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Modelling the Relationship between Rice Price, Rice Production, Exchange Rate, and Rice Import in Indonesia Yafi, Muhammad Ali; Adyanti, Amanda Sekar; Purwanti, Amanda Anggi
Agro Ekonomi Vol 36, No 2 (2025): DECEMBER 2025
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ae.100774

Abstract

Rice is a strategic food commodity for Indonesia. Most Indonesians, 95 percent consume rice as their staple food. However, Indonesia still imports rice to fulfil its domestic rice needs. Dependence on imports is neither good for the short term nor the long term. The purpose of this study is to see the relationship of rice price, rice production, exchange rate to Indonesia's rice import. The data used is time series data with monthly frequency from January 2019 to December 2023 taken from ITC Trade Map, Central Statistic Agency, and Bank Indonesia. The analysis method uses a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach that can provide short-term and long-term information through several tests. The results showed that in the long run the exchange rate and rice production have a negative influence on rice imports. While in the short term, the variables that affect rice imports are the import variable itself and the price of rice in the previous 2 periods, as well as rice production in 1 previous period. The significant influence of rice production requires the government to pay attention to the stock and the amount of imports in balance. Exchange rate, rice price, and rice production variables respond relatively quickly to rice imports. The rice import variable has a large enough proportion in influencing itself followed by the exchange rate, and rice production which has a greater influence each period. 
Optimizing MSE Partnerships: Assessing Partnership Intensity By Partnership Types Purwanti, Amanda Anggi; Feryanto; Kusnadi, Nunung
Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025): Desember 2025 (Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia)
Publisher : Departmen of Agribusiness, Economics and Management Faculty, Bogor Agricultural University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jai.2025.13.2.292-303

Abstract

Partnership practices in Indonesia are highly diverse, encompassing various forms of support for Micro and Small Enterprises (MSEs), including capital, capital goods, marketing, and raw materials. This diversity reflects the Intensity of partnerships, a key determinant of collaboration effectiveness. High partnership intensity is expected to strengthen competitiveness, broaden market access, and accelerate business growth. Despite these potential benefits, participation of MSEs in partnerships remains relatively limited, highlighting the need for further investigation into their dynamics. This study aims to assess the Intensity of MSE partnerships in Indonesia by examining variations in both the number of partnership types adopted and their relevance to business needs. The analysis is based on secondary data from Statistics Indonesia's 2021 Micro and Small Industry Survey, covering 6,951 business units in the food and non-food sectors. Descriptive statistical methods were applied to map the distribution of partnership intensity across industries and business scales. The results show that small enterprises, particularly in the non-food sector, tend to have higher partnership intensity. In contrast, microenterprises in the food sector demonstrate limited involvement in multidimensional cooperation. These differences are influenced by managerial capacity, network access, and sector-specific needs. The findings underscore the importance of designing partnership strategies that are diversified and aligned with MSE needs to enhance effectiveness. This research contributes to understanding partnership intensity and provides policymakers with practical insights for supporting sustainable MSE development.