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Predicting rainfall runoff in Southern Nigeria using a fused hybrid deep learning ensemble Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Eboka, Andrew Okonji; Emordi, Frances Uchechukwu
International Journal of Informatics and Communication Technology (IJ-ICT) Vol 13, No 1: April 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijict.v13i1.pp108-115

Abstract

Rainfall as an environmental feat can change fast and yield significant influence in downstream hydrology known as runoff with a variety of implications such as erosion, water quality, and infrastructures. These, in turn impact the quality of life, sewage systems, agriculture, and tourism of a nation to mention a few. It chaotic, complex, and dynamic nature has necessitated studies in the quest for future direction of such runoff via prediction models. With little successes in use of knowledge driven models, many studies have now turned to data-driven models. Dataset is retrieved from Metrological Center in Lagos, Nigeria for the period 1999-2019 for the Benin-Owena River Basin. Data is split: 70% for train and 30% for test. Our study adapts a spatial-temporal profile hidden Markov trained deep neural network. Result yields a sensitivity of 0.9, specificity 0.19, accuracy of 0.74, and improvement rate of classification of 0.12. Other ensembles underperformed when compared to proposed model. The study reveals annual rainfall is an effect of variation cycle. Models will help simulate future floods and provide lead time warnings in flood management.
FiMoDeAL: pilot study on shortest path heuristics in wireless sensor network for fire detection and alert ensemble Ifeanyi Akazue, Maureen; Efetobore Edje, Abel; Okpor, Margaret Dumebi; Adigwe, Wilfred; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Edim, Edim Bassey; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko
Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Vol 13, No 5: October 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/eei.v13i5.8084

Abstract

With the incessant outbreak of fire, the heavy loss to both lives and properties in the society fire has since become a critical issue and challenge that needs our daily attention to be resolved. Loss of lives and properties to fire outbreak in 2021 alone as occurring in major Nigerian markets and residential homes was estimated at over 3 trillion Naira. Our study proposes a wireless sensor network internet of things (IoT) based ensemble to aid the effective monitoring, detection and alerting of residents and fire service departments. With cost as a major issue and the requisite installation of fire and smoke detectors in many houses our ensemble can efficiently integrate into the existing system using the ESP8285-controller to create a comprehensive access control system. The system provides real time monitor and control capabilities that will allow administrators to track and manage fire monitor and detection within a facility. Thus, enhances system's efficiency and performance.
AQuamoAS: unmasking a wireless sensor-based ensemble for air quality monitor and alert system Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Adigwe, Wilfred; Odiakaose, Chukwufunaya Chris; Ashioba, Nwanze Chukwudi; Okpor, Margareth Dumebi; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Ojei, Emmanuel Obiajulu
Applied Engineering and Technology Vol 3, No 2 (2024): August 2024
Publisher : ASCEE

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31763/aet.v3i2.1409

Abstract

The increased awareness by residents of their environment to maintain safe health states has consequently, birthed the integration of info tech to help resolve societal issues. These, and its adopted approaches have become critical and imperative in virtualization to help bridge the lapses in human mundane tasks and endeavors. Its positive impacts on society cannot be underestimated. Study advances a low-cost wireless sensor-based ensemble to effectively manage air quality tasks. Thus, we integrate an IoT framework to effectively monitors environment changes via microcontrollers, sensors, and blynk to assist users to monitor temperature, humidity, detect the presence of harmful gases in/out door environs. The blynk provides vital knowledge to the user. Our AQuaMoAS algorithm makes for an accurate and user-friendly mode using cloud services to ease monitor and data visualization. The system was tested at 3 different stages of rainy, sunny and heat with pollutant via alpha est method. For all functions at varying conditions, result revealed 70.7% humidity, 29.5OC, and 206 ppm on a sunny day. 51.5% humidity, 20.4OC and 198ppm on a rainy, and 43.1 humidity, 45.6OC, 199ppm air quality on heat and 66.5% humidity, 30.2 OC and 363 ppm air quality on application of air pollutant were observed
Enhanced data augmentation for predicting consumer churn rate with monetization and retention strategies: a pilot study Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Adigwe, Wilfred; Odiakaose, Chukwufunaya Chris; Ashioba, Nwanze Chukwudi; Okpor, Margareth Dumebi; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Ojei, Emmanuel Obiajulu
Applied Engineering and Technology Vol 3, No 1 (2024): April 2024
Publisher : ASCEE

