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Peramalan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan Mancanegara Ke Indonesia Menggunakan Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Ramadhani, Adelia; Wahyuningsih, Sri; Siringoringo, Meiliyani
EKSPONENSIAL Vol 13 No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1130.747 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v13i2.1049

Abstract

Autoregressive Moving Average (ARIMA) is a general model that is often used in time series modeling. One application of ARIMA can be used on the data foreign tourist visits to Indonesia. The tourism sector is one of the priority sectors in Indonesia's economic development. One of the determining factors in the tourism sector is the number of foreign tourist visits. Therefore, forecasting the number of foreign tourist visits is very necessary. The purpose of this study was to obtain a model and forecast results for the number of foreign tourist visits from March 2020 to October 2021 using the ARIMA model. The results of the analysis showed that the ARIMA model (0,1,1) was the best model with a MAPE of 6.23%. The forecasting results with the best model showed that the highest number of foreign tourist visits is in Agustus 2021 and the lowest is in December 2020.
Investigating the Influence of EFL Students’ First Language on the Pronunciation of Long and Short English Vowels Muhayyang, Maemuna; Sally, Fauzan Hari Sudding; Ramadhani, Adelia; Syahruni, Syahruni
ELT Worldwide: Journal of English Language Teaching Vol 12, No 1: April
Publisher : Pascasarjana Universitas Negeri Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26858/eltww.v12i1.71922

Abstract

The impact of an individual's native language on the pronunciation of long and short vowels in English is a common phenomenon, particularly among learners whose first language employs a distinct vowel system. The objective of this study is to gain insight into the manner in which a student's first language affects the pronunciation of long and short English vowels and to identify effective learning strategies employed to overcome the difficulties encountered. This study employed a case study in qualitative method taking eight English Language Education students in 2022/2023 academic year, Universitas Negeri Makassar. To collect the data, semi-structured interview was utilized and analyzed using the framework of qualitative analysis developed by Miles and Huberman Saldana's (2014) theory, which includes data condensation, data presentation, and conclusion drawing/verification. The findings revealed that the lack of differentiation between English long and short vowels in the native language, coupled with difficulties in identifying and articulating vowels, constituted the primary challenges encountered by the students. Nevertheless, several learning strategies were identified to assist in overcoming the difficulties, namely learning from native speakers through online resources, the "listen and repeat" method and utilizing a supportive learning environment. These findings underscore the significance of recognizing the impact of a first language and implementing suitable learning strategies to channel the accuracy of students' pronunciation of both long and short vowels in English.
MENUMBUHKAN KEMANDIRIAN EKONOMI KELUARGA DHUAFA BAPAK SUGENG MELALUI USAHA GORENGAN Alam, Fiqry Nur; Ramadhani, Adelia; Tibyan, Arkan; Dzaljad, Rifma Ghulam
Jurnal Gembira: Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 3 No 03 (2025): JUNI 2025
Publisher : Media Inovasi Pendidikan dan Publikasi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Kemiskinan tetap menjadi tantangan global yang menuntut solusi komprehensif dan berkelanjutan. Program pemberdayaan masyarakat ini berlandaskan pada teologi Al-Ma'un Muhammadiyah, bertujuan untuk mengatasi masalah kemiskinan yang masih sulit diberantas di Indonesia. Tujuan utama program ini adalah untuk mendorong kemandirian ekonomi keluarga dhuafa sehingga kedepannya dapat memiliki perekonomian yang lebih baik, sekaligus menumbuhkan rasa tanggung jawab sosial pada masyarakat. Metodologi yang digunakan dalam pemberdayaan ini melibatkan beberapa tahapan penting: pertama mensurvey penerima manfaat untuk memahami kondisi mereka, kedua melakukan analisis kebutuhan menyeluruh terhadap keluarga dhuafa, ketiga menggalang dana dari masyarakat luas, keempat memberikan modal usaha menyediakan pelatihan usaha. Pelatihan ini difokuskan untuk membekali keluarga dhuafa dengan keterampilan dan pengetahuan yang diperlukan agar mencapai kemandirian ekonomi.Hasil program pemberdaayaan ini menunjukkan Pendapatan keluarga dhuafa penerima manfaat meningkat, mengindikasikan efektivitas strategi pemberdayaan. Lebih lanjut, inisiatif ini berhasil menumbuhkan rasa kepedulian dan solidaritas yang lebih besar di antara para peserta dan dan masyrakat yang telah berkontribusi. Pemberdayaan ini menyoroti potensi pendekatan berbasis agama, khususnya teologi Al-Ma'un, untuk mendorong upaya pengentasan kemiskinan yang berdampak melalui pemberdayaan holistik dan keterlibatan masyarakat.