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All Journal Variance : Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Pakem : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Journal Governance Society
Chairunissa, Abela
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Chemistry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF NEURAL NETWORKS AND TRADITIONAL STATISTICAL METHODS IN ANALYZING IMBALANCED DATA: A COMPARATIVE STUDY Chairunissa, Abela; Nisa, Hilwin
VARIANCE: Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Vol 7 No 1 (2025): VARIANCE: Journal of Statistics and Its Applications
Publisher : Statistics Study Programme, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/variancevol7iss1page21-30

Abstract

Class imbalance is a common issue in predictive modeling, particularly when minority classes carry critical significance, as seen in applications like fraud detection, rare disease prediction, and customer churn analysis. This study uses linear and non-linear simulated data scenarios to examine the performance of logistic regression, discriminant analysis, and neural networks on imbalanced data. For linear data, logistic regression and discriminant analysis displayed high sensitivity but extremely low specificity, indicating a strong bias toward the majority class. Neural networks showed marginal improvement but remained ineffective in detecting minority classes. In contrast, neural networks demonstrated superior sensitivity for non-linear data and were notably better at identifying minority classes, underscoring their suitability for complex data relationships. Our results highlight that accuracy alone is insufficient for evaluating models on imbalanced data; instead, sensitivity and specificity offer more relevant insights. Overall, this study suggests that neural networks are preferable for imbalanced data with non-linear patterns, and data characteristics and appropriate evaluation metrics should inform model selection.
CLUSTERING AND VISUALIZATION OF OLYMPIC ATHLETE DATA BASED ON PHYSICAL AND DISCIPLINARY ATTRIBUTES Nisa, Hilwin; Chairunissa, Abela
VARIANCE: Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Vol 7 No 1 (2025): VARIANCE: Journal of Statistics and Its Applications
Publisher : Statistics Study Programme, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/variancevol7iss1page113-122

Abstract

This study aims to identify hidden patterns in international athlete data through clustering and data visualization approaches. The goal is to group athletes based on physical characteristics and sports disciplines to uncover meaningful trends. Utilizing a dataset of over 200,000 entries from 1896 to 2016, the study applies K-Means, Agglomerative and DBSCAN clustering methods. Preprocessing steps include handling missing data, selecting relevant variables (Height, Weight, Age, Sex, Sport, and Medal), and data normalization. The Silhouette score for K-Means (0.273647136516163645), Agglomerative (0.26134664130023655), and DBSCAN (-0.23920792207945957) indicates suboptimal clustering with overlapping clusters. K-Means clustering performs slightly better among the three methods. The findings are visualized through cluster plots and an interactive map showing medal distribution. This study highlights the limitations of traditional clustering methods for large datasets and suggests future exploration with advanced techniques.
Comparison of the Strategic Plans of the Ministry of Education and Culture and Universitas Brawijaya Based on Theoretical Wahyudi, Lestari Eko; Chairunissa, Abela; Ramadhani, Eva Fadilah; Nashihah, Durratun; Luthfi, Muhammad Naufal
Journal Governance Society Vol. 1 No. 1 (2024): August, 2024
Publisher : CV. Austronesia Akademika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.69812/jgs.v1i1.31

Abstract

Education has a crucial role in determining the direction of a nation's development. Indonesia's Gross Enrollment Rate (APK) data shows a positive trend, but challenges in the quality of education remain, especially in terms of literacy, numeracy and understanding of science based on PISA scores. The inequality of educational attainment between regions indicates the need to increase access and quality of education evenly throughout Indonesia. Inadequate curriculum in developing basic competencies is one of the main causes of suboptimal achievements. Apart from that, Indonesia also faces the challenge of low public IQ levels, showing the importance of improving the education system to increase the nation's overall competitiveness. The process of preparing the vision, mission and strategic objectives by the Ministry of Education and Culture and Brawijaya University adopts an approach that is in accordance with theory, but the main challenge lies in implementing the strategic plan. Brawijaya University demonstrated excellence in overcoming implementation barriers, which enabled them to achieve strategic goals more effectively. In this context, alignment between vision, mission and goals is key in designing and implementing sustainable strategic
PENDAMPINGAN PENATAAN SISTEM ADMINISTRASI DESA DENGAN MENGEMBANGKAN APLIKASI ADMINISTRASI DESA TERPADU DI KELURAHAN ARJOSARI Pramoedyo, Henny; Ngabu, Wigbertus; Wardhani, Ni Wayan Surya; Iriany, Atiek; Chairunissa, Abela
PAKEM : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 5 No 2 (2025): Pakem : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pakem.5.2.131-142

Abstract

This community service activity aims to assist Kelurahan Arjosari in restructuring its administrative system more effectively and efficiently through the development of a village administration application built with Microsoft Excel and Visual Basic for Applications (VBA). Based on initial observations, the administrative processes in the kelurahan were still conducted manually, leading to slow public service delivery and a high risk of errors. The developed application is designed to integrate with the village's population database, automate the generation of documents based on National Identification Numbers (NIK), and provide automatic data validation features. Through Focus Group Discussions (FGD) and the official launching of the application, local officials were actively involved in the planning and training phases. Evaluation results show that the application is easy to use, accelerates the document service process, and improves administrative data accuracy. This initiative has had a positive impact on the quality of public services at the local level and serves as a model for applying simple but effective technology to support digital transformation in village governance
Co-Authors Atiek Iriany Durratun Nashihah Henny Pramoedyo Lestari Eko Wahyudi Muhammad Luthfi Ni Wayan Surya Wardhani Nisa, Hilwin Ramadhani, Eva Fadilah Wigbertus Ngabu