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Supply Response of Paddy in East Java: Policy Implications to Increase Rice Production Prasada, Imade Yoga; Dhamira, Aura; Nugroho, Agus Dwi
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 4, No 2: July-December 2018
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

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An increasing population in recent decades has led to the need for increasing the availability of food, so it is necessary to increase the production of paddy as quickly as possible. The aim of this research was to know the supply response of paddy in East Java to various price factors and non-price factors. In this research, the supply response was estimated by the paddy harvest areas in East Java using Cobb-Douglas model and Nerlove partial adjustment, and econometric analysis including stationarity test, cointegration test, and Error Correction Model (ECM). The data used in this research consisted of paddy harvest areas, grain price, corn price, irrigated land area and rainfall amount from 1991 to 2015. The speed of short-term adjustment to the long-term supply of rice was 2.79% and was corrected in the next period. In the short run, all variables did not have a high responsiveness to paddy supply, but in the long run, the irrigation area was very responsive to paddy supply in East Java with a value of elasticity of 1.79. Supply of paddy can be increased by increasing the real price of unhulled rice, the irrigated land, and harvested area of the previous period.

PERFORMANCE AND FORECAST OF INDONESIAN RUBBER EXPORTS TO THE CENTRAL EUROPEAN COUNTRIES Agus Dwi Nugroho; Imade Yoga Prasada; Zoltan Lakner
Jurnal PPI Dunia Vol 5 No 1 (2022)
Publisher : OISAA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52162/jie.2022.005.01.8

The price and consumption of rubber experienced a decline due to the global economic crisis, the US-China trade war, and coronavirus. This situation is unprofitable for Indonesia, and it must develop new target markets. Central Europe is one of the potential markets for Indonesian rubber. This study aims to ascertain the performance of the Indonesian rubber exports to Central European countries and forecast its future. The research used Indonesian rubber export data to Hungary, Poland, and Romania from January 1999 to March 2021. Descriptive statistics and autoregressive integrated moving averages were used to analyze the data. In the last three decades, Indonesian rubber exports to Central Europe have risen. The short-term forecasting indicates that Indonesian rubber exports to Poland will increase; on the other hand, exports to Romania will experience a decline. Meanwhile, exports to Hungary were relatively stable. This result was obtained using ARIMA estimation with different models for each country, respectively ARIMA(1,0,5) in Poland, ARIMA(2,0,1) in Romania, and ARIMA(2,0,1) in Hungary.

AVAILABILITY OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND FULFILLMENT OF POPULATION FOOD NEEDS IN URBAN REGION (Case Study of Pekalongan City, Tengah Jawa) Imade Yoga Prasada; Masyhuri Masyhuri
Agricultural Socio-Economics Journal Vol 20, No 1 (2020): JANUARY
Publisher : Socio-Economics/Agribusiness Department

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/ub.agrise.2020.020.1.5

The availability of agricultural land in urban areas has an important role in ensuring the availability of food for the population. The urban sprawl phenomenon that occurs in urban areas encourages the availability of agricultural land to experience shrinkage over time. Therefore, this study aims to determine the trend of the development of the area of agricultural land in Pekalongan City, and its impact on the fulfillment the food needs of the population. This study used a sample of urban areas in Pekalongan City using purposive sampling method and the data used are secondary data sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Food Security and Extension Agency (BKPP) in 1989 until 2017. The data used in this study are data agricultural land area, rice production, population, and consumption per capita of rice in Pekalongan City, as well as factor data for conversion of rice to rice. Furthermore, all data is processed and then analyzed using trend analysis. The results showed that the area of agricultural land in Pekalongan City is decreasing over time. Moreover, it followed by the quantity of rice offered that also have a downward trend. In addition, the demand trend of the population's rice also declined due to the decline of rice consumption per capita population in Pekalongan City during the period 1989 to 2017.

Supply Response of Paddy in East Java: Policy Implications to Increase Rice Production Imade Yoga Prasada; Aura Dhamira; Agus Dwi Nugroho
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 4, No 2: July-December 2018
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

An increasing population in recent decades has led to the need for increasing the availability of food, so it is necessary to increase the production of paddy as quickly as possible. The aim of this research was to know the supply response of paddy in East Java to various price factors and non-price factors. In this research, the supply response was estimated by the paddy harvest areas in East Java using Cobb-Douglas model and Nerlove partial adjustment, and econometric analysis including stationarity test, cointegration test, and Error Correction Model (ECM). The data used in this research consisted of paddy harvest areas, grain price, corn price, irrigated land area and rainfall amount from 1991 to 2015. The speed of short-term adjustment to the long-term supply of rice was 2.79% and was corrected in the next period. In the short run, all variables did not have a high responsiveness to paddy supply, but in the long run, the irrigation area was very responsive to paddy supply in East Java with a value of elasticity of 1.79. Supply of paddy can be increased by increasing the real price of unhulled rice, the irrigated land, and harvested area of the previous period.

