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Journal : Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research

Analisis Permintaan Uang di Indonesia Risma, Okta Rabiana
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v5i2.18341

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the demand for money in a narrow sense (m1) in Indonesia using quarterly time series data from 2001 to 2013 against exchange rate variables and gross domestic product. The analysis method used is Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL). The results showed that the three variables did not have a cointegration caused by differences in order in their stationary tests. In the short term, the exchange rate (ER) and gross domestic product (GDP) have a significant influence on the demand for M1 money. In the long run, the exchange rate has a significant influence on the demand for M1 money. In the demand for M1 money in Indonesia, the central bank's policy through exchange rates is still very influential. Therefore, it is expected that price stability will be maintained through the exchange rate channel as one of the central bank's policy mechanisms. Keywords: ardl, cointegration, money demand.
Hubungan Ekspor, Kurs Dan Produk Domestik Bruto : Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) Approach Risma, Okta Rabiana; Sari, Yunidar Purnama; Juliansyah, Rollis
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 4 No. 1 (2024): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v4i1.9340

Abstract

Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian yang mengkaji hubungan antara Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB), Ekspor dan Kurs dengan pendekatan model Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) dengan data kuartalan dari tahun 2000 sampai 2022. Hasil penelitian yang diperoleh yaitu berdasarkan uji kausalitas granger diperoleh bahwasanya ada keterkaitan satu sisi variabel ekspor kepada produk domestik bruto dan juga keterkaitan satu sisi variabel kurs kepada ekspor. Lebih lanjut juga didapatkan hasil dari perbandingan nilai trace statistic dengan critical value yang memperoleh hasil bahwa nilai trace statistic lebih besar dari critical value yang berarti adanya hubungan kointegrasi yang memungkinkan dalam jangka panjang antara variabel produk domestik bruto, ekspor dan kurs.
Implementasi Dana Desa dalam Upaya Mengurangi Kemiskinan (Studi Kasus Provinsi Aceh) Yunidar Purnama Sari; Risma, Okta Rabiana
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 4 No. 6 (2024): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v4i6.16349

Abstract

Studi ini menggunakan metode kuantitatif dengan regresi panel. Dengan kemiskinan sebagai variabel dependen dan dana desa serta PDRB sebagai variabel independen, yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) untuk periode 2020 hingga 2023, dengan kemiskinan sebagai variabel dependen, dan Dana Desa serta PDRB sebagai variabel independen. Hasil penelitian menemukan bahwa secara parsial maupun simultan, Dana Desa dan PDRB memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan sehingga dapat disimpulkan bahwa implementasi dana desa  dan pertumbuhan PDRB belum mampu menurunkan tingkat kemiskinan di Provinsi Aceh.
Pengaruh Pengangguran, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Upah Minimum Terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan di Kabupaten Aceh Barat Daya Veronica, Putri Bahri; Alisman, Alisman; Risma, Okta Rabiana; Arisna, Puput; Sani, Sri Rosmiati
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 4 No. 6 (2024): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v4i6.16585

Abstract

We want to examine poverty in our research. Using data collected from BPS Aceh Barat Daya between 2005 and 2024, we can see that poverty is the dependent variable while unemployment, economic growth, and minimum wage are the independent variables. Using multiple linear regression as its methodology, this research found that minimum wage increases and economic growth both somewhat affect poverty levels, while unemployment had no such influence. All three independent variables unemployment, economic growth, and minimum wage—have a substantial impact on poverty; the R-Square value of 94% indicates that these three factors explain 94% of the variation in poverty, while the remaining 6% are attributable to factors outside the scope of this research. Keyword: Poverty, Unemployment, Economic Growth, Minimum Wage.