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All Journal JURNAL MATEMATIKA STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Jurnal Statistika Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang Informatika Mulawarman: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Komputer BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Jurnal Kreativitas PKM Variance : Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Jurnal Varian Jurnal Statistika dan Aplikasinya Parameter: Journal of Statistics Eksponensial STATISTIKA
M. Fathurahman
Universitas Mulawarman
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Health Professions Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Nursing Physics Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Parameter: Journal of Statistics

 1 
FORECASTING TOTAL ASSETS OF PT. BPD KALTIM KALTARA USING THE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD Nurmayanti, Wiwit Pura; Ningsih, Eva Lestari; Arif, Zainul; Fathurahman, M; Hasanah, Siti Hadijah
Parameter: Journal of Statistics Vol. 4 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Tadulako

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22487/27765660.2024.v4.i2.17473

Abstract

PT. BPD Kaltim Kaltara is one of the regional development banks that plays a crucial role in supporting regional economic development in East Kalimantan and North Kalimantan. The company's total assets reflect significant financial stability and growth, making it an interesting topic to analyze in the context of strategic financial planning. The purpose of this study is to use the Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) approach to forecast PT. BPD Kaltim Kaltara's total assets. In the forecasting process, alpha 0,3, alpha 0,6, alpha 0,7, and alpha 0,8 are tested to determine the best value that gives the most accurate results. Based on the forecasting accuracy analysis, the SES method with alpha = 0,7 proved to be the most optimal in predicting the company's total assets, achieving MAE = 1454272,737, MSE = 4764920751283, and MAPE = 4,0433% (excellent forecasting ability). The forecasting results show an upward trend in assets, with total assets in September 2024 estimated to reach IDR 48.440.683,75. This method provides valuable guidance in thecompany's financial strategic planning, helping to anticipate future asset developments more precisely.These forecasting results also emphasize the importance of selecting the right parameters in the forecasting model to improve prediction accuracy.
Co-Authors Abidin, Ahmad Aliful Andrea Tri Rian Dani Annisa Zuhri Apridayanti Arif, Zainul Astafira, Ilyas Dani, Andrea Tri Rian Darnah Darnah, Darnah Dini Elizabeth Fachrian Bimantoro Putra Hasanah, Siti Hadijah Ika Purnamasari Khairun Nida Khasanah, Lisa Dwi Nurul Meiliyani Siringoringo Meirinda Fauziyah Memi Nor Hayati Memi Nor Hayati Murdani, Endah Mulia Ni'matuzzahroh, Ludia Ningsih, Eva Lestari Nurmayanti, Wiwit Pura Orvanita Putra, Fachrian Bimantoro Putri Aisha Putri, Ditha Reginna Rasidia, Fikri Regita Putri Permata Rito Goejantoro, Rito Roejantoro, Rito Rut Esra Sekar Nur Utami Sifriyani Sifriyani Sinaga, Julia Oriana Siringoringo, Meiliyani Sri Wahyuningsih Sri Wahyuningsih Surya Prangga Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyono, Ari Krisna Yusrian Paliling