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Kota padang,
Sumatera barat
INDONESIA
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Published by Universitas Negeri Padang
ISSN : -     EISSN : -     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 65 Documents
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ANALISIS SERTA PERENCANAAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN INVESTASI DI SUMATERA BARAT Yola Sastri, Ridha; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of consumption, invesment, government spending and net export on the economics growth in West Sumatera. (2) Effect of economics growth, interest rate and money supply on the invesment in West Sumatera. (3) Planning of  the economics growth and investment about 2013-2017. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2001– IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the consumption have a significant and positive impact on the economics growth, invesment have significant and positive impact on the economics growth, government spending rates significantly and positive on the economics growth and net export have a significant and positive impact on the economics growth in West Sumatera. (2) the economics growth have a significant and positive impact on the invesment, interest rate have a significant and positive impact on the invesment and money supply have a significant and positive impact on the invesment in West Sumatera.(3)Prospect of output and employment inj West Sumatera 2013-2015 is positive. Keywords : Economics Growth, Invesment, Consumption, Government Spending, Net Export, Interest Rate, Money Supply
PENGARUH INFLASI, KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA asyulinda, Asyulinda; Amar, Syamsul; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze(1)The effect ofgoverment expenditure on inflaton,(2)The effect of tax on inflaton (3)The effect ofthe money supply on inflaton (4)The effect ofinterest rates on inflaton and (5) The effect ofinflation,government expenditure, tax, the money supply, interest rates on the labor force in the Indonesia state. Data used time series of 1980 - 2013. This article use analyzer model path analysis. The result of research concludesthat (1)the incomehave a significantand positive impact onthe investment,interest rateshave significantand negatively impact onthe investment,government expenditure significantlyandpositiveon the investment, while inflationis notsignificant and negativeeffecton the investmentinNorth Sumatera.If incomeincreases, the investmentwill also increase. If interest rates increases, the investment will decreases, and If government expenditure increases, the investment will increases. (2)the investmenthave a significantand positive impact onthe income, government expenditure is not significant and positive on the income,the money supplyhave significantand positive impact onthe income, and tax have significantand negatively impact onthe income in North Sumatera. If investmentincreases, the incomewill also increase,if the money supply increase, the income will increase, and then if the tax increase, the income will decreases. Keywords :interest rates, goverment expenditure, inflation, the money supply, tax and labor force.
Analisis Produktivitas Tenaga Kerja dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Ramayani, Citra; Aimon, Hasdi; Anis, Ali
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to identify and analyze: 1) The influence of education, health, public investment and private investment on labor productivity in Indonesia. 2) The effect of government investment, private investment, inflation, exports, employment and labor productivity to economic growth in Indonesia. This research is ekspost facto to the annual quantitative secondary data that is in Indonesia in the timeframe between the years 1980-2009 by using the simultaneous analysis model that has been through the test prerequisites. The results of this study found that: 1) Education, health, public investment and private investment and partially simultaneous significant effect on labor productivity in Indonesia. The higher funding for education, health, high investment, more and more private investment invested in Indonesia will be the higher productivity of labor in Indonesia. 2) Public investment, private investment, inflation, exports, employment and labor productivity simultaneously significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. While in Persia, private investment, inflation, exports, and labor productivity affect economic growth in Indonesia. More and more private parties who invest their capital in Indonesia, the low inflation, and increasing exports will be able to increase economic growth. Meanwhile, public investment and labor no significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. High or low government investment and private investment does not affect the high or low economic growth in Indonesia. Policy implications of the results of this study were: 1) In an effort to increase labor productivity in Indonesia then the policy needs to be taken by the government is more concerned with education and health by increasing funding to improve the quality of human resources. 2) Efforts should be done next government in promoting economic growth  is to do development equitably, improve the bureaucracy in order to create a conducive investment climate to attract investors to invest in Indonesia, to maintain economic stability in order to avoid excessive inflation, improve the quality of human resources in order to produces a high output and export value. Key Word : Productivity, Economic Grow
PROSPEK KONSUMSI DAN IMPOR KEDELAI DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2015 - 2020 Aimon, Hasdi; Satrianto, Alpon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of soybean import, per capita income, and soybean price to soybean consumption and to analyze prospect of soybean consumption in Indonesia from 2015 - 2020. Furthermore, the aim is also to analyze the influence of soybean consumption, per capita income and real exchange rate to soybean import and the prospect of soybean import in Indonesia from 2015 - 2020. The data used is from the time series 1983 until 2012. The analysis model in this study uses Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Forecasting Vektor Autoregression (VAR). The result shows with OLS at soybean consumption equation that soybean import, per capita income, and soybean price significantly effects on the soybean consumption in Indonesia and it’s prospect with forecasting VAR shows that soybean consumption always increasing from 2015 - 2020. Moreover, soybean consumption, per capita income, and the real exchange rate significantly effect on soybean import in Indonesia and it’s prospect with forecasting VAR shows that soybean import always increasing from 2015 - 2020. The Soybean import values larger than soybean consumption values from 2018 - 2020. Accordingly, the recommends to the Indonesian government to reduce soybean imports by increasing soybean production by establishing local soybean prices, so that soybean farmers feel advantaged. Key Word: soybean consumption, soybean import, and soybean price.
