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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Jurnal Matematika Sains dan Teknologi Komputasi: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Komputer dan Matematika JURNAL METEOROLOGI DAN GEOFISIKA Xplore: Journal of Statistics Jurnal Meteorologi dan Geofisika Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications

Rahardiantoro, Septian

2Department Of Statistics, Faculty Of Mathematics And Natural Science, IPB University, West Java, 16680, Indonesia

Author-ID : 773813

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Energy Engineering Mathematics Physics Other

Published : 25 Documents Claim Missing Document

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Articles

Title

Pemodelan Support Vector Machine Data Tidak Seimbang Keberhasilan Studi Mahasiswa Magister IPB Octavia Dwi Amelia; Agus M Soleh; Septian Rahardiantoro
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2018): 30 Juni 2018
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Bogor Agricultural University Postgraduate School (SPs-IPB) can maintain its reputation by applying a more selective admissions system. This research predicts the success of student using Support Vector Machine (SVM) modeling by considering the characteristics and educational background of the students. But there is an imbalance of data class. SVM modeling on unbalanced data produces poor performance with a sensitivity value of 0.00%. Unbalanced data handling using Sythetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) succeeded in improving SVM classification performance in classifying unsuccessful students. Based on accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity with the default cut off, the exact type of SVM to model student success is SVM RBF. When using the optimum cut-off value from each type of SVM, the sensitivity value can be improved again. SVM RBF still gives the best result when using cut off 0.6. The final model that will be used to predict the success of the SPs-IPB student is obtained from SVM RBF modeling with cut off 0.6 using the entire data that has been through the SMOTE stage.

Pemodelan Regresi Spasial Kekar: Studi Kasus Jumlah Kunjungan WIsatawan Mancanegara Asal Eurasia di Indonesia Tahun 2015 Resti Cahyati; Anik Djuraidah; Septian Rahardiantoro
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 2 No. 1 (2018): 30 Juni 2018
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Spatial regression model is a model used to evaluate the relationship between one variable with some other variables considering the spatial effects in each region. One of the causes of imprecise spatial regression model in predicting is the presence of outlier or extreme value. The existence of outlier or extreme value could damage spatial regression parameter estimator. However, discarding the outlier or extreme value in spatial analysis, could change the composition of the spatial effect on the data. Visitor arrivals from Eurasia to Indonesia by nationality in 2015 great diversity caused by the outlier. So in this paper, we need a spatial regression parameter estimation method which is robust where the value of the estimation is not much affected by small changes in the data. The application of the S prediction principle is carried out in the estimation of the coefficient of spatial regression parameters which is robust to the observation of silane. The result of modeling by applying the principle of the S estimator method on the estimation of the stocky spatial regression parameter is able to accommodate the existence of pencilan observation on the spatial regression model quite effectively. This is indicated by a considerable change in the coefficient coefficient estimator parameters of spatial regression is able to decrease the value of MAPE and MAD produced by spatial regression regression modeling.

Two Step Method for Clustering Mixed Data untuk Menggerombolkan Toko Mainan Anak Digital Muhammad Shalih; Cici Suhaeni; Septian Rahardiantoro
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 7 No. 3 (2018): 31 Desember 2018
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v7i3.131

The development of digital trading system today, triggering the proliferation of shops that sell various needs in various marketplace. This is supported by the large number of internet users in Indonesia that facilitate the store with commercial-based digital to reach market share. One of the growing categories in a marketplace is the stores that sell toys. However, not all toy stores have a good reputation. Clustering based on store reputation indicators can be done to find out how the condition of toy stores in a marketplace. The store reputation indicators used are categorical and numerical scale variables. This study uses A Two-Step Method for Mixed Categorical and Numerical Data (TMCM), which is a clustering method that can cluster mixed numerical and categorical data that using a co-occurence concept. The result of this clustering found that the optimal number of cluster is five cluster based on the maximum value of Pseudo-F and the minimum value of ratio (R ).

