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INDONESIA
Jurnal Budget
Published by Setjen DPR RI
ISSN : 25415557     EISSN : 29858879     DOI : 10.22212
Core Subject : Economy, Social,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences
Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara contains the results of research, development, studies, and thoughts in the fields of: Economy; State Budget; and Fiscal Policy.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Keuangan
Articles 147 Documents
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DAMPAK UTANG PEMERINTAH PUSAT TERHADAP KEBERLANJUTAN FISKAL INDONESIA PERIODE 1998-2017 Rastri Paramita; Jesly Yuriaty Panjaitan
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 3 No 1 (2018): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

Debt is a part of the government's fiscal policy which also being the part of the financial management policy. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of the Government Debt on fiscal sustainability during 1998-2017 and the impact of debt ratio, inflation, real interest rate dan real growth on primary balance. The study uses both qualitative and quantitative methods. The quantitative methods use accounting method and VECM method. The qualitative method uses debt ratio, primary balance ratio and debt service to income ratio. The result shows a fiscal unsustainability occurred in the periode 1998 – 2017 and there was a positive impact of debt ratio, inflation, real interest rate and real growth on primary balance. Government therefore needs to make an innovation in creating new income, to improve the quality of disbursement and to manage the debt more prudent.
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI INFLASI INTI DI INDONESIA Ratna Christianingrum; Riza Aditya Syafri
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 4 No 2 (2019): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22122/jurnalbudget.v4i2.26

Abstract

Inflation is an important macroeconomic indicator. High inflation can reduce real income, which mean there is a decrease of purchasing power. The level and volatility of Indonesia’s inflation have been higher compared with the trend in emerging market and developing country. This reseach is conducted to analyze the influence of fuel price, interest rate, GDP, gold price, IPI, exchange rate and money supply to core inflation rate in Indonesia. Data analysis was done by using Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). The result show that in short-run GDP, IPI, exchange rate, and money supply have significant effect to core inflation rate. In long-run, fuel price, GDP, and exchange rate have significant effect to core inflation rate in Indonesia.
PENGARUH VARIABEL EKONOMI MAKRO TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH Ratna Christianingrum
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 4 No 1 (2019): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

Exchange rate is an important economic indicator that has a strategic role in economy. Exchange rate movement widely influence various aspects of economy. In the efforts to maintain the exchange rate stability, recognizing the factors affecting the movements is required. This research is conducted to analyze the influence of interest rate, exchange reseve, money supply, balance of payment and inflation rate to rupiah exchange rate. Data analysis was done by using Vector Error Correction Models (VECM). The result show that in short-run Bank Indonesia rate and money supply have a significant effect to rupiah exchange rate. In long-run Bank Indonesia rate, money supply, balance of payment and inflation rate have a significant effect to rupiah exchange rate.
DEPRESIASI RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AS DAN PENGARUHNYA TERHADAP EKSPOR DAN IMPOR Juli Panglima Saragih
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 1 No 1 (2016): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

The depreciation of rupiah against US dollar will make positive and negative implications on the economy of Indonesia. This is a consequence of the open economy system and embraced free foreign exchange system. This paper aims to discuss and analize some implications of the depreciation of Indonesian rupiah upon foreign trade, foreign loans, and government reserve money. This paper uses a qualitative approach with a descriptive-analysis method supported with relevant data and references to the above topic discussed. It was concluded that condition of high depreciation of the rupiah in-mid and long-term should have to encourage surplus of foreign trade balance and decreasing import. This is a constraint on condition of rupiah’s depreciation. Moreover, depreciation of rupiah will be a benefit in competing similar products traded in international market. Depreciation of rupiah also can increase foreign direct investment to finance overall of businesses, as well as finance for development.
DAMPAK HARGA KOMODITAS TERHADAP KREDIT BERMASALAH DI INDONESIA Robby Alexander Sirait
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 5 No 1 (2020): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of commodities price on Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) in Indonesia. This study performed an analysis for the period from 2003 to 2019 by an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. The outcomes of this research suggest that commodities price influence NPLs significantly. It confirm that the level of NPLs tends to decrease when commodities price rises. Quantitatively, an increase of 1 percent in commodity prices results in a decline of NPLs by 0,862 percentage points in the short run and 4,088 in the long run. The others confirm that the level of NPLs tends to decrease when economic growth rises, exchange rate depreciates, and declining of inflation.
PENGUATAN KAPASITAS KEUANGAN NEGARA MELALUI REVISI UU PENGELOLAAN PNBP Ariesy Tri Mauleny
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 2 No 1 (2017): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

