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Structural Decomposition of the Impact of World Oil Price Shock Economic Growtth In Indonesia Aziz, Fahmi
Journal of International Conference Proceedings Vol 7, No 4 (2024): 2024 Wimaya Yogyakarta Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v7i4.3648

Abstract

The aim of this research is to determine the response of economic growth in Indonesia to shocks or variable shocks in world oil prices, gold prices, inflation, exchange rates and interest rates. This research uses time series data for 12 years (2010-2021) using the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) method. The results show that based on the results of the Impulse Response Function (IRF) test, world oil price shocks responded positively to economic growth in the 2nd period, 5-6th period and 9-10th period, while the response was negative in the 3rd-4th period and the 2nd period. 7th-8th. Gold price shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3-4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in periods 2, 5-6 and 9-10. Inflation shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 2, 4-5 and 8-9, while negative responses in periods 3, 6-7 and 10. Exchange rate shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3- 4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in the 2, 5-6 and 9-10 periods. Interest rate shocks responded positively to economic growth in periods 2, 5-6 and 9, while negative responses in periods 3-4, 7-8 and 10. Based on the results of the Variance Decomposition test, oil prices contributed 4,886%, gold contributed 5,545%, inflation contributed 0.306%, interest rates contributed 1,197%, and the exchange rate was the variable that contributed the most, namely 6,396%.The aim of this research is to determine the response of economic growth in Indonesia to shocks or variable shocks in world oil prices, gold prices, inflation, exchange rates and interest rates. This research uses time series data for 12 years (2010-2021) using the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) method. The results show that based on the results of the Impulse Response Function (IRF) test, world oil price shocks responded positively to economic growth in the 2nd period, 5-6th period and 9-10th period, while the response was negative in the 3rd-4th period and the 2nd period. 7th-8th. Gold price shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3-4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in periods 2, 5-6 and 9-10. Inflation shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 2, 4-5 and 8-9, while negative responses in periods 3, 6-7 and 10. Exchange rate shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3- 4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in the 2, 5-6 and 9-10 periods. Interest rate shocks responded positively to economic growth in periods 2, 5-6 and 9, while negative responses in periods 3-4, 7-8 and 10. Based on the results of the Variance Decomposition test, oil prices contributed 4,886%, gold contributed 5,545%, inflation contributed 0.306%, interest rates contributed 1,197%, and the exchange rate was the variable that contributed the most, namely 6,396%.
MCDA Spatial Approach for Flood Disaster Vulnerability Assessment in Tulang Bawang Regency Yanto, Nana Putri; Sahid, Sahid; Aziz, Fahmi; Mustofa, Asep Nurul Ajiid; Prizkanisa, Siti
Media Komunikasi Geografi Vol. 26 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Ganesha

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23887/mkg.v26i1.83950

Abstract

Indonesia's location in a region prone to a variety of natural and societal disasters highlights the critical need of comprehending society's susceptibility to such events. Tulang Bawang Regency, located in Lampung Province, is vulnerable to various risks, particularly those associated with flood catastrophes. This research aims to assess the community's susceptibility in Tulang Bawang Regency to several types of catastrophes, focusing on social, economic, physical, and environmental factors. The research approach utilized combines the four primary aspects of vulnerability - social, physical, economic, and environmental - through the MCDA spatial method. The study on vulnerability to flood disasters in Tulang Bawang Regency shows that the most affected vulnerable population is in Dente Teladas District, particularly individuals of vulnerable age, residents in poverty, and people with disabilities. The assessment indicates that the Rawa Jitu District region has the highest levels of economic vulnerability, particularly in relation to poverty. The projected material losses from flooding are 23,125.11 million rupiah for physical damage and 50,356.32 million rupiah for economic losses. In addition, there is a possibility of substantial environmental harm in Tulang Bawang Regency, estimated at 35,508.18 hectares.
ANALISIS MINAT MAHASISWA TERHADAP PENGGUNAAN E WALLET SEBAGAI ALAT TRANSAKSI Khoirunnisa, Afifah; Gumilar, Asya Nurbayani; Aziz, Fahmi; Aulia, Ghina Zahrah; Nuryanti , Juju; Wardiyah, Mia Lasmi
Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi Vol. 2 No. 6 (2024): Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi
Publisher : Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui minat mahasiswa terhadap e-wallet sebagai alat bertransaksi. Karena fungsionalitas dan kemudahan penggunaannya, dompet elektronik, juga dikenal sebagai dompet elektronik, telah mendapatkan popularitas sebagai pengganti transaksi keuangan biasa. Memanfaatkan metodologi kuantitatif, penelitian ini mengumpulkan data dari mahasiswa di beberapa universitas di Indonesia melalui kuesioner. Temuan penelitian ini menunjukkan betapa pentingnya mempertimbangkan fitur-fitur seperti periklanan, keamanan, kegunaan, dan bantuan teknologi ketika menentukan minat siswa terhadap dompet elektronik. Selain itu, pendapat mengenai efektivitas penggunaan waktu dan uang menjadi faktor yang signifikan. Hasil ini diyakini akan membantu penyedia layanan e-wallet menciptakan produk lebih baik yang berfokus pada pelajar dan meningkatkan taktik pemasaran mereka.