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AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research
Published by Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta
ISSN : 2407814X     EISSN : 25279238     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy, Agriculture, Social,
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences
AGRARIS is devoted to promote excellent articles on agribusiness, agricultural economics, and rural development that present original findings of contemporary research project.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 8 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue "Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022" : 8 Documents clear
The Use of Intervention Approach in Individual and Aggregate Forecasting Methods for Burger Patties: A Case in Indonesia Rendayu Jonda Neisyafitri; Pornthipa Ongkunaruk
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (13.677 KB) | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.12842

Abstract

The Indonesian beef consumption increases sharply during Ramadan and made a difference between supply and demand. The research aimed to study the demand pattern of burger patties and determine a suitable forecasting method compared between quantitative and intervention forecasting methods. The actual demand was intervened by experts based on reasons such as supply shortage, holidays, promotion, and government projects. The daily sales of burger patties were collected for a year. Then, the data were divided into training and testing data. Later, time-series forecasting was performed by software. Then, the best forecasting method for daily data was selected between Individual forecasting and Top-Down forecasting. Similarly, for weekly data, the best forecasting method was compared between aggregate forecasting and Bottom-Up forecasting. Then, repeat the process for the intervened sales data. The result revealed that the mean absolute percentage error was improved after intervention by about 3.64%-58.83%. The combination of quantitative and qualitative approaches improved forecast accuracy. In addition, the aggregate level or weekly sales forecast had higher forecast accuracy than the disaggregated level. The Bottom-Up forecast performs better than the aggregate forecast. Hence, we recommended the company plans based on weekly data and implement Every Low Price to reduce the demand fluctuation.
Production Performance among The Restitution Farm Beneficiaries in Waterberg District, South Africa Malose Moses Tjale; Marizvikuru Mwale; Beata M. Kilonzo
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (854.668 KB) | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.11276

Abstract

Farmland was regarded as the most important asset used to enhance agricultural productivity in developing countries to improve the livelihoods of restitution farm beneficiaries. Most, unfortunately, recent reports show decreased agricultural productivity in most developing countries. In South Africa, the Land restitution program was introduced to restore land to people dispossessed by apartheid government after 1913. However, production in the restitution farms has declined. This study aimed to address the non-performance of the restitution farms in Waterberg District and evaluate their production performance. A questionnaire was administered to gather quantitative data on the farms’ production and the benefits accrued from the farms. Data was captured using Geographic Information System (GIS), and then a remote sensing analysis method was used to map restitution farms to illustrate farms performance. Statistical Package for the Social Scientists (SPSS) version 25 was used to compute statistics on-farm production. About 83% of beneficiaries have not benefitted from the 32 farms, while 61.6% did not have markets, and 64% reported a lack of farms income. Generally, lack of farm production impeded beneficiaries from receiving benefits and employment. The study recommended that private organizations and sector departments work together to assist beneficiaries with capacity building, marketing of farm produce, and funds to improve production.
The Effect of Price Policy on Price Dynamics: Empirical Evidence in Indonesian Rice Market at Wholesale Level Bayu Krisnamurthi; Anisa Dwi Utami
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.11546

Abstract

As a major share expenditure for the poor, rice is attributed as a strategic food commodity in the Indonesian economy. For many decades, the Indonesian rice market has been intervened by the price regulation. The Indonesian government had set two types of rice price policies of 2016 and 2017 with the argument of price stabilization during the last five years. This study aimed to investigate the effect of price policies of 2016 and 2017 on the domestic price dynamics in the Indonesian rice market. This study used daily price series taken from the Cipinang Wholesale Rice Market in Jakarta within the period of October 1st, 2014, until February 12th, 2018 covering 10 rice varieties. The role of price policy on the price dynamics was evaluated by using a multivariate error correction model (MVECM). The empirical findings confirmed that generally, these price policies had different effects on the price dynamics which proposed different reactions from the different rice varieties both in magnitude and signs. The variations were also found regarding the short-run and long-run behavior. Generally, the findings suggested a relatively small elasticity of the policy on the prices.
Price Volatility of Ornamental Plants in Batu Municipality Hamidatul Khofifah; Tri Wahyu Nugroho; Sujarwo Sujarwo
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.12342

