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INDONESIA
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
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Articles 65 Documents
ANALISIS INVESTASI SUMATERA BARAT (PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODELS) Adry, Melty Roza
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT The purpose of this research are to analysis effect economic growth and interest rate to investment in West Sumatera in the long and short term. The data used time series data quarterly of the year 2000:1 until 2010:4. The variable used in this research are investment, economic growth, and interest rate. This research use Error Correction Model (ECM). The result of this research in long term and short term economic growth have positive influence and significant effect to investment in West Sumatera. But interest rate have negative influence and not significant effect to investment in West Sumatera Keyword: Investment, Economic Growth, Interest Rate, Error Corection Model
Analisis Stasioneri dan Kointegrasi Permintaan Uang Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

PENGARUH KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PROVINSI JAMBI Mahdi, Mahdi; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of: (1) government spending on economic growth Jambi province, (2) taxes on economic growth Jambi, (3) the money supply to economic growth Jambi and (4) interest rates on economic growth Jambi province.. This research uses the methods of analysis tools Ordinary Least Squared (OLS). The dependent variable in the study of economic growth. While the independent variable in this study is government spending, taxes, the money supply and interest rates. The research concludes that (1) government spending significant and positive impact on economic growth of Jambi Province. (2) taxes affect economic growth Jambi significantly and negatively. (3) the money supply is also a positive effect on economic growth signifikandan Jambi Province. (4) interest rates affect economic growth Jambi significantly and negatively. Based on these results the policies that can be advised Local Government (LG) is the need for local government or policy makers efforts by increasing government spending (Expansionary Fiscal Policy). The Government is expected to set the proper allocation of tax so as not to weaken the purchasing power of consumers. The Government is expected to set the proper allocation of tax so as not to weaken the purchasing power of consumers. Local government and Bank Indonesia in order to maintain liquidity or the availability of money in the economy Jambi. Government along the banks especially Bank Indonesia in order to maintain a healthy rate so it does not impact on the decline in the interest of investors to invest. Keyword : Fiscal Policy, Moneter Policy, Government Expenditure, Tax, Money Supply, Interest Rate
ANALISIS FAKTOR - FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKTIVITAS TENAGA KERJA DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI SUMATERA BARAT Fitri, Irdas; Syofyan, Efrizal; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the effect of (1) public investment education sector, the health sector and public investment on labor productivity IPM West Sumatra (2) labor productivity, shopping areas, infrastructure and income inequality on economic growth of West Sumatra. This type of research is descriptive and associative. While this type of data is data documentary, source of data is secondary data as well as data in the form of data panel with 19 districts / cities from 2010 - 2013. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Indirect methods Stages Least Squared (ILS). The study concluded that (1) public investment education sector, the health sector and public investment IPM significant effect on labor productivity in West Sumatra. With the meaning of words, if public investment and public investment education sector increased health sector and accompanied by HDI is the better it would be the better labor productivity in the area. (2) shopping areas, infrastructure and income inequality affects economic growth in West Sumatra significantly. That is, the increase in shopping areas, improved infrastructure and declining inequality of income then this condition will lead to an increase in the economic growth. Based on these results the policies suggested the government may need to increase budget allocations for education and health. Good quality education will give a good effect on the mindset and behavior patterns of people of West Sumatra. With the increase in budget for health, the public will have better access to services and to health.
ANALISIS PENAWARAN AGREGAT DAN PERMINTAAN AGREGAT DI SUMATERA BARAT Rosya, Nilmadesri; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis (1) Pengaruh penawaran agregat, permintaan agregat, pengangguran, jumlah uang beredar, konsumsi dan suku bunga terhadap Inflasi di Sumatera Barat (2) Pengaruh  inflasi dan pengangguran terhadap penawaran agregat di Sumatera Barat  dan (3) Pengaruh inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga, pengeluaran. Penelitian ini menggunakan alat analisis model persamaan simultan dengan metode Two Stage Least Square (TSLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa (1) Penawaran agregat, permintaan agregat, jumlah uang beredar, konsumsi dan suku bunga berpengaruh terhadap inflasi di Sumatera Barat. Sedangkan pengangguran tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi di Sumatera Barat. (2) Inflasi dan pengangguran berpengaruh terhadap penawaran agregat di Sumatera Barat. (3) Inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga, pengeluaran pemerintah dan konsumsi berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan agregat di Sumatera Barat. Sedangkan kurs tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan agregat di Sumatera Barat.
ANALISIS PEREKONOMIAN DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA Megasari, Handayani; Amar, Syamsul; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) The effect of consumption, investment, government spending, taxes, inflation, net exports and poverty on the economy in Indonesia, (2) The effect of the economy, inflation, government spending, wages, education and unemployment on poverty in Indonesia. This research is descriptive and associative. While this type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series from 1983 - 2013 in this study using a simultaneous equations model analysis with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study is the economy and poverty. While exogenous variables are consumption, investment, government spending, inflation, net exports, taxes, wages, education and unemployment. The study concluded that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, net exports significantly affect poverty in the Indonesian economy. The increase in the consumption, investment, government spending, net exports and poverty reduction will lead to an increase in the Indonesian economy. If  the decline in the consumption, investment, government spending, net exports and an increase in poverty will lead to a decrease in the Indonesian economy. While inflation and taxes are not a significant effect on the economy in Indonesia (2) The economy, government spending and unemployment significantly influence poverty in Indonesia. If the economy and government spending has increased and unemployment decreased, the poverty in Indonesia will decline. However, if the economy and government spending has decreased and unemployment has increased the poverty in Indonesia will increase. Meanwhile, inflation, wages and education had no significant effect on poverty in Indonesia. Keywords : Consumption, Investment, Government Spending, Taxes, Inflation, Net Export, Wages,  Education, Unemployment, Economy and Poverty
KONSUMSI DAN INFLASI INDONESIA Muh.Nur, Ermon; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
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Abstract

