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Efektivitas Kebijakan Moneter Dalam Mengendalikan Inflasi di Indonesia dengan Pendekatan Error Correction Model (ECM) Ningsih, Liasulistia; Tanjung, Indra Ismayudi
Journal of Business and Economics Research (JBE) Vol 6 No 2 (2025): June 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/jbe.v6i2.7301

Abstract

Inflation is one of the main problems facing Indonesia, and the effectiveness of policies in controlling inflation is still questionable because the findings of research analysis are still varied. Bank Indonesia as the central bank has made efforts to control inflation with various monetary policy instruments. Therefore, this study focuses on the effectiveness of monetary policy in controlling inflation in Indonesia. The data used in this study uses quarterly data covering the first quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2024. The research model used in this study uses the Error Correction Model (ECM) time series estimation. The results of the analysis found that interest rates and the amount of money in circulation as monetary policy instruments have not been effective enough in controlling inflation in both the short and long term. This is indicated by the results of the estimation of the significant but positive effect of interest rates on inflation in both the short and long term. While the amount of money in circulation has a significant negative effect in the long term and does not have a significant effect in the short term.
Pengaruh Jumlah Uang Beredar Dan Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia Tahun 1990-2023 Ningsih, Liasulistia; Tanjung, Indra Ismayudi
Journal of International Multidisciplinary Research Vol. 3 No. 5 (2025): Mei 2025
Publisher : PT. Banjarese Pacific Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62504/jimr1316

Abstract

Pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan indikator utama dalam menilai perkembangan ekonomi suatu negara. Berbagai kebijakan telah diimplementasikan guna menjaga kestabilan serta mendorong tercapainya pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan. Dalam konteks ini, inflasi dan jumlah uang beredar memiliki keterkaitan erat dengan dinamika pertumbuhan ekonomi, di mana keseimbangan antara keduanya memegang peranan penting dalam mendukung kinerja ekonomi nasional. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengevaluasi pengaruh jumlah uang beredar dan inflasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang. Data yang digunakan bersifat sekunder dan bersumber dari World Bank, mencakup periode tahun 1991 hingga 2023. Metode analisis yang diterapkan adalah pendekatan Error Correction Model (ECM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jumlah uang beredar berpengaruh negatif secara signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi namun hanya dalam jangka pendek. Sementara itu, variabel inflasi terbukti memiliki pengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi baik dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang.
PENGARUH PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH SEKTOR PENDIDIKAN, KESEHATAN, INFRASTRUKTUR TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA fazira, zihan; Ertika, Yenny; Tanjung, Indra Ismayudi; Suhendra, Noval; Risma, Okta Rabiana
EKOMBIS: JURNAL FAKULTAS EKONOMI Vol 9, No 2 (2023): November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v11i2.12722

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah di sektor pendidikan, sektor kesehatan, dan sektor infrastruktur terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia pada periode 2010–2024. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data sekunder. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi linier berganda dengan bantuan software EViews 12, serta dilengkapi uji asumsi klasik dan uji hipotesis. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial, pengeluaran pemerintah pada sektor pendidikan dan infrastruktur memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi, sedangkan pengeluaran di sektor kesehatan menunjukkan pengaruh positif namun tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Secara simultan, pengeluaran pemerintah di sektor pendidikan, sektor kesehatan dan sektor infrastruktur berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa efektivitas dan efisiensi alokasi anggaran pada sektor kesehatan masih perlu ditingkatkan agar dampaknya terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dapat lebih optimal.Kata Kunci: Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Pengeluaran Sektor Pendidikan, Pengeluaran Sektor Kesehatan, Pengeluaran Sektor Infrastruktur.
DAMPAK PABRIK SAWIT PT FAJAR BAIZURI & BROTHERS TERHADAP SOSIAL EKONOMI MASYARAKAT TADU RAYA Wahyudi, Irham; Badli, Saiful; Tanjung, Indra Ismayudi
EKOMBIS: JURNAL FAKULTAS EKONOMI Vol 9, No 2 (2023): November
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v11i2.12724

