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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Rekayasa dan Manajemen Sistem Informasi Jurnal Informatika Jurnal CoreIT Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi Komunikasi dan Industri Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Jurnal Sains dan Informatika Jurnal Informatika Universitas Pamulang Jurnal Teknologi Sistem Informasi dan Aplikasi Jurnal Nasional Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi Krea-TIF: Jurnal Teknik Informatika JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer) Informatika : Jurnal Informatika, Manajemen dan Komputer JIPI (Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Pembelajaran Informatika) Jutisi: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi Progresif: Jurnal Ilmiah Komputer Jurnal Tekinkom (Teknik Informasi dan Komputer) JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH) Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Jurnal Sistem Komputer dan Informatika (JSON) TIN: TERAPAN INFORMATIKA NUSANTARA Bulletin of Computer Science Research KLIK: Kajian Ilmiah Informatika dan Komputer Bulletin of Information Technology (BIT) Jurnal Informatika Teknologi dan Sains (Jinteks) Malcom: Indonesian Journal of Machine Learning and Computer Science Bulletin of Informatics and Data Science
Gusti, Siska Kurnia
Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau
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Journal : JOURNAL OF INFORMATION SYSTEM RESEARCH (JOSH)

 1 
Implementasi Triple Exponential Smoothing dan Double Moving Average Untuk Peramalan Produksi Kernel Kelapa Sawit Risfi Ayu Sandika; Siska Kurnia Gusti; Lestari Handayani; Siti Ramadhani
Journal of Information System Research (JOSH) Vol 4 No 3 (2023): April 2023
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josh.v4i3.3359

Abstract

The production of palm kernel is a significant product for the company and plays a crucial role. Nevertheless, the stability of kernel production is not always consistent, and the quality of the kernel can be detrimental to the company. As consumer demands change over time, companies must anticipate every fluctuation in palm kernel production. Hence it is vital to figure the long run with a settlement prepare utilizing information mining utilizing information within the past. The Triple Exponential Smoothing and Double Moving Average methods, which are data mining methods for future forecasting, were used in this study. The aim of this research is to predict the yield of future oil palm kernel production using the Triple Exponential Smoothing and Double Moving Average methods and to determine the level of forecasting errors using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) method. The data for the last ten years, from January 2013 to December 2022, were used in this study. After testing the Triple Exponential Smoothing method with parameters α=0.2,β=0.γ=0.2, the error rate using MAPE was 9.48%, and the Double Moving Average method had an error rate of 11.2%. The MAPE results of the Triple Exponential Smoothing method are considered very good, while the MAPE results of the Double Moving Average method are categorized as good based on the range of MAPE values. This research is expected to provide information to related companies as a supporting reference in anticipating palm oil kernel production. The conclusion of the research is that the Triple Exponential Smoothing method with the test parameters is the best method for forecasting.
Co-Authors Abdul Wahid Abdullah Abdullah Abdullah, Said Noor Abdussalam Al Masykur Adi Mustofa Al Rasyid, Nabila Alfaiza, Raihan Zia Alfin Hernandes Alwaliyanto Alwis Nazir Alwis Nazir Alwis Nazir Amelia, Felina Anggi Vasella Azhima, Mohd Baehaqi Beni Basuki Cut Lira Kabaatun Nisa Destri Putri Yani Devi Julisca Sari Dina Septiawati Dinyah Fithara efni humairah Eka Pandu Cynthia Eka Pandu Cynthia Elin Haerani Elin Haerani Elin Haerani Elin Haerani Elvia Budianita Erni Rouza, Erni Fadhilah Syafria Faska, Ridho Mahardika Febi Yanto Fitri Insani Fitri Insani Fitri Wulandari Fitri, Anisa Gusti, Gogor Putra Hafi Puja Hamwar, Syahbudin Hanif, Wan Muhammad Iis Afrianty Iis Afrianty Iqbal Salim Thalib Irsyad (Scopus ID: 57204261647), Muhammad Iwan Iskandar Jasril Jasril Jasril Jasril Khair, Nada Tsawaabul Kurniansyah, Juliandi Lestari Handayani M Wandi Dwi Wirawan Maemonah, Maemonah Morina Lisa Pura Muhammad Affandes Muhammad Fauzan Muhammad Fikry Muhammad Hafiz Muhammad Irsyad Muhammad Khairy Dzaky Muhammad Rifaldo Al Magribi Nazir, Alwis Norhiza, Fitra Lestari Novriyanto Novriyanto Nurul Ikhsan Okfalisa Okfalisa Pizaini Pizaini Prima Yohana Rahmah Miya Juwita Raja Indra Ramoza Ramadhani, Astrid Risfi Ayu Sandika Robbi Nanda Robby Azhar Sardi, Hajra Satria Bumartaduri Sayyid Muhammad Habib Siti Ramadhani Siti Ramadhani Siti Ramadhani Surya Agustian Suwanto Sanjaya Syafira, Fadhilah Syafria, Fadhillah Syaputra, Muhammad Dwiky Umam, Isnaini Hadiyul Vitriani, Yelfi Vusuvangat, Imam Wulandari, Fitri Yayuk Wulandari Yelfi Yelfi Yola, Melfa Yusra Yusra, - Yusra, Yusra