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Economic Development Analysis Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Semarang
ISSN : 22526560     EISSN : 25022725     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Focus and Scope Economic Development Analysis Journal is a scientific journal who published by Department of Economic Development, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia. this journal published four times per year on February, May, August, and November and start publishing since 2012. The journal scope is related to the research in developing countries such as a development studies, poverty adequate, inequality, unemployment studies, behavioural economics, human development problems and others economics issues. Economics Development Analysis Journal also publish an articles related to the branch of development studies, such as, industry economics, international trade, bank and financial institutions, agriculture economics, financial studies, digital economics, small and medium enterprises, and tourism economics. It also published the study of development policy such as monetary economics, public economics, macro economics, micro economics, and economics policy. Therefore, this journal also received an articles related to spatial studies such as Urban, Regional, Development planning and Rural economics. Base on the scope, Economics Development Analysis Journal welcome a multidicipline articles who related to the economics and development studies.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 13 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal" : 13 Documents clear
Impact of Trump’s Phenomenon, Brexit, & Oil Prices Fluctuation Toward Indonesia’s Economic Growth Abdul Holik
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.23747

Abstract

This paper tries to find impact of global uncertainties toward Indonesia’s economic growth. Several problems which will be discussed in this paper namely: impacts of President Donald Trump’s policies, Brexit, and uncertainty regarding crude oil prices. It conducted from 1st quarter of 2010 until 1st quarter of 2017. The method of analysis used here is VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). We use dummy variable to capture the specific change of economic policies when Brexit and Trump’s emergence appear as the major issues which attract attention around the world. We consider these as the uncertainties which influence global society. Based on the result, there is positive impact of economic policy uncertainty in UK in the long-run. When Brexit was taken into account, in the short-run, it also has positive impact toward Indonesia’s economic growth. Meanwhile economic policy uncertainty in the US generates negative impact on Indonesia’s economic growth. But Trump’s emergence in the US presidency produces positive impact in the short-run. Oil price fluctuation as the latest shock in the global context has positive significant impact on Indonesia’s economic growth. We consider these results as ways to find breakthrough in understanding of changing policies from developed countries; that not all of them will contribute to negative matters. The conjecture, hunch, and any speculation must be postponed due to lack of convincing proofs.
Rantai Nilai Cabai di Lahan Pasir Pantai Kabupaten Kulon Progo Agus Dwi Nugroho; I Made Yoga Prasada; Saraswati Kirana Putri; Herdiana Anggrasari; Pinjung Nawang Sari
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.25013

Abstract

Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengetahui rantai nilai cabai di lahan pasir pantai Kabupaten Kulon Progo. Penelitian ini dilakukan antara bulan Mei sampai Agustus 2017 di Kecamatan Panjatan, Kabupaten Kulon Progo, Provinsi Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta. Responden penelitian yakni 30 petani dan pedagang cabai. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan rantai nilai cabai di lahan pasir pantai telah berlangsung dengan baik. Indikator aliran produk, uang dan informasi termasuk dalam kategori lancar dan sangat lancar. Keberhasilan usahatani dan pemasaran cabai di lahan pasir pantai karena keberadaan pasar lelang yang mampu menjamin terjualnya produk dengan harga menguntungkan bagi petani dan pedagang. Salah satu hal yang perlu dikembangkan pasar lelang adalah perlunya kepastian informasi ketersediaan stok cabai dari petani sehingga dapat digunakan sebagai salah satu solusi untuk mengurangi fluktuasi harga cabai. Pasar lelang perlu memperluas jaringan binaan kelompok tani agar ada kontinuitas stok cabai sepanjang tahun. The value chain needs to be known by farmers or industries to increase value-added and profits of commodities, including chilli in the sandy coastal area. The purpose of this research is to know the value chain of chilli in the sandy coastal area Kulon Progo Regency. This research was conducted between May until August 2017, in Panjatan District, Kulon Progo Regency, Yogyakarta Province. The respondents were 30 farmers and traders. The results showed that the value chain of chilli in the sandy coastal area has been going well. The product, financial and information flow indicators in the smooth and very smooth categories. The success of farming and marketing of chilli in the sandy coastal area because of the existence of the auction market. It’s able to guarantee the sale of chilli with the best price for farmers and traders. To develop the auction market, its need for a certainty the availability of chilli stock from farmers so it can be used as a solution to reduce the fluctuation of chilli’s price. The auction market needs to expand the network of farmer groups to ensure continuity of chilli stock every year.
Keterkaitan Instrumen Kebijakan Moneter dengan Tingkat Pengangguran Fitrawaty Fitrawaty
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.25101

