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All Journal Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis Jurnal Media Akademik (JMA)
Luk Lu’us Syarifah
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Religion Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Other

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Strategi Untuk Mengendalikan Inflasi Menurut Perspektif Ekonomi Islam Luk Lu’us Syarifah; Husnul Khotimah; Yusnia Yusnia
Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis Vol. 3 No. 3 (2024): Agustus : Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis
Publisher : Pusat Riset dan Inovasi Nasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/jekombis.v3i3.3965

Abstract

Inflation is an economic issue that is often discussed in Indonesia. Where inflation is an economic phenomenon that involves an increase in goods and services in the world economy. However, in the context of Islamic economics, inflation is not just a difference in prices, but leads to ethical and social differences that violate sharia principles. Indonesia has made various efforts to control inflation, including controlling supply and demand, stabilizing prices of daily necessities, and regulating monetary and fiscal policies. This research aims to find out strategies for controlling inflation according to Islam. This research uses a qualitative approach using systematic literature review (SLR) techniques. to control inflation according to Islamic economics. This fiscal policy includes state spending for the public interest, taxes and loans to stabilize the national economy and public welfare, or is controlled by sharia money, namely by avoiding the use of instruments based on usury, gharar, maisyir and zhulum. Islamic economics as an economic system has its own methods and strategies for controlling inflation which are very different from other economic systems. Islamic economics accepts monetary and fiscal policy as part of efforts to control inflation. However, to achieve standards of socio-economic justice, efforts need to be made to maintain price stability through strategies of moral improvement, equal distribution of income and wealth, and the elimination of usury.
PENGARUH SUKU BUNGA DAN UANG BEREDAR (M2) TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2019-2024 MENGGUNAKAN METODE AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG (ARDL) Luk Lu’us Syarifah; Fatonah; Husnul Khotimah; Yusnia; Achmad Budi Susetyo
Jurnal Media Akademik (JMA) Vol. 3 No. 12 (2025): JURNAL MEDIA AKADEMIK Edisi Desember
Publisher : PT. Media Akademik Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62281/k9rn5277

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh suku bunga BI Rate dan jumlah uang beredar (M2) terhadap inflasi di Indonesia pada periode 2019-2024 menggunakan metode Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Uji stasioneritas menunjukkan bahwa seluruh variabel, yaitu inflasi, BI Rate, dan M2, stasioner pada diferensiasi pertama (I(1)) dengan p-value sebesar 0,0000; 0,0042; dan 0,0001 secara berurutan. Uji Johansen tidak menunjukkan adanya kointegrasi, namun melalui ARDL Bounds Testing ditemukan kointegrasi pada taraf 5% dengan nilai F-statistic 3.714840. Model ARDL terbaik berdasarkan AIC adalah ARDL (1,0,0). Hasil Error Correction Model (ECM) menunjukkan nilai Error Correction Term (ECT) negatif dan signifikan, sehingga terdapat mekanisme penyesuaian menuju keseimbangan jangka panjang. Dalam jangka pendek, inflasi periode sebelumnya dan BI Rate berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan M2 tidak signifikan. Dalam jangka panjang, BI Rate tetap signifikan, sementara M2 tidak berpengaruh. Seluruh pengujian asumsi klasik terpenuhi, model terbukti stabil berdasarkan CUSUM dan CUSUMSQ, dan hasil peramalan menunjukkan RMSE, MAE, MAP, dan Theil yang rendah. Penelitian ini menegaskan pentingnya instrumen suku bunga sebagai alat pengendalian inflasi di Indonesia. Penelitian ini mendukung peningkatan mekanisme transmisi moneter melalui penyesuaian suku bunga dan manajemen M2 untuk mencapai stabilisasi inflasi, dan menyarankan dimasukkannya variabel tambahan dalam penelitian selanjutnya untuk memastikan proses validasi yang lebih menyeluruh.
Co-Authors Achmad Budi Susetyo Fatonah HUSNUL KHOTIMAH Yusnia Yusnia Yusnia