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INDONESIA
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Published by Universitas Negeri Padang
ISSN : -     EISSN : -     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 65 Documents
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FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DAN NET EKSPOR DI INDONESIA Febriyenti, Mega; Aimon, Hasdi; Azhar, Zul
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of net exports, foreign debt, FDI, and foreign reserves previously period against reserves in Indonesia. (2) the influence of the economy, the economy and the foreign exchange rate on net exports in Indonesia. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis with Indirect Least Squared method (ILS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2011. The research concludes that (1) Net exports, external debt and international reserves prior period reserves in Indonesia affected significantly. While the FDI variable does not affect reserves in Indonesia are significantly (2) Indonesia's economy, the Japanese economy and the exchange rate significantly affects net exports in Indonesia. Based on these results the policies recommended to the government of which the export should be developed by the excess exports over imports would benefit the government by increasing foreign exchange reserves, the need to foster a harmonious working relationship with trading partners, the need for trade policy strategy, especially in partner mediversifikasi major trading for export. Keyword : Foreign Reserves, Net Exports, Foreign Debt, FDI, Indonesia's economy, Japan's economy, Exchange
ANALISIS DETERMINAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI DI INDONESIA Satrianto, Alpon
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to determine (1) the effect of foreign debt, economic growth, exchange rates, oil prices, inflation and interest rates to the budget deficit in Indonesia. (2) the effect of the budget deficit, net exports, foreign exchange reserves, FDI, and savings investment gap on foreign debt in Indonesia. While this type of data is data documentary, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2014. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Indirect Two Stage Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study is the budget deficit and foreign debt. Whereas exogenous variables are economic growth, exchange rates, oil prices, inflation, interest rates, net exports, FDI, investment and savings gap and foreign interest rates. The study concluded that (1) foreign debt, economic growth, exchange rates, oil prices, inflation, and interest rates have a significant effect on the budget deficit in Indonesia. (2) budget deficit, net exports, foreign exchange reserves, FDI, and savings investment gap significantly influence the foreign debt in Indonesia. In other words, when the budget deficit rose, net exports declined, foreign exchange reserves decreased, FDI down, as well as foreign interest rates also decreased the budget deficit will increase. However, variables and savings investment gap does not significantly influence foreign debt in Indonesia. Based on these results the policies that can be recommended increase economic growth as measures to reduce the budget deficit, stabilize the prices of basic necessities that inflation is under control, keeping the exchange rate certainty so that exporters are not at a loss as well as the interest rate that can keep the investment climate. The conditions are expected to emerge from the economic certainty that may increase the state budget so avoid the problem of budget deficit. In addition, a reduction in the dependence on foreign debt can be achieved with fiscal discipline, maintain the balance of payments deficit, the reduction of foreign debt abroad and trying to divert the foreign debt into the country. Keywords : Budget Deficit, Foreign Debt  
PROSPEK PERDAGANGAN INTERNASIONAL DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA Doni, Amsah Hendri; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

Abstract This article focused on analyse (1) influence of labor force, exchange rate, consumer price index, policy of tariff import and growth of economics to international trade in Indonesia (2) influence of kapital net, labor force, and international trade to growth of economics in Indonesia.Data used time series data of (I year kuartal 1990  -  IV year kuartal 2009). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stages Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research conclude that (1) labor force, exchange rate, consumer price index, and policy of import tariff have an effect on by signifikan to international trade in Indonesia. The increase of to labor force, rate, consumer price index, and policy of import tariff will be the increase of international trade in Indonesia and conversely. While growth of economics do not have an effect on signifikan to international trade in Indonesia (2) kapital net, labor force, and international trade have an effect on signifikan to growth of economics in Indonesia. If kapital net, labor force, and international trade is increase of hence growth of economics in Indonesia will experience of improvement and conversely. Keyword: international trade, growth of economics, labor force, exchange rate, ihk, and capital net.
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKSI INDUSTRI KECIL DI KABUPATEN KERINCI Ismanto, Hadi; Syofyan, Efrizal; Yulhendri, Yulhendri
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 05 (2014): Kajian Ilmu EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of: (1) working capitalto small industrial production in the Kerinci regency, (2) the raw material for theproduction of small industries in Kerinci regency (3) labor to the production ofsmall industries in the district of Kerinci (4) goverment policy to small industrialproduction in the Kerinci regency (5) working capital, raw materials, labortogether and goverment policy to yield a small industrial production in theKerinci regency. research data in the form of panel data from 2006 - 2010 with 12districts in Kerinci (n = 60). This research uses the methods of analysis toolsOrdinary Least Squared (OLS). The dependent variable in the study was smallindustrial production. While the independent variable in this study is workingcapital, raw materials labor and goverment policy. The research concludes thatthe working capital significantly influence the results of a small industrialproduction in the Kerinci regency. Then, the value of raw materials alsosignificantly influence the results of a small industrial production in the Kerinciregency. In addition, labor does not significantly influence the results of a smallindustrial production in the Kerinci regency. So, goverment policy alsosignificantly influence the results of a small industrial production in the Kerinciregency. Based on these results the policies can be suggested that employers mustincrease their working capital in order to smooth the production process so thatthe yield can always be improved. Particularly through local government to localgovernment Kerinci can simplify and guarantee the existence of raw materialssmall industries that exist in the Kerinci regency. In addition, small industrialentrepreneurs are expected to also have alternative raw materials to maintain theavailability of basic raw materials.Keywords: Small Industrial Production, Working Capital, Raw Materials andLabor