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis bagaimana interdependensi instrument kebijakan moneter dengan pengangguran di Indonesia selama periode tahun 2000 – 2011. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series yang diperoleh dari Bank Indonesia, Biro Pusat Statistik dan institusi lainnya. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Vector Auturegression (VAR) dilanjutkan dengan Struktural Vector Auturegression (SVAR). Berdasarkan hasil interpretasi VAR dan SVAR, secara khusus diperoleh bahwa keterkaitan antara instrumen moneter dengan pengangguran (UNEMP) memiliki arah yang berbeda. Variabel operasi pasar terbuka (OPT), tingkat suku bunga diskonto (rDiskonto), dan tingkat bunga domestik (rDom), mempunyai arah yang negatif terhadap variabel pengangguran, sedangkan variabel giro wajib minimum (GWM), nilai tukar (EXC) mempunyai arah yang positif. Keseluruahan instrumen moneter secara parsial berpengaruh tidak signifikan terhadap UNEMP. Begitu juga setelah dilakukan shock dengan menaikkan OPT sebesar 5% pada tahun 2010, diperoleh bahwa variabel OPT, GWM, rDiskonto, rDOM, EXC, juga tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pengangguran. This study is intended to analyze the correlation of monetary policy instruments with unemployment in Indonesia during the period 2000 - 2011. The data used are time series data obtained from Bank of Indonesia, the Central Statistics Bureau and other institutions. This study uses Vector Auto regression (VAR) method followed by Structural Vector Auto regression (SVAR). Based on the results of the interpretation of VAR and SVAR, it was found that the relationship between monetary instruments with unemployment (UNEMP) had different directions. Open market operations variable (OMO), discounted interest rates variable(discount), and domestic interest rates variable (FDOM), have a negative correlation to the unemployment variable, while the statutory reserve requirement (GWM), exchange rate (EXC) variables have a positive correlation. The partiality of monetary instruments has no significant effect on UNEMP. Likewise, after the shock of increasing OPT by 5% in 2010, it was found that the OMO variable, GWM, discount, FDOM, and EXC, also had no significant effects on unemployment.
Measuring Moral Hazard Behaviour and its Determinants Within Credit Installment Agus Arifin; FX. Sugiyanto; Wahyu Widodo
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.25976

Abstract

Non performing loans (NPL) is an indicator of debtor’s inability in credit repayment which indicates the presence of asymmetric information that might cause moral hazard. This research aims to measure the level of moral hazard and its determinants of micro and small enterprises debtors of Bank Jateng which have NPL. The data were collected from 58 debtors who were selected using simple random sampling. Rating scale method was used to measure the level of moral hazard while regression was used to analyze variables determining moral hazard. The research found that (1) the level of debtor’s moral hazard tends to be medium-to-high, (2) bank monitoring, debtor’s age, and business size are significant variables determining moral hazard. Hence, the research suggests that (1) the bank needs to apply some specific treatments to debtors with high moral hazard, (2) bank monitoring needs to be increased thus debtors are not comfortable to carry out moral hazard, (3) young debtors tend to be more daring to do moral hazard hence it needs special attention and treatment to them, (4) the debtors with larger scale business have the potential to do moral hazard therefore treatment needs to be differentiated with the smaller ones.
Analisis Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Industri Tekstil dan Produk Tekstil di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Moch Rizkhi Apriliyanto; Rusdarti Rusdarti
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.27718