Abstract

This study aims to determine the impact of the existence of the palm oil processing plant (PKS) PT. Fajar Baizuri & Brothers on the socio-eco nomic community around Tadu Raya District, Nagan Raya Regency. PT. Fajar Baizuri & Brothers as one of the palm oil processing companies operating in Tadu Raya District, Nagan Raya Regency, has an important role in driving economic activity in the area. Most of the surrounding community depend on their livelihoods on activities related to the company, either as direct labor or through supporting businesses such as trade, transportation, and services. The method used in this study is a descriptive method by processing quantitative data. The sample in this study amounted to 97 people in the Tadu Raya District, Nagan Raya Regency. This study uses primary data, namely the results of respondents' questionnaire answers. The data analysis method used is the t- test difference test. The results of this study indicate that the existence of the Palm Oil Processing Plant (PKS) PT. Fajar Baizuri & Brothers has an impact on the social and economic community around Tadu Raya District, Nagan Raya Regency, with a significant value of less than 0.05 (0.000 <0.05), thus the hypothesis that the existence of the Palm Oil Processing Factory (PKS) of PT. Fajar Baizuri & Brothers has an impact on the social and economic community around Tadu Raya District, Nagan Raya Regency, is accepted.
Analysis of the Role of Decent Living Standards and Knowledge on Human Development Index Growth Hamzah, Ramadhani; Shifa, Mutiara; Musdirwan, Musdirwan; Tanjung, Indra Ismayudi; Ningsih, Liasulistia; Pandiangan, Saut Maruli Tua
International Journal Of Education, Social Studies, And Management (IJESSM) Vol. 5 No. 3 (2025): The International Journal of Education, Social Studies, and Management (IJESSM)
Publisher : LPPPIPublishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52121/ijessm.v5i3.894

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the role of decent living standards and knowledge on human development index growth in Indonesia. This research analysis uses qualitative analysis. Data collection in this study uses secondary data taken from Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia. The study results show that Indonesia's human development index grew faster in 2024, reaching 75.02, an increase of 0.63 points (0.85 percent) compared to 74.39 in 2023. Decent living standards dimension which measures real per capita expenditure per year, adjusted for Indonesians, increased by 2.89 percent annually from 2020 to 2024. In 2020, real per capita expenditure, adjusted for Indonesians, reached Rp11,013,000, increasing to Rp12,341,000 in 2024. Indicators forming the knowledge dimension, including expected years of schooling and average years of schooling, continued to increase. During the 2020 to 2024 period, Indonesia's expected years of schooling increased by an average of 0.44 percent per year, while average years of schooling increased by 1.07 percent per year.
Kesejahteraan dan Perekonomian di Wilayah Sumatera: Studi Kasus Pasca Covid-19 Ningsih, Liasulistia; Tanjung, Indra Ismayudi; Arisna, Puput; Hatmawan, Aglis Andhita; Hartini, Hartini; Suhendra, Noval; Shifa, Mutiara
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 4 No. 2 (2024): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v4i2.12852

Abstract

Kinerja ekonomi suatu wilayah atau negara pada umumnya dicerminkan dari tingkat pertumbuhan ekonomi yang dianggap menjadi salah satu indikator terbaik untuk mengukur kekuatan setiap perekonomian. Memahami hubungan antara tingkat kesejahteraan dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi menjadi sangat penting karena hubungan ini dapat mencerminkan ketidakmampuan suatu perekonomian untuk memanfaatkan sumber daya manusianya secara maksimal. Tujuan utama dari penelitian ini adalah menganalisis untuk mengestimasi hubungan antara kesejahteraan masyarakat dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi di wilayah Sumatera pasca Covid-19. Oleh karena itu berbagai variabel diteliti dalam penelitian ini, diantaranya yaitu variabel rasio gini, tingkat kemiskinan dan tingkat pengangguran sedangkan variabel dependen akan menggunakan variabel pertumbuhan ekonomi. Analisis dalam penelitian ini menggunakan analisis kuantitatif dengan metode analisis regresi panel. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini menggunakan periode dari tahun 2020-2023. Wilayah yang digunakan dalam analisis penelitian ini berasal dari 10 provinsi yang tergabung dalam Pulau Sumatera. Hasil analisis menemukan bahwa kesejahteraan berhubungan erat dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi, hal ini dicerminkan dari variabel tingkat kemiskinan dan pengangguran yang berpengaruh signifikan negatif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi.
Utang Dalam Negeri dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Sebuah Analisis Kausalitas: Bukti Empiris Indonesia Suhendra, Noval; Hatmawan, Aglis Andhita; Ningsih, Lia Sulistia; Hartini, Hartini; Shifa, Mutiara; Ariani, Dian; Tanjung, Indra Ismayudi
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Terpadu (Jimetera) Vol 4, No 1 (2024): JURNAL ILMIAH EKONOMI TERPADU
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/jimetera.v4i1.8789

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the impact of domestic debt on economic growth in Indonesia with a causal approach. The research data used is quarterly for the period 2004-2022. Meanwhile, the main variables analyzed in this research are projected economic growth through GDP, domestic debt, and several control variables such as exports, imports, and interest rates which are then analyzed using VECM. Based on the VECM estimation results, it is found that domestic debt has a negative and significant influence on economic growth in both the short and long term. On the other hand, economic growth has no significant influence on domestic debt. If we look at the percentage strength, in the short term, when a domestic debt shock occurs, it will fluctuate economic growth by 7 percent, while in the long term, the domestic debt shock will have an impact on economic growth of 24 percent. The results of this research can be a recommendation to the government or non-government institutions that in seeking additional financing these institutions can also make domestic loans, although the desired debt amount must be adjusted so as not to harm Indonesia's economic conditions.