PROSPEK PERDAGANGAN LUAR NEGERI INDONESIA – AMERIKA SERIKAT DAN KURS Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to identify and analyze: (a) the effect of the ratio of the money supply, real output ratio, the difference in inflation, interest rate differentials and foreign trade Indonesia-USA on the exchange rate IDR/US $, (b) the influence of the ratio of real output Indonesi -the United States, the ratio of real output and the Indonesia-Japan exchange rate IDR/U.S. $ against Indonesia's foreign trade-the United States, and (c) foreign trade prospects for Indonesia and the United States. The data used in the study is the time series of the year 1997:3 until 2009:4. The data are stationary at different degrees, but both models cointegration analysis. Furthermore, both models are tested in the identification, reduced form and causality endogenous variables, the two models are estimated using the method of simultaneous equations with 2SLS (Two Stage Least Squares. The results of this study show that: (a) the ratio of the money supply, real output ratio, the difference in inflation, interest rate differentials and foreign trade of the United States Indonesia-significant effect on the exchange  rate of IDR/U.S. $, (b) the real output ratio of Indonesia-USA, the ratio of real output the Indonesia-Japan and exchange rate IDR/U.S. $ significant effect on Indonesia's foreign trade-the United States, and (c) foreign trade Indonesia and the United States have a positive outlook until 2017. From this research, the study recommends to the government of Indonesia through the Ministry of Industry and Trade to continue to give encouragement to the foreign trade sector to increase the quantity and the quality  and diversification of exported commodities that Indonesia's foreign trade prospects-the United States can be realized. Keyword: foreign trade, exchange rates, real output and money supply.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TINGKAT INFLASI DAN KINERJA PEREKONOMIAN DI INDONESIA Mulvita, Loly; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of the economy, interest rates, money supply, government spending and wages on inflation in Indonesia, (2) the effects of inflation, government spending, taxes, and wages on the economy in Indonesia. Type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study was the economy and inflation. And exogenous variable is government spending, tax, interest rate, money supply and wage. The research concludes that (1) the Economy, interest rates, money supply, government spending and wage on inflation in Indonesia affected significantly. (2) inflation, government spending, taxes have a significant effect on the economy in Indonesia. However, the study does not affect wages in the economy significantly. Based on the results of the discussion, Governments and Bank Indonesia is expected to maintain the stability of prices and restrained inflation range in order to maintain macroeconomic stability Indonesia. The policies that can be suggested is Bank Indonesia needs to conduct monetary policy gradually and consistently setting interest rates in order to control the money supply and the inflation rate. Required effort or government policy makers to be able to continue to increase in Indonesia's economy by increasing government spending (Expansionary Fiscal Policy) which aimed at the improvement of development expenditure. Keywords: economy, inflation, government spending, tax, interest rate, money supply and wage.
Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Kualitas Sumberdaya Manusia Dan Perekonomian Kabupaten/Kota Di Provinsi Jambi Munawwaroh, Munawwaroh; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focus to analyze (1) Effect of education budget, health budget and economy toword of human resources quality in Jambi province. (2) The influence of inflation, unemployment and human resources quality toword of economy in Jambi province. The data poaltime series was taken 2007-2011 of regency and city in Jambi province. The analyze use Simultaneous model. Before analysis, we also checked cointegration test and causalities between human resources quality and economy. The result of research concludes that (1) The  have education budget a significant and positive impact toword of human resources quality, health budget have a unsignificant and positive impact toword of human resources quality and economy have unsignificant and positive toword of human resources in Jambi province. (2) Inflation have significant and negative impact toword of economy, unemployment and human resources quality unsignificantly influence impact toword economy in Jambi province. Policy implications of the results of this study are: 1) government efforts through education budget and health budget  in the form of the government budget through health and education facilities in the form of facilities and infrastructure, as well as education and health services to improve the quality of human resources. 2) efforts to do next government in building the economy of the region is to maintain stable prices in the market to curb inflation and provide employment business for the community as well as providing training to workers in order to reduce unemployment. Keywords: Human resources quality, economics, education budget, health budget, education level, inflation and unemployment.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PEREKONOMIAN DAN INVESTASI DI SUMATERA BARAT Eriawati, Yossi; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of the Economic, net ekspor, consumtion,   infrastructure economi and invetment in West Sumatera. (2) The influence of investment, inflation, interest rate, and infrastructure economic in West Sumatera. Data used time series of 1983 - 2012. This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of  Least Squared (LS). The result of research concludes that (1) the net ekspor have a significant and positive impact on the economic, consumtion have significant and positive impact on the economic, infrastructure econimic  significantly and positive on the economic, and investment is significant and positive on the economic in West Sumatera. (2) The interest rates is not significant and negative on the investment, inflation is not significant and negative on the investment, and infrastrukture economic a significant and positive on the investment in West Sumatera. Keywords :economic, investment, net ekspor, consumtion, inflation, interest rates, and economic infrastructure
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN PENGELUARAN PEMBANGUNAN DI KABUPATEN AGAM Sufyeti, Sufyeti; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to determine and  analyze (1) the effect of private investment, labor, and development expenditure to  economic growth in Agam regency.(2)  the effect of labor,  inflation,economic growth and development expenditures in agam regency. This type of of research is descriptive and associative  studies. While the data type is documentary data, the source data is secondary data sources and in the form  of time series from 1980 to 2009. This study utilize a model of simultaneous equations by means of indirect least square (ILS). Endogeneous variables in this study is  economic growth and development expenditrue. While the exsogen variable are  private investment,labor and inflation. Based on these results. It is recomended to agam goverment to make regulation for stimulating investor to put investement in agam regency. The method is to simplify the bureaucracy process for  investment, and promote that agam   regency is a promising  region to invest. It is neccessary for agam local government to  provide training and education for the workforce in agam regency therefore the workforce will work in accordance with their respective expertise.  Keywords:  Development expenditure,  economic growth,  inflation,  private investment, labor
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKSI, KONSUMSI DAN IMPOR KEDELAI DI INDONESIA Sari, Putri Meiliza; Aimon, hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze (1) the effect of land area, the price of localsoybean, seed and fertilizer to soybean production in Indonesia, (2) the effect ofsoybean production, soybean import, per capita income, and consumption of soyprevious period to soybean consumption in Indonesia, (3) the effect of per capitaincome, the level of the real exchange rate and the price of imported soybean tosoybean import in Indonesia. The data source is a secondary data as well as datain the form of time series from 1983 to 2012 . Research use simultaneous equationmodel analysis in the form of Indirect Least Squares (ILS). The effect of the landarea of soybean and fertilizer have significant effect on soybean production withregression coefficients 1.26 and 0.84. Local soybean prices and soybean seed doesnot have significant impact on soybean production. Soybean production, Soybeanimport and consumption of soybean previous period have significant effect onsoybean consumption with regresion coefficients 0.72, 0.85 and 0.34, but percapita income there is no significant effect on soybean consumption. Per capitaincome and the price of imported soybean have significant effect on soybeanimport with regression coefficients 0.11 and 226.6. Value of the real exchangerate of the rupiah against the U.S. dollar there is no significant effect on soybeanimport.Keywords : Soybean Production, Soybean Consumption and Soybean Import.

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