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis seberapa besar pengaruh jumlah industri, upah, dan nilai produksi secara parsial dan simultan terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja pada industri tekstil dan produk tekstil di Provinsi Jawa Tengah. Data penelitian yang digunakan adalah data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jawa Tengah dengan periode tahun 1985-2014. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi berganda dengan alat bantu analisis yang digunakan eviews 8. Hasil analisis dapat diketahui bahwa upah dan nilai produksi berpengaruh signifikan sedangkan varibel jumlah industri tidak berpengaruh signifikan This study aims to analyze how much influence the number of industries, wages, and production value partially and simultaneously on employment in the textile industry and textile products in Central Java province. The research data used are secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency of Central Java province with the period 1985-2014 which is then processed by using multiple regression analysis with analysis tools used eviews 8. From the analysis it can be seen that the wages and the value of production significantly effected while the variable number of industries had no significantly effected.
Analisis Mekanisme Transmisi Kebijakan Moneter Jalur Ekspektasi dalam Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Indonesia Ilma Ulfatul Janah; Amin Pujiati
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.27719

Abstract

Tujuan dari Penelitian ini untuk menganalisis dan mengetahui alur dari mekanisme transmisi kebijakan moneter jalur ekspektasi dalam mempengaruhi inflasi di Indonesia, pengaruh jangka panjang dan jangka pendek serta guncangan variabel suku bunga, nilai tukar, ekspektasi inflasi, output gap dan PDB terhadap inflasi di Indonesia. Variabel yang digunakan adalah BI Rate, Nilai Tukar, Ekspektasi Inflasi, Output Gap, PDB dan Inflasi. Data yang digunakan adalah data bulanan deret waktu dari Januari 2006-Juni 2016 yang bersumber dari Bank Indonesia dan Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dengan menggunakan alat analisis Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa alur mekanisme transmisi kebijakan moneter jalur ekspektasi dalam mempengaruhi inflasi di Indonesia berjalan berkesinambungan dengan ditunjukan adanya hubungan dua arah antara variabel nilai tukar dan inflasi. Pada jangka pendek variabel BI Rate, Nilai Tukar dan Output Gap signifikan dan berpengaruh positif terhadap inflasi, variabel ekspektasi inflasi signifikan dan berpengaruh terhadap inflasi dan variabel PDB tidak signifikan terhadap inflasi di Indonesia, sedangkan dalam jangka Panjang variabel yang berpengaruh terhadap laju inflasi hanya BI Rate dan ekspektasi inflasi. The purpose of this research is to analyze and know the flow of monetary policy transmission mechanism of expectation line in influencing inflation in Indonesia, to analyze and to know the influence of long-term and short-term and the shocks of interest rate, exchange rate, inflation expectations, output gap and GDP on inflation in Indonesia. The variables used in this research are BI Rate, Exchange Rate, Inflation Expectation, Output Gap, GDP and Inflation. The data used in this research is monthly data of time series from January 2006 until June 2016 which come from Bank Indonesia (BI) and Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). The method used in this research is Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The result of research indicates that: The flow of monetary policy transmission mechanism of expectation line in influencing inflation in Indonesia runs continuously with indicated the existence of two-way relationship between exchange rate and inflation variable, in the short term, the BI Rate, Exchange Rate and Output Gap are significant and positively affect inflation, inflation expectation variables are significant and affect inflation and GDP variable is insignificant to inflation in Indonesia, while in long run variable affecting inflation rate Only the BI Rate and inflation expectations.
Valuasi Ekonomi dan Strategi Pengembangan Wisata Alam Pendakian dan Mawar Camp Area Muhammad Izzuddin Furqony
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.27720

