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PENERAPAN METODE FORECASTING DOUBLE MOVING AVERAGE DAN DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING SATU PARAMETER PADA UMKM CILOK CEU OEY Nadira, Fadiya; Dewy, Cyndy Kresna; Tiojay, Sabila Utami Syifa; Anwar, Asep
Jurnal Logic: Logistics & Supply Chain Center Vol 2 No 1 (2023): Jurnal Logic: Logistics & Supply Chain Center
Publisher : Widyatama University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33197/jlscc.v2i1.999

Abstract

Peramalan diperlukan untuk memperoleh informasi tentang perubahan di masa depan dimana informasi ini dapat mempengaruhi suatu aktivitas penjualan. Manfaat dari forecasting adalah untuk memprediksi masa depan sebuah bisnis dan dengan adanya forecasting dapat memenuhi kepuasan pelanggan. Pada penelitian ini, kami melakukan penelitian terhadap Usaha Mikro, Kecil dan Menengah (UMKM) di Cilok Kuah Ceu Oey kemudian melakukan forecasting penjualan Cilok Kuah dengan menggunakan metode Double Moving Average (DMA) dan metode Double Exponential Smoothing One Parameter (BROWN) serta membuat Master Production Schedule (MPS) untuk mengetahui berapa produk yang harus diproduksi. Dengan demikian, hasil forecasting menggunakan metode Double Exponential Smoothing One Parameter (BROWN) memiliki hasil error terkecil dan berdasarkan hasil MPS terdapat 160 pack Cilok Kuah Ceu Oey yang harus diproduksi setiap bulannya.
Desain Rute dan Optimasi Biaya Transportasi Pengisian Tabung Oksigen menggunakan Metode Complete Enumeration pada CV. Tasman Gases Az-Zahra, Vira Luthfiati; Dewy, Cyndy Kresna; Fikri, Muhammad Albi; Fauzi, Muchammad
JURMATIS (Jurnal Manajemen Teknologi dan Teknik Industri) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2023): January
Publisher : Universitas Kadiri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30737/jurmatis.v5i1.2207

Abstract

The increasing demand for filling oxygen cylinders makes CV. Tasman Gases has always been consistent in planning transportation cost optimization strategies. The filling of oxygen cylinders in one distribution can transport up to 45 tubes sent to the concerned partner. The purpose of this study is to determine the shortest route and optimal cost in distributing. The method used is Complete Enumeration. The samples used include distribution locations and mileage. The procedure used begins with determining the number of routes, estimated mileage and fuel costs. There is the most optimal route selected from the 12 modeled routes. The selected route has the least transportation costs. This research makes CV. Tasman Gases has the best route, A-D-C-E-F with a distance of 10.9 km worth Rp. 10,423.13.  This value is more effective than the existing A-E-C-D-F condition with a distance of 12.8 km obtaining fuel costs of Rp. 12,240.00. Thus, the distribution route and costs that have been optimal make CV. Tasman Gases can implement and identify future transportation constraints.