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All Journal International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering Harmonia: Journal of Research and Education JOIN (Jurnal Online Informatika) JOIV : International Journal on Informatics Visualization Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research Journal of Applied Data Sciences Bulletin of Social Informatics Theory and Application Advance Sustainable Science, Engineering and Technology (ASSET)
Nafalski, Andrew
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Arts Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Social Sciences

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Journal : Journal of Applied Data Sciences

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Mean-Median Smoothing Backpropagation Neural Network to Forecast Unique Visitors Time Series of Electronic Journal Wibawa, Aji Prasetya; Utama, Agung Bella Putra; Lestari, Widya; Saputra, Irzan Tri; Izdihar, Zahra Nabila; Pujianto, Utomo; Haviluddin, Haviluddin; Nafalski, Andrew
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 4, No 3: SEPTEMBER 2023
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v4i3.97

Abstract

Sessions or unique visitors is the number of visitors from one IP who accessed a journal portal for the first time in a certain period of time. The large number of unique daily average subscriber visits to electronic journal pages indicates that this scientific periodical is in high demand. Hence, the number of unique visitors is an important indicator of the accomplishment of an electronic journal as a measure of the dissemination in accelerating the journal accreditation system. Numerous methods can be used for forecasting, one of which is the backpropagation neural network (BPNN). Data quality is very important in building a good BPNN model, because the success of modeling at BPNN is very dependent on input data. One way that can be carried out to improve data quality is by smoothing the data. In this study, the forecasting method for predicting time series data for unique visitors to electronic journals employed three models, respectively BPNN, BPNN with mean smoothing, and BPNN with median smoothing. Based on the findings, the results of the smallest error were obtained by the BPNN model with a mean smoothing with MSE 0.00129 and RMSE 0.03518 with a learning rate of 0.4 on 1-2-1 architecture which can be used as a forecast for unique visitors of electronic journals.
Congestion Predictive Modelling on Network Dataset Using Ensemble Deep Learning Purnawansyah, Purnawansyah; Wibawa, Aji Prasetya; Widiyaningtyas, Triyanna; Haviluddin, Haviluddin; Raja, Roesman Ridwan; Darwis, Herdianti; Nafalski, Andrew
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 5, No 4: DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v5i4.333

Abstract

Network congestion arises from factors like bandwidth misallocation and increased node density leading to issues such as reduced packet delivery ratios and energy efficiency, increased packet loss and delay, and diminished Quality of Service and Quality of Experience. This study highlights the potential of deep learning and ensemble learning for network congestion analysis, which has been less explored compared to packet-loss based, delay-based, hybrid-based, and machine learning approaches, offering opportunities for advancement through parameter tuning, data labeling, architecture simulation, and activation function experiments, despite challenges posed by the scarcity of labeled data due to the high costs, time, computational resources, and human effort required for labeling. In this paper, we investigate network congestion prediction using deep learning and observe the results individually, as well as analyze ensemble learning outcomes using majority voting, from data that we recorded and clustered using K-Means. We leverage deep learning models including BPNN, CNN, LSTM, and hybrid LSTM-CNN architectures on 12 scenarios formed out of the combination of level datasets, normalization techniques, and number of recommended clusters and the results reveal that ensemble methods, particularly those integrating LSTM and CNN models (LSTM-CNN), consistently outperform individual deep learning models, demonstrating higher accuracy and stability across diverse datasets. Besides that, it is preferably recommended to use the QoS level dataset and the combinations of 3 clusters due to the most consistent evaluation results across different configurations and normalization strategies. The ensemble learning evaluation results show consistently high performance across various metrics, with accuracy, Matthews Correlation Coefficient, and Cohen's Kappa values nearing 100%, indicates excellent predictive capability and agreement. Hamming Loss remains minimal highlighting the low misclassification rates. Notably, this study advances predictive modeling in network management, offering strategies to enhance network efficiency and reliability amidst escalating traffic demands for more sustainable network operations.
Co-Authors Aji Prasetya Wibawa Andini, Nurul Fajriah Anusua Ghosh, Anusua Atmaja, Nimas Hadi Darwis, Herdianti Denis Eka Cahyani Dewandra, Aderyan Reynaldi Fahrezza Dewi, Popy Maulida Didik Dwi Prasetya Dwiyanto, Felix Andika Erna Daniati Hariyono Hariyono Haviluddin Haviluddin Hery Widijanto Izdihar, Zahra Nabila Langlang Gumilar Marida, Tyas Agung Cahyaning Muladi Nedic, Zorica Ningtyas, Yana Nurfadila, Piska Dwi Purnawansyah Purnawansyah Putra Utama, Agung Bella Raja, Roesman Ridwan Saputra, Irzan Tri Triyanna Widiyaningtyas Utama, Agung Bella Putra Utomo Pujianto Wahyu Sakti Gunawan Irianto Zaeni, Ilham Ari Elbaith