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31763/aet.v3i1.1408

Abstract

Customer retention and monetization have since been the pillar of many successful firms and businesses as keeping an old customer is far more economical than gaining a new one – which, in turn, reduce customer churn rate. Previous studies have focused on the use of single heuristics as well as provisioned no retention strategy. To curb this, our study posits the use of the recen-cy-frequency-monetization framework as strategy for customer retention and monetization impacts. With dataset retrieved from Kaggle, and partitioned into train and test dataset/folds to ease model construction and training. Study adopt a tree-based Random Forest ensemble with synthetic minority oversampling technique edited nearest neighbor (SMOTEEN). Various benchmark models were trained to asssess how well each performs against our proposed ensemble. The application was tested using an application programming interface Flask and integrated using streamlit into a device. Our RF-ensemble resulted in a 0.9902 accuracy prior to applying SMOTEENN; while, LR, KNN, Naïve Bayes and SVM yielded an accuracy of 0.9219, 0.9435, 0.9508 and 0.9008 respectively. With SMOTEENN applied, our ensemble had an accuracy of 0.9919; while LR, KNN, Naïve Bayes, and SVM yielded an accuracy of 0.9805, 0.921, 0.9125, and 0.8145 respectively. RF has shown it can be implemented with SMOTEENN to yield enhanced prediction for customer churn prediction using Python
Comparative Data Resample to Predict Subscription Services Attrition Using Tree-based Ensembles Okpor, Margaret Dumebi; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Akazue, Maureen Ifeanyi; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Emordi, Frances Uche; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Binitie, Amaka Patience; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami
Journal of Fuzzy Systems and Control Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): Vol. 2, No. 2, 2024
Publisher : Peneliti Teknologi Teknik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59247/jfsc.v2i2.213

Abstract

The digital market today, is rippled with a variety of goods/services that promote monetization and asset exchange with clients constantly seeking improved alternatives at lowered cost to meet their value demands. From item upgrades to their replacement, businesses are poised with retention strategies to help curb the challenge of customer attrition. Such strategies include the upgrade of goods and services at lesser cost and targeted improved value chains to meet client needs. These are found to improve client retention and better monetization. The study predicts customer churn via tree-based ensembles with data resampling such as the random-under-sample, synthetic minority oversample (SMOTE), and SMOTE-edited nearest neighbor (SMOTEEN). We chose three (3) tree-based ensembles namely: (a) decision tree, (b) random forest, and (c) extreme gradient boosting – to ensure we have single and ensemble classifier(s) to assess how well bagging and boosting modes perform on consumer churn prediction. With chi-square feature selection mode, the Decision tree model yields an accuracy of 0.9973, F1 of 0.9898, a precision of 0.9457, and a recall of 0.9698 respectively; while Random Forest yields an accuracy of 0.9973, F1 of 0.9898, precision 0.9457, and recall 0.9698 respectively. The XGBoost outperformed both Decision tree and Random Forest classifiers with an accuracy of 0.9984, F1 of 0.9945, Precision of 0.9616, and recall of 0.9890 respectively – which is attributed to its use of hyper-parameter tuning on its trees. We also note that SMOTEEN data balancing outperforms other data augment schemes with retention of a 30-day moratorium period for our adoption of the recency-frequency-monetization to improve monetization and keep business managers ahead of the consumer attrition curve.
Pilot Study on Enhanced Detection of Cues over Malicious Sites Using Data Balancing on the Random Forest Ensemble Okpor, Margaret Dumebi; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Akazue, Maureen Ifeanyi; Eboka, Andrew Okonji; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Binitie, Amaka Patience; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami
Journal of Future Artificial Intelligence and Technologies Vol. 1 No. 2 (2024): September 2024
Publisher : Future Techno Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62411/faith.2024-14

Abstract

The digital revolution frontiers have rippled across society today – with various web content shared online for users as they seek to promote monetization and asset exchange, with clients constantly seeking improved alternatives at lowered costs to meet their value demands. From item upgrades to their replacement, businesses are poised with retention strategies to help curb the challenge of customer attrition. The birth of smartphones has proliferated feats such as mobility, ease of accessibility, and portability – which, in turn, have continued to ease their rise in adoption, exposing user device vulnerability as they are quite susceptible to phishing. With users classified as more susceptible than others due to online presence and personality traits, studies have sought to reveal lures/cues as exploited by adversaries to enhance phishing success and classify web content as genuine and malicious. Our study explores the tree-based Random Forest to effectively identify phishing cues via sentiment analysis on phishing website datasets as scrapped from user accounts on social network sites. The dataset is scrapped via Python Google Scrapper and divided into train/test subsets to effectively classify contents as genuine or malicious with data balancing and feature selection techniques. With Random Forest as the machine learning of choice, the result shows the ensemble yields a prediction accuracy of 97 percent with an F1-score of 98.19% that effectively correctly classified 2089 instances with 85 incorrectly classified instances for the test-dataset.
Stacked Learning Anomaly Detection Scheme with Data Augmentation for Spatiotemporal Traffic Flow Binitie, Amaka Patience; Odiakaose , Christopher Chukwufunaya; Okpor, Margaret Dumebi; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Eboka, Andrew Okonji; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Setiadi, De Rosal Ignatius Moses; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Aghaunor, Tabitha Chukwudi; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko; Afotanwo, Anderson
Journal of Fuzzy Systems and Control Vol. 2 No. 3 (2024): Vol. 2, No. 3, 2024
Publisher : Peneliti Teknologi Teknik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59247/jfsc.v2i3.267

