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All Journal AT-TASYRI' Jurnal Ilmiah Prodi Muamalah JIHBIZ :Global Journal of Islamic Banking and Finance. Jurnal Simki Economic Banco: Jurnal Manajemen dan Perbankan Syariah Jurnal Ilmiah Basis Ekonomi dan Bisnis JURNAL ILMIAH GEMA PERENCANA Majapahit Journal of Islamic Finance dan Management Majapahit Journal of Islamic Finance dan Management Iqtishadia: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah
Meutia, Rachmi
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Religion Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

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Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Moneter terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Meutia, Rachmi; Adnan, Muhammad; Kaslita, Lilis
Jurnal Simki Economic Vol 9 No 1 (2026): Volume 9 Nomor 1 Tahun 2026
Publisher : Universitas Nusantara PGRI Kediri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29407/jse.v9i1.1493

Abstract

Economic growth serves as a vital benchmark for national development and is the foundation of the sustainable development process. This study examines the effects of inflation, the money supply (M1), and the exchange rate on Indonesia's economic growth. Using a quantitative approach, this study analyzes secondary quarterly time series data from 2015–2023 sourced from Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and Bank Indonesia (BI). The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is applied to analyze the short- and long-term dynamics between these variables. The results show that in the long run, inflation does not significantly influence economic growth in Indonesia, while the money supply and the exchange rate have a significant influence on economic growth. Conversely, short-term estimation results indicate that the three independent variables of inflation, the money supply (JUB), and the exchange rate do not significantly influence fluctuations in national economic growth. As a policy implication, monetary authorities and the government need to maintain inflation stability and manage JUB liquidity and the exchange rate wisely to create a macroeconomic climate conducive to stable economic growth.
Co-Authors A. Rahmad Adi Afriani, Susi Billa, Salsa Dinillah, T Hafizhly Inayatillah Inayatillah indah Julita , Julita Kamri, Nor ‘Azzah Kaslita, Lilis Khairul Amri Marwiyati Muhammad Adnan Muhammad Arifin Muhammad Zulhilmi Nilam Sari Safira, Nabila Salsabila Salsabila, Cut Sarah Athiyah Winny Dian Safitri Yusof, Ku Abdulmuhaimin Zakiiya, Ghulaman