ANALISIS PASAR OBLIGASI PEMERINTAH DI INDONESIA Hastin, Mira; Idris, Idris; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of the budget deficit, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), and demand of the government bonds to the issuances of the government bonds in Indonesia. (2) The influence certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), bond price, (Composite Stock Price Index) IHSG, and supply of the government bonds to demand of the government bonds in Indonesia. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2004 – IV year kuartal 2011). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the budget deficit have a significant and positive impact on supply of the government bonds, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) and demand of the government bonds significantly and negatively influence on issuances of government bonds. (2) The influence certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI) have a significant and positive impact on demand of government bonds, IHSG  and supply of the government bonds significantly and negatively on demand of  government bonds in Indonesia. While the bond price is not significant and negative effect  on demand of the government bonds in Indonesia. Keywords : budget deficit, official foreign borrowing, certificate of Bank Indonesia (SBI), bond price, (Composite Stock Price Index) IHSG, demand of the government bonds, and spply of the government bonds
Suatu Kajian Tentang Manajemen Hutang Indonesia Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, DAN INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI INDONESIA Juita, Popy Citra; Wardi, Yunia; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze (1) Influence of investment, inflation and the exchange rate of the economic growth in Indonesia. (2) Effect of exchange rate, money supply, interest rates and economic growth SBI on stock prices in Indonesia. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tools using Indirect Least Squares (ILS). The study concluded that (1) investment and exchange rate jointly significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while inflation is not significant and negative effect on economic growth in Indonesia. (2) the exchange rate, money supply, interest rate SBI and economic pertunbuhan significant effect on stock price index in Indonesia. This study only uses five macroeconomic variables, so that further research needs to find other macroeconomic variables that presumably affect the economic growth and stock prices. Keywords:investment,inflation,exchange rate,money supply,interest rate,economic growth and stock prices
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENAWARAN DAN PERMINTAAN KREDIT MODAL KERJA PADA BANK UMUM DI SUMATERA BARAT Amelia, Noli; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aimed to analyzed (1). The effect of third party funds, risk of credit(NPL), and interest rate for credit suply of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, (2). The effect of economics, interest rate, inflation, and kurs for credit demand  of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, (3). The effect third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation, and kurs for interest rate of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera. This study included type of descriptive and asotiatif. Data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2000 to te third quarter of 2014. This study using a simultaneous equations models analysis in form of Indirect Least Square (ILS). Endogen variables is credit suplay, credit demand, and interest rate. And eksogen variables is third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation and kurs. The research concludes that (1). third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), and interest rate have a significant effect on credit suply of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, (2). Inflation and interst rate have a significant effect on credit demand of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera,while economic and kurs have not a significant effect on credit demand of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera. (3) Risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation, and kurs have a significant effect for interest rate of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, while third party funds have not a significant effect interest rate of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera.Keywords : credit suply, credit demand, interest rate, third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation, and kurs
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKTIVITAS DAN TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA ME, Zulhanafi; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the influence (1) education and health on labor productivity in Indonesia. (2) productivity, economic growth, investment, government spending, wages and inflation to the unemployment rate in Indonesia. This study uses simultaneous equation model analysis tools with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2011. The research concludes that (1) health education and significant effect on productivity in Indonesia (2) produktivitias, economic growth, investment, government spending, and wages affect Indonesia's unemployment rate significantly. However, no significant effect on the inflation rate of unemployment in Indonesia. Of research. be advised the government needs to improve the quality of education as well as the budget for public health. The government needs to increase income through employment or investment opening in Indonesia, especially in the real sector Keyword : Productivity, unemployment, education, health, economic growth, investment, government spending, wages and inflation.
ANALISIS PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN JAGUNG DI INDONESIA (STUDI PERMINTAAN JAGUNG UNTUK PANGAN DAN INPUT INDUSTRI PETERNAKAN UNGGAS) Desweni, Selly Prima; Sentosa, Sri Ulfa; Idris, Idris
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze (1) the effect of the price of corn, rice, and income per capita, against demand of corn consumption in Indonesia, (2) the effect of the price of corn, harvested area and the price of grain to supply maize in Indonesia, (3) the amount of poultry industry workers, poultry population, the price of poultry and poultry prices for corn demand for industrial inputs Indonesia. This research is descriptive and associative study. While the type of data is documentary data, the data source is a secondary data, from 1983 - 2012. This study uses analysis: a) the simultaneous equation models. Endogenous variables in this study corn consumption demand, and supply of corn, exogenous variable is the price of corn, per capita income, the price of rice, harvested area, the price of grain. b). multiple linear regression model where the endogenous variables are demand of corn in poultry industry inputs while the exogenous variables are the amount of poultry industry workers, poultry population, the price of poultry feed, poultry prices. The study concluded that (1) the price of corn and negative significant effect on the level of demand for corn for household consumption Indonesia, Partially no significant difference between the positive and per capita income to the level of demand for corn in Indonesia, the price of rice a significant and positive effect on total demand for corn for household consumption in Indonesia. (2) the price of corn significant and positive impact on deals in Indonesia corn, corn harvested area of significant and positive impact on the offer of corn, grain prices and a significant positive effect on maize offers in Indonesia. (3) the number of workers poultry industry and a significant positive effect on the demand for corn inputs for poultry industry in Indonesia, poultry population does not affect the demand for corn input to the poultry industry in Indonesia, the development of the poultry feed prices and a significant negative effect on the demand for inputs corn for poultry industry in Indonesia, the price of chicken positive and significant impact on the demand for corn inputs poultry industry in Indonesia. Keywords: demand consumption for corn, supply for corn, poultry farming industry

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