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All Journal Journal of Economics and Regional Science Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi
Noubel Putra Nainggolan
Universitas Negeri Medan
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Pengaruh Suku Bunga dan Jumlah Uang Beredar (M1) Terhadap Inflasi di Sumatera Utara Ainur Oktania; Jeane Alisya; Noubel Putra Nainggolan; Dwi Nabila Putri; Frido Evindey Manihuruk
Journal of Economics and Regional Science Vol 4 No 1 (2024): Journal Of Economics and Regional Science
Publisher : STIE Jambatan Bulan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52421/jurnal-esensi.v4i1.441

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of interest rates (BI rate) and money supply (M1) on inflation in North Sumatra Province by looking at the role of Bank Indonesia as the monetary authority. Quantitative methodology with multiple regression analysis is used in data processing in this study and uses annual data (2005-2020) obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics of North Sumatra, Bank Indonesia and the Indonesian national website which is also a source of analysis. The results show a positive and significant impact of interest rates on inflation, while money supply (M1) has a positive but insignificant impact. With a coefficient of determination of 67.36%, most of the variation in inflation is explained by interest rates (BI rate) and money supply (M1). The results have important implications for economic policy formulation and effective decision making in maintaining price stability at the regional level by Bank Indonesia
Pengaruh Produk Domestik Bruto dan Kurs Terhadap Inflasi Melalui Jumlah Uang Beredar di Indonesia Tahun 1995-2023 Nurlia Aprianti Sinurat; Febryanti Angkat; Joan Agus Sirait; Dafa Ariza; Noubel Putra Nainggolan
EKOMA : Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi Vol. 4 No. 3: Maret 2025
Publisher : CV. Ulil Albab Corp

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56799/ekoma.v4i3.6459

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh produk domestik bruto dan kurs terhadap inflasi melalui jumlah uang beredar sebagai variabel intervening di Indonesia dari tahun 1995 hingga 2023. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Path Analysis data time series. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) dan nilai tukar berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi. Namun, PDB tidak memiliki pengaruh langsung terhadap inflasi melalui jumlah uang beredar, sementara kurs berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi melalui jumlah uang beredar. Penelitian ini memberikan wawasan bagi pembuat kebijakan untuk merumuskan strategi pengendalian inflasi yang lebih efektif, serta mendukung pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan di Indonesia.
Co-Authors Ainur Oktania Dafa Ariza Dwi Nabila Putri Febryanti Angkat Frido Evindey Manihuruk Jeane Alisya Joan Agus Sirait Nurlia Aprianti Sinurat