Farmers’ Willingness to Accept a Compensation to Protect Agricultural Land Sustainability in Peri-Urban Areas of Pekalongan City Imade Yoga Prasada; Masyhuri Masyhuri
Agro Ekonomi Vol 30, No 2 (2019): DECEMBER 2019
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/ae.48869

Agricultural land is a land that has a relatively low rental value, so agricultural land is very vulnerable to be converted. Therefore, this research was conducted with the aim 1) to know farmers’ willingness to accept a compensation to protect agricultural land sustainability, 2) to know the factors that influence farmers' willingness to accept / reject WTA, and 3) to know the factors that influence the WTA value of farmers’ in the peri-urban areas. The study was conducted in the peri-urban areas of Pekalongan City. The research respondents were 90 farmer owners and cultivators. The research data was analyzed by using Heckman's two-stage model. The results showed that farmers’ WTA in the peri-urban areas of Pekalongan City amounted to IDR 7,217,827.27 per year. Factors that influence farmers’ willingness to accept or reject compensation are the distance of the agricultural land to the main road and farmers' perceptions toward the sustainability of agricultural land in the peri-urban areas. Factors that influence the number of farmers’ WTA to be willing to protect the agricultural land in the peri-urban areas of Pekalongan City are farmers’ farm income and farming experience of the farmers. Sustainability of agricultural land in the suburbs of Pekalongan City can be maintained by taking into account the facilities and infrastructure needed by farmers who own agricultural land both far and close to the main road, increasing farmers' perceptions of the sustainability of agricultural land, increasing farm income and reducing the risk of farming production.

Strategi Pengembangan IKM Batk di Luar Jawa Riesma Andiani; Alia Bihrajihant Raya; Agus Dwi Nugroho; Abi Pratiwa Siregar; Imade Yoga Prasada; Fairuz Indana; Theresia Gracia Simbolon; Agustina Tri Kinasih
Dinamika Kerajinan dan Batik: Majalah Ilmiah Vol 37, No 2 (2020): DINAMIKA KERAJINAN DAN BATIK : MAJALAH ILMIAH
Publisher : Balai Besar Kerajinan dan Batik

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22322/dkb.v37i2.5992

Perkembangan industri-industri kecil dan menengah (IKM) batik di luar Jawa masih mengalami berbagai kendala, beberapa diantaranya terkait bahan baku, sumber daya manusia, pemasaran dan lain sebagainya. Pengakuan UNESCO terhadap batik di Indonesia sebagai warisan budaya yang harus dilestarikan membuat masyarakat dan pemerintah berupaya menciptakan strategi yang aplikatif. Penyusunan strategi tersebut dimulai dari segi industri, pemasaran, SDM, maupun lingkungan. Perumusan strategi didasarkan pada kekuatan, kelemahan, peluang dan ancaman IKM yang ditemukan sebagai data penelitian. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan tujuan untuk membuat pemetaan IKM dengan meninjau dari segi kekuatan, kelemahan, peluang dan ancaman. Metode yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah kualitatif deskriptif dengan menggunakan analisis SWOT. Pengambilan data dilakukan dengan wawancara mendalam kepada responden dari Dinas Perindustrian dan IKM batik. Responden ditentukan secara purpossive sampling pada 22 provinsi di Indonesia yang memiliki IKM batik. Hasil berupa data kondisi dan permasalahan IKM pada masing-masing daerah. Dari hasil penelitian, didapatkan bahwa masih banyak kendala yang dialami oleh IKM batik di Indonesia mulai dari produk, pemasaran, SDM, modal, maupun lingkungan. Strategi yang dirumuskan antara lain penguatan batik khas daerah, pemanfaatan teknologi informasi untuk pemasaran, peningkatan intensitas pelatihan SDM, pengembangan IPAL, serta penggunaan pewarna alam dan lain sebagainya.

