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Perbandingan Metode ARIMA dan SARIMA Dalam Peramalan Jumlah Penumpang Bandara Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung Febiola, Aulia; Dewi, Amelia; Fazarin, Fatia Maura; Ramadhani, Fitri; Khaffi, Muhammad Akbar; Akbar, Ridho; Dalimunthe, Desy Yuliana
Jambura Journal of Mathematics Vol 6, No 2: August 2024
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jjom.v6i2.25081

Abstract

One of the transportation that is often used by people in Bangka Belitung to travel outside the area is airplanes. Judging from the data on the number of passengers at two airports in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province, the highest number of airplane passengers departing outside the region in April 2023 was 88,511 people. If there isan excessive increase in the number of passengers, it will have an impact on the quality of airport service levels and disrupt the stability of flight traffic. The purpose of this study is to compare the results of forecasting the number of passengers at the airport of Bangka Belitung Islands Province for the future period using the ARIMA and SARIMA methods. Based on the results of the analysis, the best method to forecast the number of passengers at the Bangka Belitung Islands Provincial Airport is the ARIMA method with the best model, namely ARIMA (0,1,1). In general, the results of forecasting the number of passengers at the Bangka Belitung Islands Provincial Airport from May 2024 to April 2026 will increase the number of passengers continuously until April 2026.
PEMBERDAYAAN AGEN STATISTIK (ANTIK) DALAM MENINGKATKAN LITERASI DIGITAL DAN SISTEM KEUANGAN DESA DI DESA REBO, KECAMATAN SUNGAILIAT, KABUPATEN BANGKA Dalimunthe, Desy Yuliana; Amelia, Ririn; Julia, Julia; Kartika, Hanum; Sony, Muhamad Nur Bintang; Putra, Muhammad Dafi Pratama; Febiola, Aulia; Ramadhani, Fitri; Dewi, Amelia
Jurnal Abdi Insani Vol 12 No 7 (2025): Jurnal Abdi Insani
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/abdiinsani.v12i7.2699

Abstract

Literasi digital menjadi kebutuhan penting dalam pembangunan desa berbasis komunitas di era digital. Melalui kolaborasi antara pemerintah desa, BPS, dan agen statistik mahasiswa, Desa Rebo didorong mengembangkan literasi digital dan penyajian data statistik secara visual. Kegiatan pengabdian ini memperkuat kapasitas aparatur desa dalam mengelola teknologi dan informasi, mendukung program smart village, serta mempercepat terwujudnya desa mandiri berbasis data dan teknologi secara berkelanjutan. Pengabdian ini bertujuan untuk memberdayakan Agen Statistik (ANTIK) dalam meningkatkan literasi digital serta pemahaman terhadap sistem keuangan desa di Desa Rebo, Kecamatan Sungailiat, Kabupaten Bangka. Kegiatan dilakukan secara kolaboratif antara akademisi Universitas Bangka Belitung, BPS Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung, Agen Statistik serta perangkat Desa Rebo. Rangkaian kegiatan dimulai dengan sambutan dari Kepala Desa Rebo dan dilanjutkan denganĀ  pemaparan materi mengenai Sistem Keuangan Desa yang dilanjutkan dengan pelatihan penggunaan Platform Canva untuk pembuatan infografis statistik data kependudukan oleh tim dibantu oleh Agen Statistik. Evaluasi kegiatan dilakukan melalui penyebaran kuesioner kepuasan mitra menggunakan skala Likert. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa mayoritas peserta menyatakan setuju dan sangat setuju terhadap semua aspek kegiatan, dengan respons tertinggi pada kejelasan materi (67% sangat setuju). Kegiatan ini mendapat dukungan penuh dari mitra dan menghasilkan rekomendasi positif dari peserta untuk keberlanjutan program serupa di masa mendatang.
PEMBERDAYAAN KELOMPOK CINTA LITERASI DAN MAHASISWA CINTA STATISTIK DALAM MENDUKUNG PROGRAM DIGITALISASI DI DESA REBO, KABUPATEN BANGKA Dalimunthe, Desy Yuliana; Rozani, Muhammad; Kustiawan, Elyas; Febiola, Aulia
Jurnal Abdi Insani Vol 11 No 3 (2024): Jurnal Abdi Insani
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/abdiinsani.v11i3.1705

Abstract

The village is a strategic position to support the success of community development programs. Currently, the concept of rural development is no longer limited to the agricultural sector and basic infrastructure but leads to the development of Information and Communication Technology. Rebo Village in general still has several things that have not been managed optimally, especially related to data literacy, such as having a low interest in reading and a lack of good understanding of the importance of improving literacy culture in the community. This service activity aims to explore the sources of potential (assets) owned by the community so that the community is able to solve the problems they face independently. The service scheme through socialization activities to partners aims to provide education about the importance of literacy to all village officials and all residents. This service activity focuses on the formation of a Literacy Love Group (KECIL) at the village level by involving statistical agents and statistical love students. This group can increase the added value of Rebo village towards an independent and creative village. This can be done by managing information and empowering the community. Based on the results of the analysis of the partner satisfaction questionnaire, 65.22% of participants answered that they agreed that the theme of the socialization activities presented was in accordance with the needs of partners and the rest, namely 34.78%, answered very agree. Based on the instrument of clarity and ease of understanding of the material presented by the resource persons, 73.91% answered yes and 26.09% answered strongly agree. In addition, this activity was also felt by partners to be very useful, as evidenced by 69.57% answering yes and 30.43% answering very agreeing. Meanwhile, several participants in the socialization activity gave positive and supportive suggestions for the progress and development of future activities. Based on the entire series of activities that have been carried out, it can be concluded that this service activity can provide its own benefits for partners, as evidenced by the results of the analysis of partner satisfaction questionnaire data in Rebo Village.