Bulan, Nur Sari
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Integration of Change Theory and Evidence-Based Policies for Equitable Welfare in Mountainous Papua, Indonesia Meiyenti, Ira; Sudrajat, Ihwan; Yahya, Afif Syarifudin; Mualim, Wildan Maulana Assani; Bulan, Nur Sari
Journal Public Policy Vol 12, No 1 (2026): January
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/jpp.v12i1.13095

Abstract

This research aims to integrate population administration projections with the Theory of Change (ToC) and Evidence-Based Policy (EBP) frameworks to strengthen policy formulation for the equitable distribution of welfare across districts in Mountainous Papua Province. The research used mixed methods with a sequential explanatory design. In the quantitative phase, population, Human Development Index (HDI), and district-level education indicators are projected for the period 2025–2045 using arithmetic and exponential methods, and the results are then compared across eight districts. In the qualitative phase, the projection findings were interpreted to assess the feasibility of policy assumptions, identify intervention needs, and formulate evaluation mechanisms in the spatial context of Mountainous Papua, using ToC as a prospective analytical tool. The results showed variations in trajectories across districts and misalignments between population growth and HDI increases: Yahukimo is projected to have the largest population but the slowest increase in HDI, whereas Jayawijaya and Central Mamberamo show a stronger upward trend in HDI. Education projections indicate uneven progress and declining participation in vocational education, which contributes to the missing middle skill gap. These findings confirm the need to differentiate district-profile-based interventions and to strengthen monitoring as a policy feedback mechanism. It was concluded that equitable distribution of welfare in Mountainous Papua requires predictive planning and data-driven adaptive governance, with ToC–EBP as a framework to test causal logic, target interventions, and strengthen policy evaluation.
How Bandung Succeeds: Multi-Perspective Study of Determinants of Digital Transformation Success in Public Administration Meiyenti, Ira; Bulan, Nur Sari; Athahirah, Astika Ummy; Nangameka, Teresa Irmina; Rahmah, Mutia
Jurnal Borneo Administrator Vol. 22 No. 1 (2026): April 2026
Publisher : Pusjar SKPP Lembaga Administrasi Negara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24258/jba.v22i1.1738

Abstract

Digital transformation is the main focus in the development of public administration, including in Indonesia. The Electronic-Based Government System (SPBE) implementation at the regional level still faces constraints in human resources, budget, and infrastructure. Bandung City serves as an ideal model of successful SPBE and Smart City implementation. A holistic assessment of the success of digitaltransformation in public administration was performed in this research by combining theoretical approaches (Stakeholder Theory, RBV, and Innovation Diffusion) and practical approaches in the field. This study employed an explanatory sequential mixed methods design, involving 75 quantitative survey respondents and 30 qualitative interview informants at the Bandung City Diskominfo. The data were analyzed using descriptive statistical techniques and thematic analysis. Five key factors, namely (1) Expectations of employees/implementing employees, (2) Expectations of ICT technical operators, (3) Organizational culture, (4) Relative profitability, and (5) Digital leadership were found as the significant factors. The holistic approach successfully integrated multiple theories and field practices in responding to criticisms of previous studies on technical-social focus inequality. The results provide more effective and contextual strategic guidance for local governments to improve the implementation of digital transformation in the public sector.