Abstract

Basecamp Mawar Gunung Ungaran adalah salah satu potensi destinasti wisata di Kabupaten Semarang. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengidentifikasi variabel apa saja yang mempengaruhi permintaan kunjungan, menghitung valuasi ekonomi melalui pendekatan travel cost dan menentukan strategi yang dapat diterapkan untuk pengembangan Basecamp Mawar. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi linear berganda, analisis valuasi ekonomi melalui individual travel cost dan analisis SWOT. Hasil menunjukkan variabel akses, motivasi perjalanan dan biaya perjalanan berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan variabel pendapatan tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan kunjungan Basecamp Mawar. Hasil analisis valuasi ekonomi berdasarkan travel cost pengunjung menunjukkan bahwa valuasi ekonomi total sebesar Rp 8.212.546.988,73 per tahun. Analisis strategi menggunakan SWOT menunjukkan bahwa strategi yang dapat diterapkan adalah meningkatkan fasilitas dan pelayanan, menjaga dan melestarikan alam, promosi dan kerjasama dengan pihak swasta dan pemerintah. Basecamp Mawar Gunung Ungaran is one of the potential tourist destinations in Semarang regency. The purpose of this study is to identify what variables affect the demand of visits, calculate the economic valuations through the travel cost approach and determine the strategies that can be applied to the development of Rose Basecamp. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis, economic valuation analysis through individual travel cost and SWOT analysis. The result shows that access variables, travel motivation and travel cost have significant effect, while income variable has no significant effect to the request of Basecamp Mawar visit. The result of economic valuation analysis based on travel cost of visitors shows that the total economic valuation is Rp 8,212,546,988,73 per year. Strategy analysis using SWOT shows that the strategies that can be applied are improving facilities and services, preserving and preserving nature, promotion and cooperation with private and government parties.
Dampak Kebijakan Loan to Value dan Variabel Makroekonomi terhadap Permintaan Kredit Pemilikan Rumah Sandi Atmaja Siravati
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.27721

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis pengaruh suku bunga kredit, inflasi, pertumbuhan ekonomi, loan to deposit ratio, loan to value terhadap permintaan kredit pemilikan rumah di Jawa Tengah. Variabel dalam penelitian ini adalah permintaan kredit pemilikan rumah, suku bunga kredit, inflasi, pertumbuhan ekonomi, loan to deposit ratio, loan to value. Data dianalisis dengan metode kuantitatif. Alat yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa suku bunga kredit dan inflasi berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap permintaan kredit pemilikan rumah di Jawa Tengah. Pertumbuhan ekonomi dan loan to deposit ratio berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kredit pemilikan rumah di Jawa Tengah. Loan to value tidak berpengaruh terhadap permintaan kredit pemilikan rumah di Jawa Tengah.. The purpose of this study is to know and analyze the effect of credit interest rates, inflation, economic growth, loan to deposit ratio, loan to value to mortgages demand in Central Java. The sample of this study is mortgages demand, credit interest rates, inflation, economic growth, loan to deposit ratio, loan to value. The collect data was analyzed using quantitative method. This study used multiple linear regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that the credit interest rates and inflation is negative and significant effect towards mortgages demand in Central Java. Economic growth and loan to deposit ratio of positive and significant effect towards the mortgages in Central Java. Loan to value has no effect towards mortgages demand in Central Java.
Analisis Permintaan Wisatawan Nusantara pada Objek Wisata Pantai Klayar Kabupaten Pacitan Duyu Furohmah; Andryan Setyadharma
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.27722

