and employment sectors were not adequately prepared. This study concluded that strengthening local-level policy implementation, mainstreaming inclusive development, and fostering cross-sectoral synergy were essential for effective demographic management. The findings were expected to support the development of adaptive and sustainable population strategies that could ensure Indonesia’s demographic advantages were transformed into long-term national progress.