Abstract

The imbalance between supply and demand of ornamental plants in the market cause fluctuations that lead to price volatility. This study aimed to analyze the price volatility of ornamental plants with high economic value, such as orchids, adenium, aglaonema, anthurium, and palm. This study also analyzed the long-term and short-term relationship between the production and prices of these ornamental plants. The data used were the productions and prices of orchid, adenium, aglaonema, anthurium, and palm at the producer level from 2012 to 2020 obtained from the Agriculture Office of Batu Municipality. Volatility analysis was carried out using the ARCH/GARCH method, the long-term relationship was analyzed using the Johansen cointegration test, and the short-term relationship was carried out using the Error Correction model. The results of volatility analysis showed that all the ornamental plants studied had low price volatility. In addition, the productions and prices of the ornamental plants were cointegrated in the long run, but only the orchid had a short-term relationship with an adjustment period of 2.6 months.
The Effect of Individual Characteristics and Entrepreneurship on Rice Farming Performance Imelda Imelda; Rakhmad Hidayat; Marisi Aritonang
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.11466

Abstract

Entrepreneurship in the agricultural sector produces creative, innovative, and independent farmers who can improve farm performance. Therefore, this research aimed to determine the impact of individual characteristics and entrepreneurship on rice farming performance. The method employed in this research was a descriptive method to provide a qualitative description of individual characteristics and entrepreneurship in the performance of rice farming. The research was executed in one of the rice-producing centers in Kubu Raya Regency, West Kalimantan. The simple random sampling method was used in selecting farmers with 150 respondents selected as the sample size. Furthermore, the research variables involved were individual characteristics, farmer’s entrepreneurship, and rice farming performance. Data were collected using questionnaires, interviews, and observations, and analysis was performed using Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) with SMART-PLS software. The results showed that individual characteristics and entrepreneurship had a significant and positive effect on rice farming performance. Consequently, it can be concluded to improve rice farming performance, farmers suggested strengthening their characteristics, particularly those related to farming motivation, and enhancing their entrepreneurial characteristics through their task and outcome-oriented behavior.
Leverage Factors Affecting the Sustainability of Seaweed Agro-industry Development in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia Alimudin Laapo; Asriani Hasanuddin; Andi Darmawati Tombolotutu
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.11525

Abstract

There has been a decline in seaweed prices in Central Sulawesi in the last five years, particularly in the processing and marketing sub-systems. The processing problems have constrained the volume of market demand. In contrast, marketing problems have disturbed the fulfillment of industrial and consumer demand for raw materials, thereby declining economic activity and profit. This research aimed to examine the leverage factors affecting the sustainability of the seaweed agro-industry integrated between sub-systems in Central Sulawesi Province. The collected numerical and non-numerical data were analyzed using the multidimensional scaling approach of the RAP-Seaweed technique. The results revealed that social conflict, labor absorption, the low value-added of the seaweed processing, and the high cost of raw material procurement caused the unsustainable development of the seaweed agro-industry. Therefore, government policies are required to facilitate investment in the seaweed industry, supported by enhancing the quality of transportation infrastructure, the use of local workers, and the security stability of the local area
Developing an Ingredient Branding Strategy Applied to Pigmented Rice Commodity Shafira Wuryandani; Dyah Ismoyowati; Endy Suwondo
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.12013

Abstract

Pigmented rice agroindustry has just started its market development, thus require a branding strategy. It may apply an ingredient branding strategy that can increase brand awareness and equity of pigmented rice by highlighting the ingredients. This paper discussed the developing strategy of pigmented rice products using the Customer-Based Brand Equity Model (CBBE). The brand awareness and loyalty survey was conducted to analyze the pigmented rice brand equity. The survey also explored branding media to increase consumers’ brand equity. The survey captured 261 respondents from various cities in Indonesia. The results of the t-test showed a significant difference between regular and occasional consumers. The CBBE diagnosis indicated that the producer should highlight antioxidants, anthocyanin, and other health benefits through advertising, word of mouth, health-related campaigns, and informative packaging.
ARCH-GARCH Analysis: An Approach to Determine The Price Volatility of Red Chili Etty Puji Lestari; Sucihatiningsih Dian Wisika Prajanti; Wandah Wibawanto; Fauzul Adzim
AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development Research Vol 8, No 1: January-June 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/agraris.v8i1.12060

Abstract

Red chili is an agricultural commodity with high price volatility. Several previous studies stated that volatility was caused by weather effect on red chili production and shocks on public consumption. However, the other research stated that volatility was caused by the government’s import of red chili. This research aimed to analyze the price volatility of red chili in Semarang Regency on January 2019 to February 2020. The ARCH-GARCH method was applied in this study. This research showed that the price volatility of red chili occurred at the beginning, middle, and end of the year due to climate change, changes in public consumption patterns on religious holidays, and oversupply. However, the prevalence of Indonesia’s imports of red chili did not affect the price volatility. The government is suggested to implement a mapping policy and planting patterns to ensure the supply of red chili.

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