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh variabel biaya perjalanan, variabel pendapatan individu, variabel lama perjalanan, variabel jarak, variabel fasilitas-fasilitas, variabel karakteristik masyarakat dan variabel keindahan alam Pantai Klayar terhadap jumlah permintaan objek wisata Pantai Klayar. Pantai Klayar dipilih karena memiliki potensi wisata tetapi tidak didukung oleh kemudahan akses untuk mencapai kawasan wisata. Sampel penelitian ini sebanyak 100 responden. Teknik pengambilan sampel pada penelitian ini menggunakan sampel rumus Slovin. Metode analisis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah regresi linier berganda. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa variabel biaya perjalanan ke objek wisata pantai klayar berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap jumlah permintaan ke objek wisata Pantai Klayar. Variabel Pendapatan individu dan variabel fasilitas-fasilitas berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap jumlah permintaan ke objek wisata Pantai Klayar. Variabel lama perjalanan berpengaruh negatif namun tidak signifikan terhadap jumlah permintaan ke objek wisata Pantai Klayar. Variabel jarak dan variabel Karakteristik masyarakat berpengaruh positif namun tidak signifikan terhadap jumlah permintaan objek wisata Pantai Klayar. This study aims to analyze the effect of travel cost variables, individual income variables, long travel variables, distance variables, facility variables, community characteristics variables and natural beauty variables Klayar Beach on the number of requests Klayar beach attractions. Klayar beach was chosen because it has tourism potential but is not supported by the ease of access to reach the tourist area. The sample of this research is 100 respondents. The sampling technique in this study used Slovin formula samples. The results of this study indicate that the variable cost of travel to coastal tourist attraction klayar negative and significant impact on the number of requests to the Beach attractions Klayar. Individual income variables and facility variables have positive and significant influence on the number of requests to Klayar Beach tourist attraction. The variable of the duration of the trip had a negative but insignificant effect on the number of requests to the Klayar Coast tourist attraction. Variable distance and variable Characteristics of society have a positive but not significant influence on the number of requests Klayar Beach tourist attractive.
Analisis Pola Rantai Distribusi Alternatif Perikanan Tangkap di Kabupaten Kendal Assafrul Ali Adhim; Etty Soesilowati
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.27724

Abstract

Tujuan penelitian ini untuk mengetahui pola rantai distribusi perikanan, margin keuntungan setiap pelaku tata niaga perikanan, dan mencarikan model distribusi alternatif untuk perikanan tangkap laut di Kabupaten Kendal. Metode yang digunakan yaitu pendekatan deskriptif kuantitatif guna untuk mengetahui pola rantai distribusi perikanan, margin pemasaran, dan penentuan model distribusi alternatif. Jenis data yaitu data sekunder, dan data primer yang di ambil langsung dari 93 nelayan, 50 pedagang pengecer, 35 pedagang sedang, dan 10 pedagang besar. Teknik pengumpulan data yang digunakan yaitu interview, kuesioner, observasi, dan studi pustaka. Hasil dalam penelitian ini yaitu sekurang-kurangnya terdapat tiga pola distribusi namun hanya ada dua pola yang paling dominan yaitu pola pertama: nelayan ke pedagang sedang ke pedagang besar ke pabrik atau pasar tradisional. Pola yang kedua yaitu nelayan ke pedagang sedang ke pedagang pengecer ke konsumen akhir. Margin pemasaran untuk Cumi-cumi tertinggi terjadi pada pedagang besar (21%), Pedagang sedang (8,6%), dan pedagang pengecer (5,7%). Udang tertinggi pada pedagang besar (13,7%), pedagang sedang (5%), pedagang pengecer (3,9%). Ikan Kembung tertinggi pada pedagang besar (31%), pedagang pengecer (11%), pedagang sedang (9%). The purpose of this research is to know the pattern of fishery distribution chain, profit margin of every fishery trading actors, and to find alternative distribution model for marine catch fishery in Kendal Regency. The method used is quantitative descriptive approach in order to know the pattern of fishery distribution chain, marketing margin, and the determination of alternative distribution model. The types of data are secondary data, and primary data taken directly from 93 fishermen, 50 retailers, 35 medium traders, and 10 wholesalers. Data collection techniques used were interview, questionnaire, observation, and literature study. The result of this research is that there are at least three distribution patterns but there are only two most dominant patterns, namely the first pattern: fishermen to medium traders to wholesalers to factories or traditional markets. The second pattern is the fisherman to the merchant is to the retailer to the end consumer. The highest marketing margin for Squid occurred in wholesalers (21%), Traders (8.6%), and retailers (5.7%). The highest shrimp on wholesalers (13.7%), medium traders (5%), retailers (3.9%). The highest stocks were in big traders (31%), retailers (11%), traders (9%).

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