One of the government’s duties and functions in the state finance is the management of state revenue as a source of development financing. Efforts to maintain fiscal stability through increased state revenues have not been fully supported by optimal non-tax government revenue or so called locally as PNBP management. This can be seen from PNBP achievement which is still fluctuative and the correlation to the economic growth and the achievement of development indicators have not yet been shown added to the various problems that occurred in 20 years of PNBP management since the enactment of Law Number 20/1997 that demanded the completion of the Draft Law on PNBP Management. This makes this study interesting to be examined. The use of qualitative analysis and descriptive approach are expected to be able to describe the mapping of PNBP management’s problem comprehensively and to present strategic issues in the PNBP Management Bill discussion so that the strengthening of state finances can be achieved through PNBP management revision. The draft law existence on PNBP is also expected to provide legal clarity, legal certainty, legal enforceability and legal effectiveness for central and local government in manifesting decentralization that justify, effective and efficient. Discussion of PNBP’s draft law is to involve local government, which is the one that wil create PNBP and to focus on its mechanism of management.
PENGARUH NILAI KURS, INFLASI, DAN PDB TERHADAP EKSPOR TEMBAGA DI INDONESIA Rendy Alvaro
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 4 No 1 (2019): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

In the 2015-2019 National Medium-Term Development Plan, the direction of policies and strategies for developing national trade capacity are carried out through two pillars of policy direction, namely the development of domestic trade and the development of foreign trade. Due to sluggish global conditions Indonesia’s export declines significantly. This study aims to analyze the effects of Exchange Rate, Inflation and Gross Domestic Product on copper exports in Indonesia. Method to analyse effects of Exchange Rate, Inflation and Gross Domestic Product on Copper Exports in Indonesia is by using multiple regression analysis. The results of the study show that the exchange rate, inflation and GDP together have a significant effect on Indonesia's copper exports.
TRADE-OFF INFLASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN Marihot Nasution; Hafidz Huzaifah
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 1 No 1 (2016): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

This study examined the Phillips curve theory and Okun's Law in Indonesia, whether there is an agreement on two theories to the real conditions that occur in the field. Some previous studies found that unemployment has a unidirectional relationship with inflation where it is not in line with the Phillips curve theory. Similarly, the relationship between economic growth and unemployment. Earlier studies suggested that in the short term, there is a negative relationship between unemployment and economic growth. This condition is not in accordance with Okun's law. The purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between inflation, economic growth and the unemployment rate. The study will be conducted using the Granger Causality Test to look at the causal relationships between variables.
PENGARUH INDEKS KAPASITAS FISKAL (IKF) DAN INDEKS RUANG FISKAL (IRF) TERHADAP DANA PERIMBANGAN TAHUN 2015-2020 PADA 122 KABUPATEN DAERAH TERTINGGAL DI INDONESIA Slamet Widodo
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 5 No 1 (2020): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

Underdeveloped regions are characterized as regions with unavailability of natural resources which causes high financial dependence to the central government in the form of balance funds transfer. This causes the low level of autonomy of underdeveloped regions because of the lack of local revenue sources. The average Fiscal Capacity Index (IKF) of underdeveloped regions during 2015-2018 was 0,75 or in the moderate category. Some underdeveloped regions in Papua and West Papua have high IKF because of the Special Autonomy fund. In terms of fiscal space (IRF), the freedom of underdeveloped regions in determining their own spending priorities by 36% throughout 2016-2018. One of the main goals of fiscal decentralization is to eliminate horizontal gaps between regions, which in turn must be reflected in the budgeting process where regions that are more in need (underdeveloped regions) will get more allocations than other better-off regions.The purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of IKF and IRF on the balance of funds for the 2015-2018 period in 122 underdeveloped regions in Indonesia. The data used are data on balancing funds, IKF, IRF for the period 2015-2018 sourced from BPS, the Ministry of Finance, and other relevant agencies. The analysis tool uses Panel Data regression with the Fixed Effect Model. The results of the analysis show that the IKF variable has a significant positive effect on the balance fund and the IRF variable has a significant negative effect on the balance fund.
POTENSI, TANTANGAN DAN DUKUNGAN ANGGARAN DALAM OPTIMALISASI LAHAN RAWA MENJADI SAWAH UNTUK KEDAULATAN PANGAN Dahiri Dahiri
Jurnal Budget : Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara Vol 4 No 1 (2019): Jurnal Budget: Isu dan Masalah Keuangan Negara
Publisher : Pusat Kajian Anggaran

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Abstract

Availability of swamps is still very extensive to be developed into rice fields, because the total land that has been developed has only reached 1.8 million hectares or only reached 5.39 percent. The purpose of this study was to find out the potential, challenges, and budget support for the optimization of swamps into rice fields. The research methods used were exploratory and descriptive methods. The results of the study show that there was potential swamp land to be developed into rice fields. Macro waterways is a major factor in rice farming. Also, there was problem associated with the standard of construction costs. Therefore, the President as the head of government must ensure coordination and cooperation between the Ministry of Agriculture and Ministry of Public Workd and Human Settlement in the swamp land optimization program to build macro channels. The two entities must be mutually coordinated so that macro and micro channels can be well-integrated. Secondly, the Government must change the standard construction costs for paddy fields that have been used so far because they do not reflect the characteristics and level of difficulty between regions. Standard costs obtained in intervals are minimum of Rp16.546.162 to a maximum Rp31.811.067.

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