Determinants of poverty rate in Java Island: Poverty alleviation policy Imade Yoga Prasada; Tri Fatma Mala Yulhar; Tia Alfina Rosa
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 18, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v18i2.11664

Poverty is currently a major problem that must be resolved in various regions in Indonesia, including areas in Java. Java Island is the island with the highest number of poor people compared to other islands in Indonesia. The aim of this study was to determine the determinants of poverty levels in Java and formulate policy recommendations that can be implied to overcome poverty. Research variables have used secondary data from six provinces in Java sourced from the Central Statistics Agency, namely poverty level data, Human Development Index (HDI), inflation rate data, open unemployment rate data, and Regional Minimum Wage data (UMR). The data was compiled into panel data and analyzed using OLS Model. The analysis showed that the determinants of poverty levels in Java were inflation rates, Human Development Index, Regional Minimum Wages, and open unemployment rates, so that all determinants need to be considered properly to formulate policy recommendations that able to overcome poverty in Java.

AVAILABILITY OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AND FULFILLMENT OF POPULATION FOOD NEEDS IN URBAN REGION (Case Study of Pekalongan City, Tengah Jawa) Imade Yoga Prasada; Masyhuri Masyhuri
Agricultural Socio-Economics Journal Vol. 20 No. 1 (2020): JANUARY
Publisher : Socio-Economics/Agribusiness Department

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/ub.agrise.2020.020.1.5

The availability of agricultural land in urban areas has an important role in ensuring the availability of food for the population. The urban sprawl phenomenon that occurs in urban areas encourages the availability of agricultural land to experience shrinkage over time. Therefore, this study aims to determine the trend of the development of the area of agricultural land in Pekalongan City, and its impact on the fulfillment the food needs of the population. This study used a sample of urban areas in Pekalongan City using purposive sampling method and the data used are secondary data sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics and the Food Security and Extension Agency (BKPP) in 1989 until 2017. The data used in this study are data agricultural land area, rice production, population, and consumption per capita of rice in Pekalongan City, as well as factor data for conversion of rice to rice. Furthermore, all data is processed and then analyzed using trend analysis. The results showed that the area of agricultural land in Pekalongan City is decreasing over time. Moreover, it followed by the quantity of rice offered that also have a downward trend. In addition, the demand trend of the population's rice also declined due to the decline of rice consumption per capita population in Pekalongan City during the period 1989 to 2017.

DAYA SAING DAN PERAMALAN EKSPOR MEBEL KAYU INDONESIA DI PASAR UNI EROPA Imade Yoga Prasada; Ami Nilmala Hanung; Rizqika Puspajanati
Journal of Data Science Theory and Application Vol. 1 No. 2 (2022): JAsTa
Publisher : LP3M Universitas Putra Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32639/jasta.v1i2.139

Indonesia merupakan salah satu negara eksportir produk kayu dan olahannya. Akan tetapi, selama beberapa tahun terakhir persaingan antar negara penghasil produk mebel kayu semakin meningkat. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini dilakukan dengan tujuan untuk mengetahui daya saing ekspor produk mebel kayu Indonesia di Pasar Uni Eropa dan meramalkan daya saing ekspor produk tersebut. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder yang bersumber dari Eurostat. Daya saing ekspor ditentukan dengan menggunakan indikator indeks RCA (Revealed Comparative Advantage), sedangkan peramalan dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average). Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa produk mebel kayu Indonesia di Pasar Uni Eropa memiliki daya saing yang kuat dan cenderung akan mengalami peningkatan pada periode Januari 2020 hingga Desember 2020.

VOLATILITAS HARGA JAMBU KRISTAL DI KABUPATEN KEBUMEN Imade Yoga Prasada; Irawan Wibisonya; Larasati Puspita Saridewi; Ayu Putri Merry Anisya
Journal of Data Science Theory and Application Vol. 2 No. 1 (2023): JAsTa
Publisher : LP3M Universitas Putra Bangsa

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Kebumen merupakan salah satu sentra penghasil komoditas jambu kristal. Hal ini didorong oleh tingginya produksi dan produktivitas jambu kristal di Kabupaten Kebumen. Meskipun demikian, pergerakan harga komoditas jambu kristal di tingkat petani masih sangat tinggi. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui volatilitas harga jambu kristal di tingkat petani di Kabupaten Kebumen. Data yang digunakan pada penelitian ini merupakan data sekunder yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Data selanjutnya dianalisis dengan menggunakan model ARCH-GARCH. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa harga jambu kristal di tingkat petani di Kabupaten Kebumen memiliki volatilitas yang tinggi. Selain itu, harga jambu kristal di tingkat petani juga cenderung sensitive terhadap guncangan harga.

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