Penerapan Metode VAR-X untuk Pemodelan Data Deret Waktu dengan Calendar effects Ade Gusalinda; I Made Sumertajaya; Septian Rahardiantoro
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 8 No. 1 (2019): 30 April 2019
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v8i1.147

One of the commodities that has quite varied price fluctuations is broiler and carcass chicken. The context of forecasting is quite important considering the policies that can be taken by the producer and even the strategies that can be taken by consumers. This study attempts to modeling broiler and carcass prices together with Vector Autoregressive (VAR) which is one method in time series analysis that utilizes more than one time series variable. In addition, the effect of calendar calendar events is also the topic of discussion in this study which is implemented by the VAR-X method. As a result, the calendar effects variables that affect broiler and carcass prices are February, the first week of Ramadan and Eid-ul-Fitr. Furthermore, forecasting with VAR-X produces a pretty good value than VAR with lower MAPE criteria.

Penerapan Metode DBSCAN dalam Memperbaiki Kinerja K-Means untuk Penggerombolan Data Tweet Astri Fatimah; Anang Kurnia; Septian Rahardiantoro; Yani Nurhadryani
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 8 No. 1 (2019): 30 April 2019
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/xplore.v8i1.159

Text Mining is collecting text data mining results from a computer to get information contained therein. Text data has a form of data that is not structured and difficult to analyze. The unstructured data can be used as structured data through pre-processing stages. Text data is represented as numerical data after going through the pre-processing stages using vector space model method and weighting method of inverse frequency document frequency so that it can be used for analysis. The K-Means cluster analysis is one method that can be used for unstructured data, but the K-Means method is not robust to noise. Outliers can be detected using Density Based Spatial Clustering of Application with Noise (DBSCAN) cluster analysis. Outliers obtained from DBSCAN results can be omitted in the data. Cluster analysis was carried out again after removal of outliers using the K-Means method with the same number of k clusters. Evaluation of the cluster that is used to see the goodness of the cluster results is Silhouette Coefficient (SC). The SC value of the K-Means method after removal of outliers has a significant increase of 0.21 for a small amount of data. Adding the amount of text data to cluster analysis also affects the number of clusters. This is influenced by the number of katas in a document that is given weight. The fewer katas that are given weight, the more number of clusters will be generated

Penggerombolan Data Panel Perusahaan Sektor Barang Konsumsi Radinda Putri Maha Dewi; Pika Silvianti; Septian Rahardiantoro
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 9 No. 1 (2020)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

The identification of the cluster of consumer goods sector companies is enough important study to examine the characteristics of the company based on its marketing management factors. This study seeks to cluster 23 consumer goods sector companies based on 4 marketing management factors, which are production costs, promotion costs, distribution costs, and sales value in 2012-2016. There are two parts of clustering that are carried out, the clustering of consumer goods sector companies based on the time series pattern for each marketing management factor with the ward method, and clustering of consumer goods sector companies using multivariate panel data using the k-means method. The results of the clustering for each marketing management factor using the ward method produced 2 groups in each factor, with cluster 2 having an average of each factor greater than group 1. The companies found in cluster 2 were PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur, PT Indofood Sukses Makmur, PT Mayora Indah, PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk, PT Handjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, International Investama Tbk, PT Kalbe Farma Tbk, and PT Tempo Scan Pacific Tbk. On the other hand, clustering of multivariate panel data produced 6 groups where group 5Â is the cluster with the highest average on each factor. Group 5 consists of PT Indofood Sukses Makmur and PT Handjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk. The company with the highest value in multivariate panel data is also found in the results of the cluster with the highest value for each marketing management factor.

Metode Alternatif dalam Pencarian Peringkat E-Commerce di Indonesia Berdasarkan Rating Pelanggan Azira Irawan; Aam Alamudi; Septian Rahardiantoro
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 10 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

The existence of the internet raises an online trading system using applications. The rise of online trading systems has triggered the emergence of various e-commerce in Indonesia that provide various kinds of customer needs. This also causes problems for customers, namely the difficulty in choosing quality e-commerce. The effort to overcome this problem is to rank e-commerce in Indonesia based on customer ratings. The method commonly used for ranking is the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method, but in practice there are several variables that are not found in e-commerce so the AHP method cannot be used. The alternative method chosen is the ant colony optimization (ACO) method. The feasibility test of the ACO method in searching rankings for e-commerce data needs to be done because not all variables are in e-commerce. Simulations for ranking search are carried out using 2 generated data scenario with analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and ant colony optimization (ACO) method. The simulation results show that the ACO method is feasible to be used for ranking with blank data, then the application of the ACO method for e-commerce data in Indonesia. The best taboo results are based on the highest opportunity value and the highest correlation coefficient, namely in the second taboo, with three major ratings, namely JD, SP, and TP