AbstractThis study aims to analyze and observes (1) the effect of inflation, disposable income, interest rates and the previous period consumption to  inflation in Indonesia. (2) the effect   of consumption, interest rate and excange rates and the money supply to Indonesia Inflation. The type of research is descriptive and associative studies. The type of data that used is documentary data, the source of data is secondary data sources.   data is in   the form of time series  from first quarter of 2000 – to fourth quarter of 2010. This study utilize a simultaneous   equation model analysis by means of two stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous   variable in this study is the consumption and inflation. While the eksogen variable is the excange rate,money supply,interest rates disposable income, and previous period consumption. The study yields  conclusion that (1)inflation,disposable income, interest rates and the previous period   consumption have a significant effect on consumtion in Indonesia. In a way that. If there is a decrease of inflation, disposable income and previous consumption have increased the consumption in Indonesia will increase. Conversely, if there is an increasing   in consumtion, excange rate (depreciation) and the money supply while the interest rates go down then it will impact   an increase in inflation in Indonesia. Vice versa if there is a decrease of consumption, exchange rate (appreciation) and the money supply, while the interest rates rise  it will have an impact on reducing  Indonesia inflation. Keywords: inflation, consumption, disposable income, interest rates and the consumption of the previous period, exchange rate, and the money supply.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PEREKONOMIAN DAN PENERIMAAN PAJAK DI INDONESIA Handoko, Iwan; Aimon, hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the effect of the tax revenue, money supply, employment, consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to Indonesia's economy, (2) the effect of the economy, poverty level, the policy of taxing (Act No.36 of 2008) to tax revenues in Indonesia. This research is descriptive and associative. While this type of data is the documentary data and the data source is a secondary data in the form of time series from 1970-2012. Research use simultaneous equation model analysis of Two Stage Least Squared method (TLS). The result of study that (1) Variable of tax revenue, money supply, employment, consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports influential positive and significant towards the economy in Indonesia. (2) the economic variables, poverty level, and policy of taxing influential positive and significant towards tax revenues. Based on these results the policies that can be recommended is that the government needs to increase the real sector productivity (output) through incentives such as tax reduction, given the ease of investment regulations, and improve the quality and quantity of export product diversification. Determination of the amount of tax revenue target should pay more attention to macroeconomic indicators, while the increase in institutional functioning of the Directorate General of Taxes, Ministry of Finance in order to focus on the implementation and improvement of tax administration measures. Keywords: Economy, tax revenues, government spending, income per capita, the policy of taxing
ANALISIS KURS DAN MONEY SUPPLY DI INDONESIA Oktavia, Adek Laksmi; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
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Abstract

ABSTRACT This  article focused on  analyze (1) Effect of the money supply, income, domestic interest rates, inflation and the trade balance to the exchange rate in Indonesia. (2) The influence of domestic interest rates, output and  the exchange rate on the money supply in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2000 – IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the money supply have a significant and positive impact on the exchange rate, incomes have significant and positive impact on the exchange rate, domestic interest rates significantly and negatively on the exchange rate and inflation have a significant and positive impact on the exchange rate. While the trade balance is not significant and negative effect on the exchange rate in Indonesia. If the money supply increases, the exchange rate will also increase or depreciate. If income increases, the exchange rate will depreciate. If the domestic  interest rate increases, the exchange rate will appreciate. If inflation increases, the exchange rate will also depreciate. (2) domestic interest rates, output,  and the exchange rate significantly influence the money supply in Indonesia. Keywords : Income, Domestic Interest Rates, Inflation, Trade Balance, Output, Exchange Rate and Money Supply
ANALISIS PERUBAHAN KURS RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLLAR AMERIKA Wati, Yeni
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
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Abstract

The research aims to identify and analyze (1) effect of inflation to the fluctuation of Rupiah exchange rate against US dollar  and (2) effect of interest rate to the  fluctuation of Rupiah exchange rate against US dollar.  Data used in the research are quarterly time series data, namely in period from 1998-II to 2012-.IV. The analysis tools used in this research are multivariate linear regression. The result of this research concluded that the variables of inflation have significant and negative impact to rupiah exchange rate against US dollar. Variable interest rate have significant and positive impact to rupiah exchange rate. Policy implications of the result of this study are Bank Indonesia as monetary authorities need to be careful in raising the BI rate as measures to prevent collapse of the rupiah against USD.Bank Indonesia also needs to pay attention to the inflation rate can affect the growth rate of the economy and the exchange rate in relation to trade with foreign countries.