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Journal : Jurnal Mantik

Impact of Palestine-Israel conflict on multinational stock prices use neural network and support vector machine comparison Andriani, Wresti; Gunawan, Gunawan; Wahyuning Naja, Naella Nabila Putri
Jurnal Mantik Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): May: Manajemen, Teknologi Informatika dan Komunikasi (Mantik)
Publisher : Institute of Computer Science (IOCS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35335/mantik.v8i1.5196

Abstract

One form of prolonged geopolitical event is the conflict between Palestine and Israel, which has complex historical, political, and religious roots in the Middle East. This research aims to determine whether this conflict influences the share prices of the companies Unilever, McDonald's, and KFC. These three large companies are known as allies of one of the disputing countries. The method used by the Neural Network is compared with Support Vector Machine to find the best accuracy using RMSE and MAE. The greater the error value, the more affected the company is by this geopolitical factor. As a result, the accuracy of the SVM method is better than NN; the company most affected is KFC, with the RMSE value of 0.111, MAE of 0.020, followed by Unilever with RMSE 0.034, MAE 0.025 then McDonald's with RMSE 0.026 and MAE 0.116, is expected to help investors choose to invest in the company McDonald’s then Unilever.
Application of machine learning for short-term climate prediction in Indonesia Gunawan, Gunawan; Andriani, Wresti; Aimar Akbar, Aminnur
Jurnal Mantik Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): May: Manajemen, Teknologi Informatika dan Komunikasi (Mantik)
Publisher : Institute of Computer Science (IOCS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35335/mantik.v8i1.5215

Abstract

This study explores the Application of Machine Learning for Short-Term Climate Prediction in Indonesia, focusing on enhancing forecast accuracy through advanced computational models. The primary objective was to develop and validate Random Forest and Support Vector Machine (SVM) models to predict short-term climate conditions accurately across ten major Indonesian cities. Employing a quantitative approach, the study utilized experimental design, rigorous data analysis, and model validation using historical weather data from April 2024 provided by the Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG). The results indicate that both Random Forest and SVM significantly outperform traditional climate prediction models, with Random Forest achieving an average accuracy of 87.5% and SVM 85.2%. These findings underscore the potential of machine learning to revolutionize short-term climate predictions in regions with complex meteorological dynamics like Indonesia, offering substantial implications for disaster preparedness, agricultural planning, and urban management. Future research can expand upon these models by incorporating real-time data and exploring deep learning techniques to enhance predictive reliability further