Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 19 Documents
Search

An Analysis of Covid-19 Transmission in Indonesia and Saudi Arabia Meksianis Z. Ndii; Panji Hadisoemarto; Dwi Agustian; Asep K. Supriatna
Communication in Biomathematical Sciences Vol. 3 No. 1 (2020)
Publisher : Indonesian Bio-Mathematical Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5614/cbms.2020.3.1.3

Abstract

An outbreak of novel coronavirus has been happening in more than 200 countries and has shocked society. Several measures have been implemented to slowing down the epidemics while waiting for vaccine and pharmaceutical intervention. Using a deterministic and stochastic model, we assess the effectiveness of current strategies: reducing the transmission rate and speeding up the time to detect infected individuals. The reproductive ratio and the probability of extinction are determined. We found that the combination of both strategies is effective to slow down the epidemics. We also find that speeding up the time to detect infected individuals without reducing the transmission rate is not sufficient to slow down the epidemics.
A Game Dynamic Modeling Framework to Understand the Influence of Human Choice to Vaccinate or to Reduce Contact with Mosquitoes on Dengue Transmission Dynamics Meksianis Z. Ndii
Communication in Biomathematical Sciences Vol. 4 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Indonesian Bio-Mathematical Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.5614/cbms.2021.4.1.6

Abstract

Strategies for reducing dengue incidence are by minimizing the contact between mosquitoes and human or the use of vaccine. However, the candidate of dengue is not perfect and potentially results in more secondary infection cases.This leads to the question which strategy should be decided by individuals to reduce the chance for being infected by dengue. A game-dynamic modeling framework by coupling epidemic and behavior model has been constructed to study the effects of human decision making behavior on dengue transmission dynamics. We also consider strategies as time-dependent controls and estimate the parameter values against data of dengue incidence in Kupang city, Indonesia. Parameter estimation gives the reproduction number of 1.17 which indicates the possibility of outbreak occurrence. When the efficacy of reduced contact with mosquitoes is low, the use of vaccination is the best option to reduce dengue incidence. The efficacy of reduced contact with mosquitoes should be at high level to get higher reduction in dengue incidence if no vaccine is available yet. An optimal control approach suggests that a higher level of vaccination rate and the reduced contact with mosquitoes is required to reach optimal reduction in dengue incidence. However, solutions from epidemiological-behavior model showed that individuals are likely to choose one strategy only which has higher cost and the probability of perceived efficacy. The implementation of vaccination helps in reducing dengue incidence. However, understanding the effects of dengue vaccine on secondary infections is required before the delivery of such intervention.
A Theoretical Study on Vibrational Energies of Molecular Hydrogen and Its Isotopes Using a Semi-classical Approximation Redi Kristian Pingak; Albert Zicko Johannes; Fidelis Nitti; Meksianis Zadrak Ndii
Indonesian Journal of Chemistry Vol 21, No 3 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ijc.63294

Abstract

This study aims to apply a semi-classical approach using some analytically solvable potential functions to accurately compute the first ten pure vibrational energies of molecular hydrogen (H2) and its isotopes in their ground electronic states. This study also aims at comparing the accuracy of the potential functions within the framework of the semi-classical approximation. The performance of the approximation was investigated as a function of the molecular mass. In this approximation, the nuclei were assumed to move in a classical potential. The Bohr-Sommerfeld quantization rule was then applied to calculate the vibrational energies of the molecules numerically. The results indicated that the first vibrational transition frequencies (v1ß0) of all hydrogen isotopes were consistent with the experimental ones, with a minimum percentage error of 0.02% for ditritium (T2) molecule using the Modified-Rosen-Morse potential. It was also demonstrated that, in general, the Rosen-Morse and the Modified-Rosen-Morse potential functions were better in terms of calculating the vibrational energies of the molecules than Morse potential. Interestingly, the Morse potential was found to be better than the Manning-Rosen potential. Finally, the semi-classical approximation was found to perform better for heavier isotopes for all potentials applied in this study.
Comparison of Optimal Control Effect from Fungicides and Pseudomonas Fluorescens on Downy Mildew in Corn Ludji, Dian Grace; Hurit, Roberta Uron; Manek, Siprianus Septian; Ndii, Meksianis Z
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 5, Issue 1: June 2024
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jjbm.v5i1.23153

Abstract

Downy mildew is a disease that continues to infect corn crops in Timor Tengah Utara regency, reducing the amount of crop production and making corn farmers suffer losses. Farmers continue to look for ways to control downy mildew. Two treatments are commonly used by farmers, namely spraying Fungicides and Pseudomonas Fluorescens simultaneously in one unit of time, but have not resulted in optimal production. Therefore, this research is important to get a more optimal way to control find downy mildew. In this paper, we determine the optimal model of downy mildew control in corn plants by comparing the use of Fungicides and Pseudomonas Fluorescens. This research begins by forming a dynamic mathematical model consisting of six populations, namely four corn populations (Sh, F , P , Ih) and two populations of infecting fungi (Sv , Iv ). Then they obtained the basic reproduction number (R0) and two equilibrium points, namely the disease-free equilibrium and the disease-endemic equilibrium which has asymptotic stability. Numerical simulation results based on optimal control analysis with the minimum Pontryagin principle show that using fungicides can reduce the number of plants infected with downy mildew. Therefore, control by using fungicides is necessary and recommended increasing the number of downy mildew infected plants.
APPLICATION OF DIFFERENTIAL TRANSFORMATION METHOD FOR SOLVING HIV MODEL WITH ANTI-VIRAL TREATMENT Bunga, Esther Y.; Ndii, Meksianis Z.
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 14 No 3 (2020): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (694.352 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol14iss3pp377-386

