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All Journal EKSPANSI International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)
Zain, Nurafifah
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Peran Kedalaman Keuangan Islam dalam Menghubungkan Tata Kelola dan Ketahanan Ekonomi: Bukti dari 26 Anggota IFSB Novianti, Catur; Elina, Riskiana; Zain, Nurafifah; Suhendi, Suhendi; Yulianti, Yulianti
Ekspansi: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan, Perbankan, dan Akuntansi Vol 17 No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Accounting Department, Politeknik Negeri Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35313/ekspansi.v17i2.6733

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of Institutional Quality, Economic Freedom, and Technology on Economic Resilience with Islamic Financial Depth (IFD) as a mediating variable in 26 member countries of the Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) during the period 2014-2023. This study uses a quantitative approach with panel data regression method and Sobel Test mediation test. The analysis shows that Institutional Quality has a significant direct effect on Economic Resilience, but has no significant effect on IFD. Meanwhile, Economic Freedom shows a significant indirect effect on Economic Resilience through the mediation of IFD. In contrast, Technology does not show a significant effect either directly or indirectly on Economic Resilience. These results confirm that the depth of the Islamic financial sector plays an important role as an intermediary mechanism in strengthening the influence of economic policy on national economic resilience.
How Trade War Shocks Shape Reserve Accumulation? Evidence from MENA Countries Riskiana, Riskiana; Mabrurah, Mubrikatul; Zain, Nurafifah; Zakaria, Avien
International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR) Vol. 6 No. 6 (2025): International Journal of Economics Development Research (IJEDR)
Publisher : Yayasan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/ijedr.v6i6.9829

Abstract

The study examines the effects of trade war tensions, exchange rate volatility, and financial depth on foreign exchange reserves in 14 MENA countries from 2000 to 2024. Using the Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM), the analysis captures both short-run dynamics and long-run equilibrium relationships. Stationarity and cointegration tests confirm that all variables are integrated at the I(1) level and exhibit a stable long-term relationship. The PVECM results show that none of the key variables significantly affect FER in the short term. In the long term, however, TWI demonstrates a positive and significant impact, indicating that prolonged global trade tensions encourage MENA countries to increase reserve accumulation as a precautionary response to external uncertainty. Conversely, FD exerts a negative and significant long-term effect, suggesting that deeper financial markets may reduce reserve holdings through greater foreign currency demand and increased financial openness. Meanwhile, ERV shows a negative long-term relationship with FER but lacks statistical significance in either the long or short term, indicating that exchange rate fluctuations do not directly drive reserve adjustment behavior in MENA economies. These findings highlight the importance for policymakers to strengthen external resilience and manage financial sector development carefully to ensure foreign exchange reserve stability amid intensifying global geopolitical tensions. Keywords: Foreign Exchange Rate, Trade War, Exchange Rate Volatility, Financial Depth
Co-Authors Elina, Riskiana Mabrurah, Mubrikatul Novianti, Catur Riskiana, Riskiana Suhendi Suhendi Yulianti Yulianti Zakaria, Avien