Abstract

The digital revolution births transformation in many facets of today’s society. Its adoption in transportation to curb traffic congestion in major cities globally advances smart-city initiatives. Challenges of population growth, lack of datasets, and aging infrastructure have necessitated the need for traffic analytics. Studies have estimated an associated global annual loss of $583 billion to traffic congestion for 2023. This, caused fuel wastage, loss of time, and increased costs across congested areas. With the cost of building more road networks, cities must advance new ways to improve traffic flow via anomaly detection as an early warning in the flow pattern. Our study posits stacked learning with extreme gradient boost as a meta-learner to help address imbalanced datasets, yield faster model construction, and ensure improved performance via enhanced anomalous data detection.
Pilot study on deploying a wireless sensor-based virtual-key access and lock system for home and industrial frontiers Eboka, Andrew Okonji; Aghware, Fidelis Obukohwo; Okpor, Margaret Dumebi; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukufunaya; Okpako, Ejaita Abugor; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Ako, Rita Erhovwo; Binitie, Amaka Patience; Onyemenem, Innocent Sunny; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Geteloma, Victor Ochuko
International Journal of Informatics and Communication Technology (IJ-ICT) Vol 14, No 1: April 2025
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijict.v14i1.pp287-297

Abstract

The rise in data processing activities vis-à-vis the consequent rise in adoption and adaptation of information and communication tech related approaches to resolve societal challenges has become both critical and imperative. Virtualization have become the order of the day to bridge various lapses of human mundane tasks and endeavors. Its positive impacts on society cannot be underestimated. This study advances a virtual wireless sensor-based key-card access system with cost-effective solution to manage access to restricted areas within a facility. We seek to integrate virtual key card access, web-access control, solenoid lock integration, and ESP32- controller to create a dependable internet of things (IoT)-enabled access control system. Results show system benefit includes improved security, improved convenience, privacy, efficiency with real-time control capabilities that will allows building administrators to track and manage access to the facility remotely.
Anomaly-based Detection of Denial of Service via Deep Learning Memetic Trained Modular Network Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Adjogbe, Fidelis Oghenevweta; Nwanze, David; Binitie, Amaka Patience
Journal of Fuzzy Systems and Control Vol. 3 No. 1 (2025): Vol. 3, No. 1, 2025
Publisher : Peneliti Teknologi Teknik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59247/jfsc.v3i1.274

Abstract

Internet’s popularity for dissemination of data – has birthed the proliferation of attacks that exploit networks for personal gain. Attackers via social-engineering attacks, gain unauthorized access to a compromised device via subterfuge mode and deny users of network resources. Denial of service (DoS) attack is carefully crafted to exploit high levels of network infrastructures. Our study presents a deep learning scheme to effectively classify between genuine and malicious packets. With benchmark XGBoost, Random Forest, and Decision Tree – our resultant model yields an accuracy 0.9984 and F1 0.9945 to outperform the benchmark XGBoost, RF and DT (with F1 of 0.9925, 0.9881 and 0.9805 – and Accuracy of 0.9981, 0.9964 and 0.9815) respectively. Proposed model correctly classified 13,418 cases with a 0.9984 accuracy and has only 283 cases incorrectly classified. Proposed memetic ensemble effectively differentiates malicious from genuine packets using anomaly-based detection.
Phishing Website Detection via a Transfer Learning based XGBoost Meta-learner with SMOTE-Tomek Agboi, Joy; Emordi, Frances Uche; Odiakaose, Christopher Chukwufunaya; Idama, Rebecca Okeoghene; Jumbo, Evans Fubara; Oweimieotu, Amanda Enaodona; Ezzeh, Peace Oguguo; Eboka, Andrew Okonji; Odoh, Anne; Ugbotu, Eferhire Valentine; Onoma, Paul Avwerosuoghene; Ojugo, Arnold Adimabua; Aghaunor, Tabitha Chukwudi; Binitie, Amaka Patience; Onochie, Christopher Chukwudi; Ejeh, Patrick Ogholuwarami; Nwozor, Blessing Uche
Journal of Fuzzy Systems and Control Vol. 3 No. 3 (2025): Vol. 3 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : Peneliti Teknologi Teknik Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59247/jfsc.v3i3.325

Abstract

The widespread proliferation of smartphones has advanced portability, data access ease, mobility, and other merits; it has also birthed adversarial targeting of network resources that seek to compromise unsuspecting user devices. Increased susceptibility was traced to user's personality, which renders them repeatedly vulnerable to exploits. Our study posits a stacked learning model to classify malicious lures used by adversaries on phishing websites. Our hybrid fuses 3-base learners (i.e. Genetic Algorithm, Random Forest, Modular Net) with its output sent as input to the XGBoost. The imbalanced dataset was resolved via SMOTE-Tomek with predictors selected using a relief rank feature selection. Our hybrid yields F1 0.995, Accuracy 1.000, Recall 0.998, Precision 1.000, MCC 1.000, and Specificity 1.000 – to accurately classify all 3,316 cases of its held-out test dataset. Results affirm that it outperformed benchmark ensembles. The study shows that our proposed model, as explored on the UCI Phishing Website dataset, effectively classified phishing (cues and lures) contents on websites.