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All Journal Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Fishuri, Nufhika
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Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Mathematics Social Sciences

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PERBANDINGAN METODE DOUBLE MOVING AVERAGE DAN DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (BROWN) TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERBUKA DI KOTA PADANG PANJANG Fishuri, Nufhika; Ikhsan, Easbi; Fitri, Fadhilah; Permana, Dony
Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Vol. 6 No. 1 (2025): Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistik
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Bina Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46306/lb.v6i1.945

Abstract

Unemployment occurs because of a mismatch between the demand for jobs and job seekers' qualifications. Many job vacancies require diploma or degree graduates, so unemployment is one of the problems faced by Padang Panjang City. To overcome TPT in Padang Panjang City, one of them needs to do forecasting to see how the TPT rate will occur in the coming year. This research uses a forecasting method by comparing the Double Moving Average (DMA) and Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) forecasting values of the unemployment rate in Padang Panjang City from 2006 to 2023. This forecasting is done to provide insight into the condition of the workforce in Padang Panjang City in the future. The forecasting results show that in 2024, there will be an increase of 0.42%, and for the next 2 years, there will be a decrease.
Perbandingan metode Double Moving Average(DMA) dan Double Exponential Smoothing (Brown) Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka (TPT) di Kota Padang Panjang. Fishuri, Nufhika; Fadhilah Fitri; Dony Permana
UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science Vol. 3 No. 2 (2025): UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Publisher : Departemen Statistika Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ujsds/vol3-iss2/366

Abstract

The Open Unemployment Rate (TPT) is the percentage of unemployed people in the total labor force. The population included in the labor force is the population aged 15 years and over who has a job but is temporarily not working. Unemployment occurs because of a mismatch between the demand for employment and the qualifications of job seekers. Many job vacancies require graduates with a diploma or degree, so unemployment is one of the problems faced by Padang Panjang City. To overcome TPT in Padang Panjang City, one of the needs is to do forecasting to see how the TPT rate will occur in the coming year. This research uses a forecasting method by comparing the Double Moving Average (DMA) and Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) forecasting values of the Unemployment Rate in Padang Panjang City from 2006 to 2023. This forecasting is done to provide insight into the future condition of the workforce in Padang Panjang City. The results of the forecasting indicate that in 2024, there will be an increase of 0.42%, and for the next 2 years, there will be a decrease
Co-Authors Dony Permana Fadhilah Fitri Fitri, Fadhilah Ikhsan, Easbi Permana, Dony