Abstract

Mathematical models have been widely used to understand complex phenomena. Generally, the model is in the form of system of differential equations. However, when the model becomes complex, analytical solutions are not easily used and hence a numerical approach has been used. A number of numerical schemes such as Euler, Runge-Kutta, and Finite Difference Scheme are generally used. There are also alternative numerical methods that can be used to solve system of differential equations such as the nonstandard finite difference scheme (NSFDS), the Adomian decomposition method (ADM), Variation iteration method (VIM), and the differential transformation method (DTM). In this paper, we apply the differential transformation method (DTM) to solve system of differential equations. The DTM is semi-analytical numerical technique to solve the system of differential equations and provides an iterative procedure to obtain the power series of the solution in terms of initial value parameters. In this paper, we present a mathematical model of HIV with antiviral treatment and construct a numerical scheme based on the differential transformation method (DTM) for solving the model. The results are compared to that of Runge-Kutta method. We find a good agreement of the DTM and the Runge-Kutta method for smaller time step but it fails in the large time step
DETERMINISTIC AND STOCHASTIC DENGUE EPIDEMIC MODEL: EXPLORING THE PROBABILITY OF EXTINCTION Ndii, Meksianis Z.; Adi, Yudi Ari; Djahi, Bertha S
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 2 (2022): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (524.68 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss2pp583-596

Abstract

Dengue, a vector-borne disease, threatens the life of humans in tropical and subtropical regions. Hence, the dengue transmission dynamics need to be studied. An important aspect to be investigated is the probability of extinction. In this paper, deterministic and stochastic dengue epidemic models with two-age classes have been developed and analyzed, and the probability of extinction has been determined. For the stochastic approach, we use the Continuous-Time Markov Chain model. The results show that vaccination of adult individuals leads to a lower number of adult infected individuals. Furthermore, the results showed that a higher number of initial infections causes a low probability of dengue extinction. Furthermore, factors contributing to an increase in the infection-related parameters have to be minimized to increase the potential reduction of dengue cases.
Penguatan Konsep Literasi Matematika Bagi Siswa Smp Negeri 8 Kota Kupang Pangaribuan, Rapmaida M.; ., Ariyanto; Ndii, Meksianis Z.
Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Undana Vol 17 No 1 (2023): JUNI 2023
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Universitas Nusa Cendana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35508/jpkmlppm.v17i1.12035

Abstract

Asesmen Kompetensi Minimum (AKM) is one of the assessment instruments of the Asesmen Nasional (AN). There are two main competencies that are measured in the AKM, namely reading literacy and mathematical literacy (numeracy). The AN results in 2021 show that 2 out of 3 students have not achieved the minimum numeracy competency. One of the factors causing this is students’ lack of motivation in learning numeracy. Many students find numeracy difficult to understand and very scary, uninteresting because there are many symbols and formulas. The purpose of this community service activity is to increase students' motivation in learning numeracy. The implementation of activities in the form of training and assistance to strengthening the concept of mathematical literacy. The participants in this activity were 57 students of SMP Negeri 8 Kota Kupang. The results of the activity evaluation showed that students' interest and understanding of mathematical literacy (numeration) had changed positively and students' motivation to learn numeracy had increased.
Estimasi Reproduction Number Model Matematika Penyebaran Malaria di Sumba Tengah, Indonesia Banni, Ervin Mawo; Kleden, Maria A; Lobo, Maria; Ndii, Meksianis Zadrak
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 2, Issue 1: June 2021
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v2i1.9971

Abstract

Malaria is transmitted via a bite of mosquitoes and it is dangerous if it is not properly treated. Mathematical modeling can be formulated to understand the disease transmission dynamics. In this paper, a mathematical model with an awareness program has been formulated and the reproduction number has been estimated against the data from Weeluri Health Center, Mamboro District, Central Sumba. The calculation showed that the reproduction number is R0 = 1.2562. Results showed that if the efficacy of the awareness program is lower than 20%, the reproduction number is still above unity. If the efficacy of the awareness program is higher than 20%, the reproduction number is lower than unity. This implies that the efficacy of awareness programs is the key to the success of Malaria eradication.
Simulasi numerik model matematika untuk menganalisis relasi antara korupsi dan dinamika penyebaran penyakit menular Radja, Julieta B.A.; Ndii, Meksianis Zadrak
Jambura Journal of Biomathematics (JJBM) Volume 3, Issue 1: June 2022
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34312/jjbm.v3i1.14187

Abstract

A mathematical model has been widely used to understand complex phenomena in biology, social, and politics. A number of mathematical model has been formulated to understand infectious diseases or corruption phenomena. However, to the best of our knowledge, none of the work has has been conducted to investigate the relation of corruption and transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. In this work, a structured model in the form of system of differential equations has been formulated to investigate the relation between corruption and transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. In this work, a novel mathematical model has been formulated to investigate the relation between corruption and the transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. The results showed that in the presence of corruption the number of infections is higher compared to that in the absence of corruption. Although the implementation of public health intervention can reduce the number of infections, the presence of corruption can increase the disease incidence. This implies that corruption potentially hinder the effort for disease elimination. Numerical simulations showed that in the absence of corruption, the level of efficacy of public health intervention can reduce the number of infections. It showed that 80% efficacy level can eliminate the disease cases, which cannot be achieved in the presence of corruption. The results suggest that the corruption should be minimized in order to achieve disease elimination. When data becomes available, the model would be validated against the data.