Penggerombolan Kabupaten/Kota di Indonesia Berdasarkan Indikator Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Menggunakan Metode K-Means dan Fuzzy C-Means . Hanniva; Anang Kurnia; Septian Rahardiantoro; Ahmad Ansori Mattjik
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 11 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

The achievement of the human development index in Indonesia differs between regions with striking gaps occurring in the western and eastern parts of Indonesia. This difference in achievement can be seen more clearly by grouping regencies/municipalities in Indonesia based on the four indicators of the human development index. With this aim, this study uses the k-means and fuzzy c-means methods to determine the optimal cluster size with two distance approaches, namely the Euclidean and Manhattan distances on the human development index indicators data in 2020. In addition, this study also seeks to identify the distribution of regencies/municipalities based on the characteristics of the human development index indicators in the clustering result. The result is that the best distance measure is Euclidean distance with optimal cluster size is four for k-means and six for fuzzy c-means. In addition, the clustering results obtained by the k-means method are more optimal than the fuzzy c-means because the evaluation value is better. In general, the four clusters formed were in accordance with the grouping carried out by BPS with the percentage of conformity reaching 66,54%. In summary, most regencies/municipalities on the Island of Sumatera, Java, Borneo and Sulawesi have higher life expectancy and percapita expenditure than many regencies/municipalities in the Nusa Tenggara Islands (besides Bali), Moluccas and Papua. Very high achievement for each HDI indicators is dominated by the capital city of each province with unfavorable conditions occurring in most regencies/municipalities in Papua Province.

Identifikasi Peubah yang Berpengaruh terhadap Ketidaklulusan Mahasiswa Program Sarjana BUD IPB dengan Regresi Logistik Biner Mahdiyah Riaesnianda; Aam Alamudi; Agus Soleh; Septian Rahardiantoro
Xplore: Journal of Statistics Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023): Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Department of Statistics, IPB

One of the entrances available at the Bogor Agricultural University (IPB) is the Regional Representatives Scholarship (BUD). Not all BUD IPB students were able to complete their studies because they dropped out (DO) or resigned. One of the efforts that IPB can do to reduce the dropout rate for BUD IPB students is to find out the variables that affect the failure of BUD IPB students. The variables that influence the failure of BUD IPB students are analyzed by binary logistic regression. There is an imbalance of data classes in the response variables so that the method that can be used to overcome this is the Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE). The classification model with SMOTE resulted in a higher average sensitivity than the model without SMOTE from 10,66% to 61,91%. This confirms that the model with SMOTE is better at predicting the minority class (BUD IPB students who do not pass). The variables that affect the failure of BUD IPB students are gender, school status of origin, study program groups, the presence or absence of Pre-University Programs (PPU), type of sponsor, average report cards, and GPA in the Joint Preparation Stage (TPB) or General Competency Education Program (PPKU).

Co-Authors . Hanniva Aam Alamudi Ade Gusalinda Agus M Soleh Agus Mohamad Soleh Agus Soleh Ahmad Ansori Mattjik Anang Kurnia Anik Djuraidah Astri Fatimah Azira Irawan Azizah Desiwari Bagus Sartono Cici Suhaeni Dito, Gerry Alfa Eria, Raisa Nida I Made Sumertajaya Itasia Dina Sulvianti Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Lutfiah Adisti, Tiara Mahdiyah Riaesnianda Marshelle, Sean Mohammad Masjkur Muhammad Shalih Mutaqin, Ahdan Darul Octavia Dwi Amelia Pika Silvianti Pika Silvianti Radinda Putri Maha Dewi Ramadhani, Faadiyah Resti Cahyati Rizki, Akbar Stephan Chen Totong Martono Yani Nurhadryani Yanti, Yusma Yanti, Yusma Yusma Yanti

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