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All Journal Media Komunikasi Geografi Jurnal Geografi Journal of International Conference Proceedings Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi Mustard Journal De Ecobusin
Aziz, Fahmi
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Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Social Sciences Other

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Structural Decomposition of the Impact of World Oil Price Shock Economic Growtth In Indonesia Aziz, Fahmi
Journal of International Conference Proceedings Vol 7, No 4 (2024): 2024 Wimaya Yogyakarta Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v7i4.3648

Abstract

The aim of this research is to determine the response of economic growth in Indonesia to shocks or variable shocks in world oil prices, gold prices, inflation, exchange rates and interest rates. This research uses time series data for 12 years (2010-2021) using the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) method. The results show that based on the results of the Impulse Response Function (IRF) test, world oil price shocks responded positively to economic growth in the 2nd period, 5-6th period and 9-10th period, while the response was negative in the 3rd-4th period and the 2nd period. 7th-8th. Gold price shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3-4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in periods 2, 5-6 and 9-10. Inflation shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 2, 4-5 and 8-9, while negative responses in periods 3, 6-7 and 10. Exchange rate shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3- 4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in the 2, 5-6 and 9-10 periods. Interest rate shocks responded positively to economic growth in periods 2, 5-6 and 9, while negative responses in periods 3-4, 7-8 and 10. Based on the results of the Variance Decomposition test, oil prices contributed 4,886%, gold contributed 5,545%, inflation contributed 0.306%, interest rates contributed 1,197%, and the exchange rate was the variable that contributed the most, namely 6,396%.The aim of this research is to determine the response of economic growth in Indonesia to shocks or variable shocks in world oil prices, gold prices, inflation, exchange rates and interest rates. This research uses time series data for 12 years (2010-2021) using the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) method. The results show that based on the results of the Impulse Response Function (IRF) test, world oil price shocks responded positively to economic growth in the 2nd period, 5-6th period and 9-10th period, while the response was negative in the 3rd-4th period and the 2nd period. 7th-8th. Gold price shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3-4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in periods 2, 5-6 and 9-10. Inflation shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 2, 4-5 and 8-9, while negative responses in periods 3, 6-7 and 10. Exchange rate shocks were responded positively by economic growth in periods 3- 4 and 7-8, while the response was negative in the 2, 5-6 and 9-10 periods. Interest rate shocks responded positively to economic growth in periods 2, 5-6 and 9, while negative responses in periods 3-4, 7-8 and 10. Based on the results of the Variance Decomposition test, oil prices contributed 4,886%, gold contributed 5,545%, inflation contributed 0.306%, interest rates contributed 1,197%, and the exchange rate was the variable that contributed the most, namely 6,396%.
MCDA Spatial Approach for Flood Disaster Vulnerability Assessment in Tulang Bawang Regency Yanto, Nana Putri; Sahid, Sahid; Aziz, Fahmi; Mustofa, Asep Nurul Ajiid; Prizkanisa, Siti
Media Komunikasi Geografi Vol. 26 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Ganesha

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23887/mkg.v26i1.83950

Abstract

Indonesia's location in a region prone to a variety of natural and societal disasters highlights the critical need of comprehending society's susceptibility to such events. Tulang Bawang Regency, located in Lampung Province, is vulnerable to various risks, particularly those associated with flood catastrophes. This research aims to assess the community's susceptibility in Tulang Bawang Regency to several types of catastrophes, focusing on social, economic, physical, and environmental factors. The research approach utilized combines the four primary aspects of vulnerability - social, physical, economic, and environmental - through the MCDA spatial method. The study on vulnerability to flood disasters in Tulang Bawang Regency shows that the most affected vulnerable population is in Dente Teladas District, particularly individuals of vulnerable age, residents in poverty, and people with disabilities. The assessment indicates that the Rawa Jitu District region has the highest levels of economic vulnerability, particularly in relation to poverty. The projected material losses from flooding are 23,125.11 million rupiah for physical damage and 50,356.32 million rupiah for economic losses. In addition, there is a possibility of substantial environmental harm in Tulang Bawang Regency, estimated at 35,508.18 hectares.
ANALISIS MINAT MAHASISWA TERHADAP PENGGUNAAN E WALLET SEBAGAI ALAT TRANSAKSI Khoirunnisa, Afifah; Gumilar, Asya Nurbayani; Aziz, Fahmi; Aulia, Ghina Zahrah; Nuryanti , Juju; Wardiyah, Mia Lasmi
Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi Vol. 2 No. 6 (2024): Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi
Publisher : Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi

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Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui minat mahasiswa terhadap e-wallet sebagai alat bertransaksi. Karena fungsionalitas dan kemudahan penggunaannya, dompet elektronik, juga dikenal sebagai dompet elektronik, telah mendapatkan popularitas sebagai pengganti transaksi keuangan biasa. Memanfaatkan metodologi kuantitatif, penelitian ini mengumpulkan data dari mahasiswa di beberapa universitas di Indonesia melalui kuesioner. Temuan penelitian ini menunjukkan betapa pentingnya mempertimbangkan fitur-fitur seperti periklanan, keamanan, kegunaan, dan bantuan teknologi ketika menentukan minat siswa terhadap dompet elektronik. Selain itu, pendapat mengenai efektivitas penggunaan waktu dan uang menjadi faktor yang signifikan. Hasil ini diyakini akan membantu penyedia layanan e-wallet menciptakan produk lebih baik yang berfokus pada pelajar dan meningkatkan taktik pemasaran mereka.
Analysis of Regional Government Financial Performance Based on Value for Money: JEL Classification: H72; H83; H61; M41; O18 Nabawi, Kinan; Aziz, Fahmi; Alif, Muhammad Nizar; Sella, Nur Maia
Mustard Journal De Ecobusin Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): Mustard Journal De Ecobusin (MJDE)
Publisher : Generasi Sains Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37899/mjde.v3i1.335

Abstract

This study examines regional government financial performance through the application of the value for money framework, which emphasizes the dimensions of economy, efficiency, and effectiveness in public sector financial management. Using a quantitative descriptive–analytical design, the study relies on secondary data obtained from audited regional government financial statements, budget realization reports, and official performance documents. The analysis focuses on regional governments operating within a decentralized fiscal system, enabling an evaluation of how public funds are planned, allocated, and utilized to achieve policy objectives. The findings indicate that regional governments generally demonstrate strong economy performance, as reflected in realized expenditures that are largely below or close to approved budget allocations, suggesting effective cost control and fiscal discipline. However, efficiency and effectiveness results vary considerably across regions and fiscal periods, revealing that prudent spending alone does not guarantee optimal resource utilization or successful achievement of targeted outcomes. Several regions with high budget absorption levels exhibit moderate or low efficiency and effectiveness, indicating gaps between financial inputs, outputs, and outcomes. These results confirm that financial performance in the public sector is multidimensional and cannot be adequately assessed using budget realization indicators alone. The study concludes that the value for money framework provides a comprehensive and practical tool for evaluating regional government performance, supporting accountability, and informing performance-oriented public financial management reforms.
Assessing the Impact of Shoreline Changes on Framework Adaptive Tourism Development (Case Study: Mandiri Beach, Pesisir Barat, Lampung) Aziz, Fahmi; Sahid, Sahid; Yanto, Nana Putri; Esthi Wira Hutama, Surya Tri; Tarigan, Trika Agnestasia; Ajiid Mustofa, Asep Nurul; Harianja, Rahmatullah; Alfazri, Muhammad; Almanti, Nur Zaida
JURNAL GEOGRAFI Vol. 18 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL GEOGRAFI
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/jg.v18i1.71343

Abstract

This study investigates shoreline changes at Mandiri Beach, Pesisir Barat Regency, Lampung Province, during the period 2013–2024 using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS). Landsat imagery was processed through Google Earth Engine (GEE) and ArcGIS, with the Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI) applied to delineate land–water boundaries. Shoreline dynamics were quantified using DSAS metrics, including Net Shoreline Movement (NSM) and End Point Rate (EPR). The results reveal significant spatial variability: several segments experienced erosion, particularly in western and northeastern zones, while other areas showed accretion, mainly across gently sloping beaches and river mouths. In the primary research area, abrasion reached a maximum of 1.49 m with an average NSM of 1.41 m, and the End Point Rate indicated a gradual annual abrasion trend of 0.13 m/year. Meanwhile, Mandiri Sejati District exhibited more extreme changes, with maximum accretion of 11.84 m and maximum abrasion of 16.2 m, reflecting high sensitivity to environmental and anthropogenic pressures. These findings highlight the importance of adaptive coastal management framework to mitigate erosion risks and optimise accretion zones for sustainable tourism development. The study contributes to disaster mitigation planning, coastal resource management, and the integration of ecological conservation with tourism utilisation.
Co-Authors Ajiid Mustofa, Asep Nurul Alfazri, Muhammad Alif, Muhammad Nizar Almanti, Nur Zaida Aulia, Ghina Zahrah Esthi Wira Hutama, Surya Tri Gumilar, Asya Nurbayani Harianja, Rahmatullah Khoirunnisa, Afifah Mia Lasmi Wardiyah, Mia Lasmi Mustofa, Asep Nurul Ajiid Nabawi, Kinan Nana Putri Yanto Nuryanti , Juju Prizkanisa, Siti Sahid Sahid Sahid Sahid Sella, Nur Maia Trika Agnestasia Tarigan